(anonymous) 0xe63e7b…3b3204
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
-$96
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
161
lifetime
Volume
$4.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$2.68K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-03 03:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
46% — —
Other
42% — —
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +361 $191 70¢ $251 +$60 06-01 08:44
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +486 $247 50¢ $245 $-2 06-01 08:31
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +427 $213 49¢ $209 $-4 06-01 10:30
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +206 $109 100¢ $206 +$97 06-01 10:39
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +364 $182 50¢ $180 $-1 06-01 12:26
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +335 $167 50¢ $169 +$2 06-01 10:31
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +334 $174 50¢ $169 $-5 06-01 10:31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +111 $83 99¢ $110 +$27 06-01 08:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +101 $78 100¢ $101 +$23 06-01 08:45
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +96 $65 100¢ $96 +$31 06-01 08:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +94 $65 100¢ $94 +$29 06-01 08:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +76 $65 100¢ $76 +$11 06-01 08:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +74 $65 99¢ $73 +$8 06-01 08:31
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +72 $52 100¢ $72 +$20 06-02 08:52
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +70 $65 100¢ $70 +$5 06-01 17:46
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +67 $48 100¢ $67 +$19 06-01 13:12
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +132 $61 49¢ $65 +$4 06-03 03:23
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +121 $65 52¢ $62 $-3 06-01 14:12
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +56 $48 99¢ $55 +$8 06-01 10:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +55 $48 100¢ $55 +$8 06-01 10:31
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +53 $48 100¢ $53 +$5 06-01 10:31
Masoud Pezeshkian out by June 30? No +52 $48 100¢ $52 +$5 06-01 10:38
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No +78 $48 66¢ $51 +$4 06-01 10:31
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +376 $68 11¢ $39 $-28 06-01 09:57
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? Yes +23 $17 95¢ $22 +$5 06-01 16:21
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +22 $16 82¢ $18 +$2 06-01 15:50
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $115 by end of June? No +14 $12 100¢ $14 +$2 06-01 08:33
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,087 $376 0¢ $4 $-371 06-01 08:45
Israel x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by June 30? Yes +33 $5 1¢ $0 $-5 06-01 11:45
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +237 $52 0¢ $0 $-52 06-02 01:14