(anonymous) 0xe63e7b…3b3204
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Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.19K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
161
lifetime
Volume
$4.72K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$29
Open exposure
$4.41K
30 positions
First seen
2026-06-01
last 06-03 03:23
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Politics
46% — —
Other
42% — —
Tech
6% — —
Crypto
5% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
3 active days in 12wk • peak 143 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Iran closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +847 $178 100¢ $846 +$667 06-01 21:51
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +2,087 $376 24¢ $511 +$136 06-01 08:45
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +361 $191 70¢ $253 +$61 06-01 08:44
Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI? No +486 $247 51¢ $246 $-0 06-01 08:31
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No +427 $213 50¢ $212 $-2 06-01 10:30
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +364 $182 50¢ $180 $-1 06-01 12:26
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +334 $174 50¢ $169 $-5 06-01 10:31
Trump out as President before GTA VI? No +335 $167 50¢ $166 $-2 06-01 10:31
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam? Yes +237 $52 66¢ $156 +$104 06-02 01:14
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +206 $109 69¢ $142 +$33 06-01 10:39
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? No +165 $106 80¢ $133 +$27 06-01 08:32
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting? No +175 $91 72¢ $127 +$36 06-01 11:15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +111 $83 90¢ $100 +$17 06-01 08:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +101 $78 88¢ $89 +$11 06-01 08:45
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +376 $68 22¢ $85 +$17 06-01 09:57
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? No +96 $65 88¢ $84 +$19 06-01 08:31
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026? No +126 $65 62¢ $77 +$12 06-01 10:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $80 by end of June? No +122 $75 60¢ $73 $-2 06-01 08:31
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +94 $65 76¢ $72 +$7 06-01 08:31
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +76 $65 92¢ $70 +$5 06-01 08:31
Will the No to ten million Switzerland initiative be approved in Switzerland’s June 14, 2026 popular vote? No +88 $55 79¢ $70 +$15 06-01 10:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by June 30? No +74 $65 94¢ $69 +$4 06-01 08:31
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No +70 $65 96¢ $67 +$2 06-01 17:46
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No +76 $65 84¢ $65 $-0 06-01 08:31
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI? Yes +121 $65 54¢ $65 $-0 06-01 14:12
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No +132 $61 48¢ $64 +$3 06-03 03:23
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +67 $48 88¢ $59 +$11 06-01 13:12
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by June 30? No +72 $52 76¢ $55 +$3 06-02 08:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No +55 $48 96¢ $53 +$5 06-01 10:31
US x Cuba economic deal by June 30, 2026? No +56 $48 90¢ $51 +$3 06-01 10:31