Damp-Accountant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$237.6K

Unrealized P&L

-$3.60K

Hit rate

93.3%

Resolved

575

Trades

14,256

lifetime

Volume

$36.3M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$2.54K

Open exposure

$378.3K

8 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 23:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 185 days

Categories

Politics

60% 95% +$191,831

Other

36% 91% +$42,543

Crypto

4% 89% +$5,630

Sports

0% 70% -$3,200

Tech

0% 100% +$785

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	+290,000	$239,280	82¢	$236.4K	-$2,930	10-25 22:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	+110,561	$102,632	94¢	$103.4K	+$743	10-20 18:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+40,000	$26,054	55¢	$21.8K	-$4,254	10-27 20:11
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+15,000	$13,605	95¢	$14.2K	+$578	10-27 11:16
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026?	No	+2,207	$1,450	100¢	$2.2K	+$754	10-27 01:27
Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	+206	$200	100¢	$205	+$6	10-27 16:51
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31?	No	+184	-$823	99¢	$182	+$1,004	10-27 05:56
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	No	+0	-$500	97¢	$0	+$500	07-15 13:07

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	560	$1.76M	1,750,270	10,586	+1,739,683	Yes	+$4,807	02-02 21:34
netanyahu out by march 31 854	200	$1.36M	735,498	650,177	+85,321	No	+$14,476	03-30 05:28
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	93	$1.31M	656,021	656,021	+0	Yes	+$2,066	04-08 01:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	19	$1.08M	1,083,626	0	+1,083,626	Yes	+$1,084	05-09 19:44
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	187	$1.05M	881,993	176,152	+705,841	Yes	+$7,743	04-30 21:56
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	76	$1.02M	989,813	29,927	+959,886	No	+$2,723	01-03 22:09
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	2	$1.01M	1,010,821	0	+1,010,821	No	+$1,011	02-24 04:57
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	101	$808.7K	558,668	266,055	+292,613	No	+$7,550	03-04 18:56
will axiom be accused of insider trading	185	$682.6K	678,832	9,637	+669,195	Yes	+$1,265	02-26 15:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	980	$677.4K	549,761	259,761	+290,000	open	—	10-25 22:21
will trump talk to xi jinping in march 165	90	$658.7K	330,000	330,000	+0	No	+$688	04-06 21:24
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	142	$629.0K	631,393	5,824	+625,570	Yes	-$1,145	04-08 09:29
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?	48	$579.2K	583,259	0	+583,259	No	+$4,022	09-17 12:52
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	210	$558.8K	510,840	52,482	+458,357	Yes	+$3,825	04-24 10:58
us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	10	$528.9K	265,137	265,137	+0	No	+$337	04-30 21:56
Will the US strike Iran next?	93	$508.9K	510,695	0	+510,695	No	+$1,830	02-19 22:25
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by June 30?	137	$488.6K	489,857	0	+489,857	Yes	+$1,252	01-31 23:58
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	89	$473.4K	301,065	174,493	+126,572	No	+$1,459	01-31 12:57
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	103	$403.5K	319,418	88,419	+230,999	Yes	-$734	05-29 00:23
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	63	$383.7K	384,721	6,320	+378,401	Yes	+$4,876	09-21 09:38
will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	130	$352.6K	354,249	0	+354,249	Yes	+$1,663	07-22 18:16
another us government shutdown by february 14	16	$340.8K	348,875	8,740	+340,135	No	-$591	02-15 05:01
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 18 2026 264	25	$329.2K	220,017	109,615	+110,402	No	-$1	02-19 16:01
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 18 2026	52	$325.3K	325,916	0	+325,916	Yes	+$664	04-20 18:36
will melania say career during ai talk on friday	26	$306.2K	307,354	0	+307,354	No	+$1,106	01-19 21:23
us x venezuela military engagement by december 31 391 819 722 945 174 285 817 971 353 859 836 598 255 382 192 983	61	$296.8K	297,784	0	+297,784	No	+$977	01-03 22:15
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	180	$294.1K	301,910	35,362	+266,547	No	+$27,332	10-25 23:57
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	98	$285.1K	307,754	53,000	+254,754	No	+$2,327	06-03 04:46
Will Trump dance today?	26	$282.5K	233,189	50,000	+183,189	Yes	+$572	04-28 13:17
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	73	$281.2K	281,439	0	+281,439	No	+$281	02-26 07:37

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:16:50	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x57166c…
10-27 23:11:05	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	98	54¢	$53	0x6b4597…
10-27 23:03:29	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	900	54¢	$486	0xf00a4a…
10-27 20:14:23	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	2,000	41¢	$820	0xb4eadf…
10-27 20:11:51	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20,000	72¢	$14,400	0xa75da6…
10-27 20:07:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	490	10¢	$49	0xd84039…
10-27 20:07:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	35	10¢	$4	0x4ea3bc…
10-27 20:04:24	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	3,521	24¢	$845	0x97d626…
10-27 20:04:06	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x5266af…
10-27 20:04:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x9b71cb…
10-27 20:04:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	47	24¢	$11	0x719c01…
10-27 20:04:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	765	24¢	$184	0x796522…
10-27 20:04:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	144	24¢	$34	0x628715…
10-27 20:04:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	8	24¢	$2	0x4082c9…
10-27 20:04:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	14,907	24¢	$3,578	0x8d218c…
10-27 20:03:57	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	30,000	24¢	$7,200	0x7c6086…
10-27 20:01:39	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x47b24c…
10-27 20:01:38	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	SELL	42	24¢	$10	0xbe53d3…
10-27 19:44:33	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	3,008	100¢	$3,002	0xe26417…
10-27 19:22:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	3,284	64¢	$2,102	0xe48f8a…
10-27 19:22:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	133	65¢	$86	0xb1a533…
10-27 19:22:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,601	65¢	$2,990	0x8fe60c…
10-27 19:22:42	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	17	65¢	$11	0x0f0aae…
10-27 19:22:42	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	1,716	64¢	$1,098	0x0c7b0c…
10-27 19:21:05	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x3e1940…
10-27 19:21:03	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x5b0a9e…
10-27 19:21:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xfa45b6…
10-27 19:21:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xe3acb3…
10-27 19:21:02	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x8b42f8…
10-27 19:21:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x73d3d8…
10-27 19:21:00	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x01be30…
10-27 19:20:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xdb8440…
10-27 19:20:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x4fadaa…
10-27 19:20:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xda4a0e…
10-27 19:20:57	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xd367cf…
10-27 19:20:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xecd796…
10-27 19:20:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x9bfb77…
10-27 19:20:56	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x364f15…
10-27 19:20:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xbfb70b…
10-27 19:20:54	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xa608cd…
10-27 19:20:53	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0x75d01c…
10-27 19:20:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xdd555e…
10-27 19:20:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xb9d1d2…
10-27 19:20:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xb73a89…
10-27 19:20:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	0	65¢	$0	0xa165c6…
10-27 19:20:51	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	228	65¢	$148	0x7a2eb0…
10-27 19:20:36	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	402	49¢	$198	0x2a33d4…
10-27 19:20:35	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	601	49¢	$296	0xd9497c…
10-27 19:20:33	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	660	49¢	$325	0xae119e…
10-27 18:56:08	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5,000	67¢	$3,350	0x6f6247…
10-27 18:48:30	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	4,578	72¢	$3,296	0x5ceebd…
10-27 18:48:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	422	72¢	$304	0xcbe3af…
10-27 18:47:53	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	4,457	72¢	$3,209	0x401c78…
10-27 18:47:41	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	179	72¢	$129	0xfb57bc…
10-27 18:47:33	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5,364	72¢	$3,862	0xab8813…
10-27 18:45:18	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	337	39¢	$132	0x27d5a5…
10-27 18:42:59	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	978	72¢	$705	0xbe8fa5…
10-27 18:42:38	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	5,000	72¢	$3,600	0x79a472…
10-27 18:42:35	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	18	72¢	$13	0x36d054…
10-27 18:42:17	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	370	72¢	$266	0x2bb441…
10-27 18:41:56	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	336	72¢	$242	0x170b29…
10-27 18:41:50	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	200	72¢	$144	0x4e9d2e…
10-27 18:41:47	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	300	72¢	$216	0xe98274…
10-27 18:40:20	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	2,500	72¢	$1,800	0x8e7b80…
10-27 18:40:02	Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	298	72¢	$215	0x6ad6b9…
10-27 18:21:26	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	873	73¢	$637	0x0bc9dc…
10-27 18:21:21	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	2,146	73¢	$1,566	0x2227fc…
10-27 18:20:59	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	435	73¢	$318	0x169d42…
10-27 18:20:50	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	111	73¢	$81	0x4e0db8…
10-27 18:20:17	Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	Yes	BUY	1,436	73¢	$1,048	0x324c04…
10-27 18:17:36	Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?	Yashar	SELL	22	76¢	$16	0xa55eb9…
10-27 17:56:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	2,298	100¢	$2,293	0x433f85…
10-27 17:34:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	3,419	77¢	$2,633	0xedfd40…
10-27 17:34:30	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	130	77¢	$100	0x0935bd…
10-27 17:34:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	70	77¢	$54	0xd80ba1…
10-27 17:34:26	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	380	77¢	$293	0x95d9e7…
10-27 17:34:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	2,174	77¢	$1,674	0x3a7727…
10-27 17:34:03	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x069fb2…
10-27 17:33:41	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	47	77¢	$36	0xd5afd0…
10-27 17:33:09	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	9	77¢	$7	0x143d28…
10-27 17:32:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	13,043	77¢	$10,043	0x9af562…
10-27 17:32:42	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	300	77¢	$231	0x42265b…
10-27 17:32:27	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	398	77¢	$307	0xdb02c2…
10-27 16:59:06	Israel Election: Likud or Yashar in Government?	Yashar	BUY	42	62¢	$26	0x278bed…
10-27 16:51:42	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	13	97¢	$13	0x6573ce…
10-27 16:51:39	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	23	97¢	$22	0xa12693…
10-27 16:51:36	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	132	97¢	$128	0xc2c494…
10-27 16:50:08	Will Likud win 35 or more seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0x3edff5…
10-27 16:06:20	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	20,000	79¢	$15,800	0xf8f5d0…
10-27 15:46:20	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	801	34¢	$273	0x15c294…
10-27 15:46:14	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	301	34¢	$102	0xb76f41…
10-27 15:45:08	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	76	34¢	$26	0x03ab33…
10-27 15:45:05	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	57	34¢	$19	0x6e5098…
10-27 15:44:54	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	711	34¢	$242	0x6f8378…
10-27 15:41:50	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20,000	82¢	$16,400	0xdeecfb…
10-27 15:39:41	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	BUY	54	34¢	$18	0x6a54df…
10-27 15:35:06	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	SELL	20,000	81¢	$16,200	0xb52e47…
10-27 12:46:03	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	194	33¢	$64	0x127772…
10-27 12:45:05	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	44	33¢	$14	0xfd25f5…
10-27 12:45:05	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0x23500f…