Realized P&L
+$236.7K
Unrealized P&L
+$12.3K
Hit rate
93.3%
Resolved
573
Trades
14,159
lifetime
Volume
$36.1M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2.55K
Open exposure
$426.6K
10 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 184 days
Categories
Politics
60% 95% +$190,919
Other
36% 91% +$42,543
Crypto
4% 89% +$5,630
Sports
0% 70% -$3,200
Tech
0% 100% +$785
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 188 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +290,000 $239,280 83¢ $240.7K +$1,420 10-25 22:21
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +110,561 $102,632 94¢ $103.4K +$743 10-20 18:54
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +60,000 $41,854 80¢ $47.7K +$5,846 10-27 06:35
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +15,000 $13,605 95¢ $14.2K +$592 10-27 11:16
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +12,655 $11,754 100¢ $12.7K +$901 10-25 21:43
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5,000 $3,500 78¢ $3.9K +$375 10-27 10:20
Will Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer be under Iranian control by October 31, 2026? No +2,207 $1,450 99¢ $2.2K +$745 10-27 01:27
Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +2,000 $1,582 86¢ $1.7K +$148 10-22 09:09
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? No +184 -$823 98¢ $182 +$1,004 10-27 05:56
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +0 -$500 97¢ $0 +$500 07-15 13:07