Realized P&L
-$22.6K
Unrealized P&L
+$598
Hit rate
68.8%
Resolved
586
Trades
4,005
lifetime
Volume
$221.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$8.98K
14 positions
First seen
2026-04-19
last 10-25 21:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 118 days
Categories
Politics
38% 60% -$8,479
Other
33% 66% -$10,023
Sports
16% 75% -$383
Tech
11% 67% -$1,641
Crypto
2% 55% -$2,109
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 135 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Kimi Antonelli be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? Yes +4,871 $2,903 100¢ $4.9K +$1,953 08-11 19:40
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? Yes +2,036 $1,576 99¢ $2.0K +$447 08-12 09:20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +1,905 $770 36¢ $695 -$75 07-31 22:10
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +478 $393 100¢ $478 +$85 08-11 19:40
Will the ECB announce no change at the October 2026 meeting? Yes +416 $290 98¢ $407 +$117 09-26 10:14
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512 Yes +4,824 $1,050 8¢ $362 -$688 08-08 08:46
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +3,511 $598 2¢ $68 -$530 08-04 05:53
iran charges hormuz fees by october 31 Yes +576 $400 4¢ $24 -$376 07-15 07:19
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after November 2026 meeting? Yes +549 $165 3¢ $14 -$151 09-26 12:50
Discord IPO before 2027? Yes +207 $130 7¢ $14 -$116 05-24 21:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes +12 $10 96¢ $11 +$1 07-28 10:13
iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 Yes +82 $60 13¢ $11 -$49 07-17 20:19
Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day have the best domestic opening weekend in 2026? No +16 $10 65¢ $10 +$0 07-29 16:22
will iran reconstruction funding be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201638 Yes +58 $25 6¢ $4 -$21 08-03 10:12