Mundane-Bungalow — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7.65K

Unrealized P&L

+$11.3K

Hit rate

97.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,754

lifetime

Volume

$348.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$126

Open exposure

$55.6K

8 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 10-26 17:57

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 8 days

Categories

Crypto

55% 100% +$6,635

Politics

20% 100% +$595

Other

19% 86% +$34

Tech

5% 75% +$385

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	No	+30,000	$27,879	98¢	$29.4K	+$1,506	07-29 14:23
will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	+12,700	$9,742	99¢	$12.5K	+$2,787	09-05 13:25
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	+8,112	$5,336	97¢	$7.9K	+$2,565	09-08 09:49
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+3,655	$518	96¢	$3.5K	+$3,009	09-23 01:22
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+2,103	$2,080	99¢	$2.1K	+$1	10-26 17:57
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10,000	$150	2¢	$160	+$10	09-18 15:32
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	+0	-$630	98¢	$0	+$630	08-12 14:10
AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	+0	-$799	91¢	$0	+$799	10-06 06:03

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will ethereum dip to 500 by december 31 2026 from june 8	146	$78.3K	47,855	35,155	+12,700	open	—	09-05 13:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	86	$44.5K	38,500	8,500	+30,000	open	—	07-29 14:23
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	173	$39.2K	25,101	21,446	+3,655	open	—	09-23 01:22
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	89	$37.8K	25,115	17,004	+8,112	open	—	09-08 09:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	31	$32.8K	18,000	18,000	+0	open	—	08-12 14:10
Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	151	$11.7K	14,783	14,783	+0	open	—	08-23 12:53
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	1,692	$10.1K	17,683	2,140	+15,543	cancelled	-$102	08-01 06:05
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	8	$9.8K	10,000	0	+10,000	No	+$165	06-06 10:41
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	2	$9.7K	5,000	5,000	+0	No	+$210	09-15 04:14
putin out as president of russia by july 31 2026	21	$8.7K	8,764	0	+8,764	No	+$35	07-23 23:59
AI bubble burst in 2026?	25	$6.3K	3,962	3,962	+0	open	—	10-06 06:03
will gpt 6 be released by july 31 2026 20260610221318220 197	10	$6.0K	6,311	0	+6,311	No	+$290	07-09 01:43
will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	1	$5.0K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$25	08-17 07:17
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	3	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$115	07-18 03:51
Ethereum flipped in 2026?	76	$4.3K	10,907	226	+10,681	Yes	+$6,608	06-05 17:15
will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	10	$4.0K	4,145	84	+4,062	open	—	08-22 01:13
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	12	$4.0K	2,412	2,412	+0	open	—	07-20 00:31
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	31	$3.9K	2,000	2,000	+0	No	+$3	05-14 08:50
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	5	$3.7K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	10-03 01:49
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?	20	$2.8K	5,577	0	+5,577	cancelled	+$0	07-22 21:47
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	5	$2.1K	2,103	0	+2,103	open	—	10-26 17:57
Will claude-opus-4-6-thinking have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	9	$2.0K	2,049	0	+2,049	Yes	+$27	05-07 19:22
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	-$5	05-13 01:13
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	10-03 06:29
Will any other model have the best AI model on May 8, 2026?	2	$1.9K	943	943	+0	No	+$11	05-08 16:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	5	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	05-13 00:26
Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	6	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	09-28 09:20
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	4	$1.8K	946	946	+0	No	+$9	05-18 05:44
Will Ethereum dip to $1,600 in May?	3	$1.7K	864	864	+0	No	+$2	05-10 07:01
ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	1	$930	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$70	07-24 16:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 17:57:30	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	430	99¢	$425	0xd6c4c5…
10-26 17:56:44	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	280	99¢	$277	0x012db9…
10-26 05:35:00	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	35	99¢	$35	0xefb669…
10-25 15:16:20	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$989	0xedcc6f…
10-25 05:49:36	Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	358	99¢	$354	0xdd069b…
10-06 06:03:06	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	68	93¢	$63	0x323a0c…
10-06 05:57:18	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xd156be…
10-06 05:57:16	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x98f47e…
10-06 05:57:12	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0x2f0fb4…
10-06 05:57:07	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	50	93¢	$46	0xa8804a…
10-06 05:54:21	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	540	93¢	$502	0xa5db68…
10-06 05:54:21	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x833597…
10-06 05:54:21	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	150	93¢	$140	0x704990…
10-06 05:54:21	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	100	93¢	$93	0x064b61…
10-03 06:29:27	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	95¢	$954	0x31a272…
10-03 01:49:45	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,000	93¢	$1,860	0x3f00a1…
10-01 19:52:32	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	48	92¢	$44	0x2a6c7c…
10-01 17:09:06	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	50	92¢	$46	0xf59a31…
10-01 17:09:05	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	744	92¢	$685	0xe1d897…
10-01 17:09:03	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	150	92¢	$138	0x82e366…
10-01 17:09:03	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0x4b0d9f…
09-28 09:20:03	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	326	95¢	$310	0xb379dc…
09-23 01:22:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,268	95¢	$5,004	0xb05863…
09-18 15:32:48	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10,000	2¢	$150	0x3cb4f8…
09-15 18:51:04	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	44	91¢	$40	0x5105da…
09-15 18:50:34	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	282	91¢	$257	0x054535…
09-15 04:14:21	Putin out as President of Russia by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	100¢	$4,975	0xeb3307…
09-14 10:37:39	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	674	93¢	$626	0x485041…
09-09 21:32:12	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	4	91¢	$4	0xe58679…
09-09 21:15:46	Will Ethereum dip to $1,250 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	669	91¢	$609	0x9a95c0…
09-08 09:49:45	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	86	97¢	$83	0x69a136…
09-07 05:01:40	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	535	93¢	$497	0x75226d…
09-07 00:31:06	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	65	93¢	$61	0x4ef3ab…
09-07 00:30:39	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0xe47da1…
09-06 01:20:58	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	9,916	97¢	$9,618	0x466211…
09-05 13:25:10	Will Ethereum dip to $500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,971	98¢	$3,899	0xa5a0b9…
09-03 16:20:24	Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	89¢	$890	0x4fd30e…
08-29 11:46:13	AI bubble burst in 2026?	No	SELL	750	90¢	$675	0x8b15e2…
08-23 12:53:52	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,500	88¢	$1,320	0xe966f3…
08-23 03:53:37	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	95¢	$4,750	0xcb8701…
08-22 01:13:22	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	78	99¢	$77	0xabcf1b…
08-22 01:13:18	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	672	96¢	$648	0x1fc449…
08-22 01:13:01	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x24398e…
08-20 12:37:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	77¢	$385	0x8a1e98…
08-20 02:54:49	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x25c5c8…
08-19 23:54:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	248	91¢	$226	0x6cd1c0…
08-19 18:33:31	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5,000	92¢	$4,600	0xf09a19…
08-19 18:32:51	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,341	91¢	$2,131	0x0757ea…
08-19 16:02:09	Will Ethereum dip to $1,500 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	500	65¢	$324	0x708cca…
08-19 15:21:22	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,659	91¢	$2,419	0x2ebdf9…
08-18 06:03:42	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0xa99030…
08-18 05:41:43	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	89¢	$89	0x7c6da6…
08-18 05:38:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	76	89¢	$68	0x4e332f…
08-17 19:34:49	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	1,143	96¢	$1,097	0xdd3ead…
08-17 19:34:46	will ethereum dip to 700 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	900	96¢	$863	0x8b6b80…
08-17 07:17:30	will ethereum dip to 900 in august 2026	No	BUY	5,000	100¢	$4,975	0xb6c2d7…
08-13 09:28:36	Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	457	93¢	$425	0x44c6a5…
08-12 14:10:06	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	466	93¢	$433	0x949eda…
08-12 13:38:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	93¢	$186	0xad87ed…
08-12 13:02:16	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,150	93¢	$1,070	0x7d1bf5…
08-12 11:45:51	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,774	93¢	$1,650	0xcc7a64…
08-12 10:55:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	108	93¢	$100	0xc214ac…
08-12 10:01:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	7	93¢	$7	0x0e2be6…
08-12 08:04:43	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	93¢	$5	0xe84896…
08-12 08:01:03	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	111	93¢	$103	0x6c8f90…
08-12 06:00:33	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	28	93¢	$26	0x2842e7…
08-12 05:03:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10,950	93¢	$10,184	0x4c7539…
08-12 04:34:49	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	390	93¢	$362	0xb52486…
08-12 03:46:37	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	3	93¢	$3	0x7e1593…
08-12 01:59:30	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	811	93¢	$754	0xf91ed4…
08-11 23:04:22	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	8	93¢	$8	0x29e7e2…
08-11 20:01:58	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	93¢	$1	0x32df3b…
08-11 11:50:07	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	988	93¢	$919	0x53d21a…
08-01 06:05:15	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x6c76ec…
08-01 06:05:11	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb625c5…
08-01 06:02:53	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa5d6f6…
08-01 06:02:48	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0c3777…
08-01 06:02:35	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x37ca63…
08-01 06:01:20	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x321308…
08-01 06:01:17	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0xb042ee…
08-01 05:59:30	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4caa9f…
08-01 05:59:27	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x298880…
08-01 05:58:14	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x08b95f…
08-01 05:58:03	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x82ee07…
08-01 05:53:18	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x11b79f…
08-01 05:53:02	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x124bcf…
08-01 05:51:17	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x5e13cf…
08-01 05:51:02	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x7d107c…
08-01 05:43:48	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc6751b…
08-01 05:43:15	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x6aef1a…
08-01 05:42:05	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x7028b8…
08-01 05:41:42	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x667283…
08-01 05:35:53	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xf3dd2a…
08-01 05:35:21	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa0fd33…
08-01 05:35:17	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	5	50¢	$3	0xb7a049…
08-01 05:35:06	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc15924…
08-01 05:34:51	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x6b06b5…
08-01 05:29:36	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x12255d…
08-01 05:29:32	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xd90e12…
08-01 05:26:06	Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xec70fb…