Realized P&L
-$41
Unrealized P&L
-$13
Hit rate
56.3%
Resolved
383
Trades
72,959
lifetime
Volume
$238.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$758
29 positions
First seen
2026-01-24
last 07-22 00:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 11 days
Categories
Crypto
99% 53% $-41
Other
0%
Politics
0%
Tech
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
78 active days in 12wk • peak 1145 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +192 $117 60¢ $114 $-3 07-16 17:49
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +59 $51 88¢ $52 +$1 07-16 20:56
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +91 $52 56¢ $51 $-1 07-09 20:28
Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026? No +72 $48 70¢ $50 +$2 07-09 20:29
5kt meteor strike in 2026? No +66 $50 76¢ $50 $-0 07-19 03:24
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI? No +100 $50 50¢ $50 $-0 07-16 18:00
Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026? No +75 $35 55¢ $41 +$6 07-09 20:17
Will Trump meet with Mohammed bin Salman in 2026? No +98 $43 38¢ $38 $-5 07-09 20:30
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes +45 $31 66¢ $30 $-1 07-22 00:13
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +44 $30 66¢ $29 $-1 07-22 00:11
Howard Lutnick out as Secretary of Commerce by December 31? No +53 $31 50¢ $27 $-4 07-09 20:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +56 $25 46¢ $26 +$1 07-16 17:51
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +25 $23 90¢ $22 $-1 07-16 18:06
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +30 $23 70¢ $21 $-2 07-16 20:13
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $16B? No +20 $17 82¢ $16 $-0 07-21 20:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +18 $15 86¢ $16 +$0 07-16 21:19
US strike on Colombia by December 31? No +20 $16 78¢ $16 $-0 07-16 21:13
Will David Sacks leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +25 $16 62¢ $15 $-0 07-16 21:51
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +22 $15 70¢ $15 +$0 07-17 22:46
Will the U.S. invade a Latin American country in 2026? No +17 $15 82¢ $14 $-1 07-16 21:41
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +15 $14 90¢ $14 $-0 07-16 20:24
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +15 $14 90¢ $13 $-0 07-22 00:22
Clavicular sentenced to prison? No +12 $10 86¢ $10 +$0 07-16 18:03
Will the US federal government take a stake in D-Wave Quantum Inc.? No +30 $12 28¢ $8 $-3 07-17 01:34
Discord IPO before 2027? No +11 $7 66¢ $7 +$1 07-16 18:08
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +50 $4 10¢ $5 +$1 07-16 21:09
Will the US federal government take a stake in GlobalFoundries Inc.? No +23 $5 19¢ $4 $-1 07-16 21:28
Will Trump meet with Changpeng Zhao in 2026? Yes +20 $2 12¢ $2 $-0 07-22 00:17
Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in 2026? Yes +20 $1 $1 $-0 07-22 00:16