Questionable-Election — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.5%

Resolved

Trades

1,255

lifetime

Volume

$138.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$110

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-03 19:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 12 days

Categories

Crypto

75% 100% +$6

Other

18% 100% +$4

Politics

5% 0% $-10

Sports

1% 0% $-2

Tech

1% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	8	$6.4K	8,800	8,800	+0	open	—	07-04 21:16
will the price of ethereum be less than 1600 on april 6	1	$3.1K	3,103	0	+3,103	open	—	04-05 18:45
will bitcoin dip to 63k on april 1	1	$2.0K	1,954	0	+1,954	open	—	04-01 18:48
bitcoin above 60k on april 6	1	$1.9K	1,867	0	+1,867	open	—	04-05 18:46
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.8K	1,037	1,000	+37	open	—	08-03 19:42
ethereum above 1600 on march 19	2	$1.7K	1,708	0	+1,708	open	—	03-17 20:32
ethereum above 2300 on april 4	1	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	04-03 21:18
ethereum above 1700 on march 29	1	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	03-28 20:59
ethereum above 2500 on april 2	1	$1.7K	1,702	0	+1,702	open	—	04-01 18:48
bitcoin above 82k on february 5	3	$1.6K	821	821	+0	open	—	02-05 09:32
ethereum above 2600 on april 12	1	$1.5K	1,521	0	+1,521	open	—	04-11 21:58
ethereum above 1800 on march 28	1	$1.5K	1,509	0	+1,509	open	—	03-27 23:14
ethereum above 2500 on march 24	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	03-23 20:34
bitcoin above 78k on april 8	1	$1.5K	1,502	0	+1,502	open	—	04-07 15:56
ethereum above 2500 on april 14	1	$1.5K	1,470	0	+1,470	open	—	04-13 20:40
ethereum above 1700 on april 4	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	04-03 21:18
bitcoin above 78k on march 24	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	open	—	03-23 20:35
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 9?	1	$1.4K	1,401	0	+1,401	No	+$1	05-08 21:36
bitcoin above 64k on march 21	1	$1.3K	1,301	0	+1,301	open	—	03-20 23:04
bitcoin above 58k on april 8	1	$1.3K	1,301	0	+1,301	open	—	04-07 15:55
bitcoin above 78k on march 22	1	$1.1K	1,140	0	+1,140	open	—	03-21 20:29
ethereum above 1700 on march 17	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	03-15 09:50
ethereum above 1800 on april 11	1	$1.1K	1,101	0	+1,101	open	—	04-10 20:02
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	1	$1.1K	1,093	0	+1,093	open	—	04-25 13:09
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 13	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	open	—	04-12 21:03
ethereum above 2700 on april 15	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	04-14 20:05
will the price of bitcoin be between 78000 80000 on march 20	1	$1.0K	1,006	0	+1,006	open	—	03-19 20:10
bitcoin above 82k on march 17	1	$1.0K	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	03-16 20:37
bitcoin above 78k on march 26	1	$1.0K	1,002	0	+1,002	open	—	03-25 16:16
bitcoin above 62k on april 11	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	04-10 20:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-03 19:42:02	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	37	92¢	$34	0xb936e0…
08-02 09:39:21	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	No	SELL	40	56¢	$22	0x2dd511…
08-01 20:13:05	will the bitcoin volatility index hit 50 by august 31	No	BUY	40	79¢	$32	0x9db684…
08-01 20:12:06	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	SELL	20	45¢	$9	0x27af26…
07-31 19:27:35	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	14	83¢	$11	0xb031d2…
07-31 19:24:50	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x4e98dc…
07-29 20:51:17	bitcoin above 58k on july 30 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2c5e0b…
07-26 19:45:10	ethereum above 1700 on july 27 2026	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4fac28…
07-25 17:23:19	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	SELL	60	70¢	$42	0x32194c…
07-24 20:30:15	will trump and netanyahu hug on tuesday 20260724181151719	No	BUY	60	89¢	$53	0x59b3c3…
07-23 19:48:13	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	SELL	100	91¢	$91	0x7c69d3…
07-23 07:45:07	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	14	93¢	$13	0x1b3298…
07-23 07:44:57	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x0d94a1…
07-23 07:44:45	la28 olympics run as scheduled 20260721200040093	Yes	BUY	66	93¢	$61	0x01b674…
07-22 20:13:51	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xf8040e…
07-21 20:06:19	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	16	91¢	$15	0x8ce70b…
07-21 20:05:31	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	SELL	35	87¢	$30	0x40639b…
07-21 20:04:52	will total crypto market cap hit 4t in 2026 20260721192934663	No	BUY	35	91¢	$32	0x3d6435…
07-20 20:16:42	1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x210ab6…
07-19 13:40:46	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x4d44db…
07-19 13:40:21	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Spain	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0x83f3f2…
07-17 20:23:27	will the announcers say ishowspeed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403334	No	SELL	40	89¢	$36	0x6ad15b…
07-16 20:23:43	will the announcers say qatar or russia during the france vs england fifa world cup match 20260716154740632	No	BUY	20	46¢	$9	0xc49659…
07-16 18:50:55	Will Based Polymarket revenue hit $1M before 2027?	Yes	SELL	3	6¢	$0	0x1f8488…
07-16 18:47:23	will the announcers say ishowspeed during the argentina vs spain fifa world cup match 20260716161403334	No	BUY	40	93¢	$37	0x662776…
07-15 19:40:44	bitcoin above 68k on july 16 2026	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x83da75…
07-14 19:57:04	will clavicular visit thailand in 2026 20260714153003044	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0x964e88…
07-14 19:54:49	will clavicular visit thailand in 2026 20260714153003044	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x0dcc5e…
07-10 17:22:38	will perpl launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174007609	Yes	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0xde6cda…
07-08 18:58:14	Trump suspends U.S. entry for more countries by by June 30?	No	SELL	3	74¢	$2	0xba0576…
07-08 18:54:07	will perpl launch a token by december 31 2026 20260708174007609	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x51d98a…
07-08 18:20:22	bitcoin above 66k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x88cfac…
07-04 21:16:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3,200	17¢	$544	0x4854c7…
07-04 04:52:20	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3,200	23¢	$736	0x5dab0d…
07-03 20:25:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	3,200	24¢	$768	0xf8dccf…
07-03 20:24:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	3,200	25¢	$800	0x2926cb…
07-03 20:21:44	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	88¢	$880	0x64dd91…
07-03 04:56:34	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	88¢	$880	0x8ace78…
07-02 19:42:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,200	73¢	$876	0xbcd149…
07-02 19:42:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,200	74¢	$888	0xe30d73…
07-02 19:41:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	SELL	1,200	73¢	$876	0x155441…
07-02 19:41:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	1,200	74¢	$888	0xe0f8c0…
07-01 10:49:37	will trump praise allah on july 4 20260629184051840	Yes	BUY	23	4¢	$1	0x5db461…
07-01 06:02:07	will trump praise allah on july 4 20260629184051840	Yes	BUY	12	4¢	$0	0xe0bcb1…
07-01 05:01:01	will trump praise allah on july 4 20260629184051840	Yes	BUY	20	4¢	$1	0x5a3c35…
07-01 02:01:56	will trump praise allah on july 4 20260629184051840	Yes	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xb344f9…
06-30 21:01:08	will trump praise allah on july 4 20260629184051840	Yes	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xd400db…
06-30 19:17:49	bitcoin above 50k on july 2 2026	Yes	BUY	600	100¢	$598	0x61c998…
06-30 19:17:19	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	300	100¢	$299	0xc200f4…
06-29 19:10:40	bitcoin above 56k on june 30 2026	Yes	BUY	900	100¢	$898	0x815df5…
06-28 20:14:05	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x60b431…
06-27 21:10:19	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x120083…
06-27 20:43:50	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x72d8cb…
06-26 20:25:28	bitcoin above 54k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	701	100¢	$700	0xdd72db…
06-25 19:32:19	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	SELL	10	50¢	$5	0xc5cc09…
06-24 19:58:22	will ethereum dip to 1400 on june 24	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x811925…
06-23 20:12:28	Puffpaw FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x897351…
06-23 20:12:20	Trump out as President before 2027?	No	SELL	11	90¢	$10	0x837ab8…
06-23 20:07:56	bitcoin above 56k on june 24 2026	Yes	BUY	415	100¢	$415	0x5585e0…
06-22 19:49:38	bitcoin above 58k on june 23 2026	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x809553…
06-22 19:48:49	btc updown 5m 1782157500	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xe980d1…
06-22 19:48:43	btc updown 5m 1782157500	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xb86e48…
06-22 19:48:02	btc updown 5m 1782157500	Down	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xd7302e…
06-22 19:47:47	btc updown 5m 1782157500	Down	SELL	5	89¢	$5	0x60364d…
06-22 19:47:31	btc updown 5m 1782157500	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xd48c6a…
06-21 19:22:59	solana above 60 on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xc73597…
06-21 19:21:43	bitcoin above 58k on june 22 2026	Yes	BUY	901	100¢	$900	0x981f26…
06-20 20:42:01	ethereum above 1600 on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x72b9a4…
06-20 20:39:32	bitcoin above 58k on june 21 2026	Yes	BUY	1,001	100¢	$1,000	0xd4d044…
06-18 20:21:13	Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027?	No	SELL	11	57¢	$6	0x1aaca0…
06-15 19:47:37	sc2 gerald solar 2026 06 16	Solar	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfa34a5…
06-13 16:04:13	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	26	98¢	$25	0x76a3aa…
06-07 20:00:25	will bitcoin dip to 55k on june 7	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xfabd97…
06-07 14:02:12	bitcoin above 60k on june 7 2026 159	Yes	BUY	8	98¢	$8	0xca67b1…
06-05 14:35:33	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	Yes	SELL	197	52¢	$102	0xa6e96c…
06-04 19:49:45	ethereum above 1600 on june 5 2026	Yes	BUY	197	99¢	$195	0xad545a…
06-03 19:14:46	Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf13758…
06-03 19:08:33	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,500 on June 4?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x812431…
06-01 20:06:59	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 on June 1?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc2688c…
05-31 16:39:08	Will Ethereum dip to $1,900 May 25-31?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x61913a…
05-31 16:33:39	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	SELL	13	83¢	$11	0xdd5527…
05-31 16:33:32	Will the Doge-1 Lunar Mission launch before 2027?	No	SELL	15	89¢	$14	0x627023…
05-31 16:33:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	SELL	18	85¢	$16	0xbb0ae9…
05-31 10:40:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x59e2a5…
05-30 12:07:24	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd71164…
05-29 18:36:15	will bitcoin reach 80k on may 29	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8dcbc0…
05-28 23:18:45	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x164978…
05-27 10:22:26	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,100 on May 27?	No	BUY	20	77¢	$15	0xe7c36e…
05-27 10:21:49	Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on May 27?	No	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x3e85b9…
05-26 12:50:08	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	26¢	$26	0xc955c5…
05-24 19:54:30	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe5acf2…
05-24 19:54:11	Will Semtech (SMTC) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	11	95¢	$10	0x8acc1c…
05-23 20:01:48	Will Bernie say "Trumpism" in Maine?	No	BUY	17	89¢	$15	0xbadd53…
05-22 20:49:55	Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x853120…
05-22 20:49:23	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 23?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0xa6e0be…
05-21 17:17:57	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3e0bc7…
05-20 17:40:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 21?	Yes	BUY	30	100¢	$30	0x0f7310…
05-20 17:39:03	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 20?	Yes	BUY	20	98¢	$20	0x9165eb…
05-18 15:44:18	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 19?	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0x938e83…
05-18 15:43:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	31	98¢	$30	0xa42e9b…