Realized P&L
+$3.87K
Unrealized P&L
+$30.6K
Hit rate
46.8%
Resolved
555
Trades
8,404
lifetime
Volume
$819.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$97
Open exposure
$112.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 10-26 22:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 136 days
Categories
Other
52%
32%
-$9,030
Crypto
33%
39%
+$10,017
Politics
8%
19%
-$3,270
Tech
5%
86%
+$3,959
Sports
2%
15%
+$2,191
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk
• peak 111 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ink fdv above 100m one day after launch | No | +12,039 | $5,460 | 81¢ | $9.8K | +$4,291 | 10-26 11:16 | |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | +10,418 | $4,104 | 94¢ | $9.7K | +$5,637 | 07-26 18:11 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +11,196 | $7,266 | 80¢ | $8.9K | +$1,635 | 08-18 08:46 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +8,797 | $6,556 | 93¢ | $8.2K | +$1,651 | 10-25 03:30 | |
| Ink FDV above $250M one day after launch? | No | +9,006 | $2,138 | 80¢ | $7.2K | +$5,066 | 10-26 17:28 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +8,922 | $3,061 | 61¢ | $5.4K | +$2,381 | 10-20 14:11 | |
| Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by December 31? | No | +5,351 | $4,329 | 88¢ | $4.7K | +$353 | 10-26 15:33 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | +6,313 | $3,705 | 74¢ | $4.7K | +$966 | 09-04 08:25 | |
| Metamask FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +4,685 | $3,651 | 96¢ | $4.5K | +$823 | 10-05 12:49 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +4,389 | $3,213 | 92¢ | $4.0K | +$825 | 10-20 07:17 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | -3,998 | -$4,224 | 98¢ | $-3920 | +$305 | 07-23 00:49 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +4,036 | $4,248 | 93¢ | $3.8K | -$497 | 10-22 05:30 | |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +3,622 | $2,288 | 94¢ | $3.4K | +$1,099 | 10-25 03:15 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,363 | $2,245 | 95¢ | $3.2K | +$953 | 10-18 13:07 | |
| Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,949 | $2,681 | 96¢ | $2.8K | +$136 | 10-22 12:10 | |
| Base FDV above $8B one day after launch? | No | +3,265 | $2,244 | 85¢ | $2.8K | +$531 | 10-23 04:11 | |
| Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? | Yes | +6,005 | $2,167 | 44¢ | $2.6K | +$454 | 10-19 09:30 | |
| Will Revolut launch a USD stablecoin in 2026? | No | +3,878 | $2,121 | 66¢ | $2.6K | +$438 | 09-24 19:09 | |
| Will OpenSea launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +2,407 | $1,460 | 91¢ | $2.2K | +$738 | 10-24 16:45 | |
| Base FDV above $6B one day after launch? | No | +2,639 | $1,734 | 82¢ | $2.2K | +$443 | 10-22 02:33 | |
| Will STRC hit $100 by December 31? | No | +7,688 | $1,997 | 28¢ | $2.1K | +$141 | 10-19 06:22 | |
| Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | +2,288 | $1,882 | 84¢ | $1.9K | +$31 | 10-24 04:44 | |
| Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? | No | +3,000 | $1,687 | 62¢ | $1.9K | +$185 | 10-22 17:00 | |
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? | No | +2,000 | $1,640 | 84¢ | $1.7K | +$31 | 10-04 08:12 | |
| Will Trump and Putin not meet? | No | +2,004 | $718 | 82¢ | $1.6K | +$926 | 08-17 12:44 | |
| Will MetaMask launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,698 | $1,476 | 94¢ | $1.6K | +$119 | 09-22 13:20 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +1,575 | $1,348 | 94¢ | $1.5K | +$125 | 10-01 05:02 | |
| Base FDV above $10B one day after launch? | No | +1,631 | $1,083 | 84¢ | $1.4K | +$295 | 07-30 15:10 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? | Yes | +1,354 | $769 | 96¢ | $1.3K | +$524 | 10-06 06:38 | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +2,896 | $1,236 | 44¢ | $1.3K | +$23 | 09-25 11:57 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 303 | $83.0K | 41,970 | 45,968 | -3,998 | open | — | 07-23 00:49 |
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30, 2026? | 30 | $82.7K | 41,803 | 41,803 | +0 | No | -$553 | 09-10 04:07 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | 320 | $26.1K | 14,119 | 14,484 | -365 | open | — | 06-12 15:34 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | 37 | $13.7K | 7,536 | 7,536 | +0 | open | — | 10-22 22:36 |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | 101 | $13.3K | 26,825 | 26,825 | +0 | open | — | 08-10 15:09 |
| SpaceX IPO: Closing Price Up/Down End of First Month? | 29 | $13.0K | 12,981 | 9,849 | +3,133 | Up | +$2,687 | 06-28 21:34 |
| will solana reach 90 in july 2026 | 10 | $10.1K | 6,511 | 6,511 | +0 | No | +$2,749 | 07-27 22:57 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 50 | $9.8K | 11,032 | 4,000 | +7,032 | No | +$2,090 | 04-27 15:11 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | 25 | $8.9K | 5,545 | 5,520 | +25 | No | +$2,170 | 04-30 18:56 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | 60 | $8.7K | 5,019 | 5,114 | -95 | open | — | 10-06 02:35 |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | 44 | $7.4K | 7,227 | 3,191 | +4,036 | open | — | 10-22 05:30 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 19 | $7.3K | 11,196 | 0 | +11,196 | open | — | 08-18 08:46 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | 50 | $7.1K | 5,612 | 5,831 | -219 | Yes | +$4,331 | 07-15 02:05 |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 68 | $6.6K | 8,797 | 0 | +8,797 | open | — | 10-25 03:30 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 41 | $6.1K | 30,000 | 30,000 | +0 | open | — | 07-09 20:13 |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | 53 | $5.6K | 8,633 | 2,291 | +6,342 | open | — | 10-06 04:57 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 34 | $5.5K | 9,000 | 9,000 | +0 | open | — | 05-05 23:27 |
| Ink FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 57 | $5.5K | 12,039 | 0 | +12,039 | open | — | 10-26 11:16 |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | 23 | $5.5K | 8,413 | 8,413 | +0 | open | — | 10-24 09:57 |
| Base FDV above $12B one day after launch? | 20 | $5.4K | 3,292 | 3,117 | +175 | open | — | 10-26 18:17 |
| Will Mojtaba Khamenei be head of state in Iran end of 2026? | 34 | $5.1K | 8,092 | 8,092 | +0 | open | — | 10-02 13:26 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | 16 | $5.1K | 11,418 | 1,000 | +10,418 | open | — | 07-26 18:11 |
| Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by December 31, 2026? | 64 | $5.0K | 30,034 | 30,034 | +0 | open | — | 09-22 02:25 |
| Will Alexander Zverev win the 2026 Men's French Open? | 59 | $5.0K | 6,335 | 6,838 | -504 | Yes | +$2,165 | 06-03 01:14 |
| will coin reach 195 in june 2026 | 22 | $4.8K | 3,192 | 3,191 | +0 | No | +$1,563 | 06-30 19:43 |
| Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | 12 | $4.8K | 3,995 | 3,995 | +0 | open | — | 10-02 11:57 |
| Will China GDP growth in Q3 2026 be between 4.3% and 4.6%? | 30 | $4.7K | 3,017 | 3,017 | +0 | Yes | +$1,370 | 10-19 06:22 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | 28 | $4.6K | 2,730 | 2,730 | +0 | No | +$378 | 08-21 00:52 |
| Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | 18 | $4.6K | 3,773 | 3,773 | +0 | No | +$866 | 09-10 04:09 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 10 | $4.3K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | No | -$20 | 04-11 01:27 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||