Realized P&L
-$924
Unrealized P&L
+$5.08K
Hit rate
2.9%
Resolved
8
Trades
2,556
lifetime
Volume
$277.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$108
Open exposure
$86.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-04
last 07-21 06:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
45%
0%
$-7
Crypto
39%
14%
$-917
Politics
9%
—
—
Tech
6%
—
—
Sports
1%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
82 active days in 12wk
• peak 217 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | +39,675 | $39,547 | 99¢ | $39.1K | $-428 | 07-20 23:33 | |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | No | +10,018 | $3,859 | 64¢ | $6.5K | +$2,602 | 07-20 08:52 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | No | +6,291 | $5,354 | 92¢ | $5.8K | +$434 | 07-06 12:09 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | -5,574 | $-5,473 | 96¢ | $-5332 | +$141 | 07-11 16:05 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +4,768 | $2,894 | 64¢ | $3.1K | +$182 | 07-17 07:45 | |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | No | +5,641 | $2,621 | 42¢ | $2.4K | $-224 | 07-19 19:28 | |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | +2,063 | $1,662 | 94¢ | $1.9K | +$287 | 07-15 11:47 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +2,185 | $1,238 | 83¢ | $1.8K | +$570 | 07-19 13:09 | |
| Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | +2,748 | $1,567 | 58¢ | $1.6K | +$40 | 07-20 08:47 | |
| Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch? | No | +1,981 | $1,325 | 80¢ | $1.6K | +$250 | 07-19 13:09 | |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | No | +1,623 | $1,278 | 92¢ | $1.5K | +$223 | 06-18 00:54 | |
| Base FDV above $2B one day after launch? | No | +3,818 | $1,116 | 39¢ | $1.5K | +$373 | 07-19 18:00 | |
| Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,501 | $982 | 78¢ | $1.2K | +$189 | 07-16 12:50 | |
| Will Theo launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | +1,105 | $854 | 85¢ | $939 | +$85 | 07-18 12:36 | |
| Will GameStop acquire eBay? | Yes | +6,406 | $980 | 15¢ | $929 | $-51 | 06-17 13:55 | |
| Will Rabby launch a token by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,013 | $830 | 92¢ | $927 | +$97 | 06-28 05:21 | |
| Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch? | No | +1,111 | $696 | 82¢ | $906 | +$209 | 07-19 13:10 | |
| Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026? | No | +1,851 | $862 | 48¢ | $898 | +$36 | 07-15 05:31 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by December 31, 2026? | Yes | -2,241 | $-983 | 40¢ | $-896 | +$86 | 07-18 07:01 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? | Yes | -1,000 | $-830 | 82¢ | $-825 | +$5 | 07-17 16:27 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +1,002 | $732 | 82¢ | $817 | +$85 | 06-08 00:36 | |
| Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? | No | +9,356 | $829 | 8¢ | $781 | $-48 | 07-20 00:14 | |
| Will Predict.fun launch a token by June 30, 2027? | Yes | +1,200 | $969 | 62¢ | $741 | $-228 | 06-15 19:37 | |
| Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch? | No | +909 | $562 | 80¢ | $731 | +$169 | 06-29 09:35 | |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | No | -751 | $-720 | 97¢ | $-728 | $-8 | 06-12 15:34 | |
| Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | No | +1,100 | $674 | 56¢ | $621 | $-53 | 07-20 16:24 | |
| Will Ethereum hit $1,000 or $3,000 first? | $1,000 | +1,164 | $589 | 52¢ | $611 | +$22 | 07-14 17:53 | |
| Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? | No | +688 | $576 | 87¢ | $599 | +$22 | 07-05 09:08 | |
| Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch? | No | +613 | $556 | 95¢ | $582 | +$26 | 07-18 12:52 | |
| Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? | No | +2,487 | $589 | 23¢ | $572 | $-17 | 07-20 23:30 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026? | 7 | $43.7K | 41,803 | 2,128 | +39,675 | open | — | 07-20 23:33 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 200 | $16.7K | 3,917 | 13,604 | -9,686 | open | — | 07-11 16:05 |
| spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233 | 24 | $12.0K | 11,363 | 9,849 | +1,514 | open | — | 06-28 21:34 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733 | 50 | $9.8K | 11,032 | 4,000 | +7,032 | open | — | 04-27 15:11 |
| Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April? | 25 | $8.9K | 5,545 | 5,520 | +25 | open | — | 04-30 18:56 |
| Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? | 41 | $6.1K | 30,000 | 30,000 | +0 | open | — | 07-09 20:13 |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | 19 | $5.4K | 6,379 | 0 | +6,379 | open | — | 07-06 12:09 |
| will coin reach 195 in june 2026 | 22 | $4.8K | 3,192 | 3,191 | +0 | open | — | 06-30 19:43 |
| us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026 | 10 | $4.3K | 2,500 | 2,500 | +0 | open | — | 04-11 01:27 |
| Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? | 7 | $4.2K | 10,018 | 600 | +9,418 | open | — | 07-20 08:52 |
| USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch? | 9 | $3.9K | 8,797 | 441 | +8,355 | open | — | 04-19 22:28 |
| will solana reach 90 in july 2026 | 5 | $3.7K | 6,511 | 0 | +6,511 | open | — | 07-02 06:14 |
| Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch? | 8 | $3.6K | 5,361 | 1,641 | +3,720 | open | — | 04-29 13:28 |
| Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? | 26 | $3.4K | 1,376 | 2,307 | -931 | open | — | 06-12 15:34 |
| megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352 | 13 | $3.3K | 5,635 | 2,000 | +3,635 | open | — | 04-24 03:47 |
| will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 | 57 | $3.3K | 30,034 | 0 | +30,034 | open | — | 07-06 14:24 |
| Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 9 | $2.9K | 1,943 | 1,943 | +0 | open | — | 05-25 13:52 |
| MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch? | 5 | $2.9K | 1,975 | 1,975 | +0 | open | — | 04-23 21:37 |
| Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? | 2 | $2.9K | 4,768 | 0 | +4,768 | open | — | 07-17 07:45 |
| Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? | 9 | $2.7K | 1,501 | 1,501 | +0 | open | — | 07-17 05:36 |
| Fed rate hike in 2026? | 31 | $2.6K | 5,641 | 0 | +5,641 | open | — | 07-19 19:28 |
| MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? | 25 | $2.6K | 2,000 | 1,000 | +1,000 | open | — | 05-18 12:29 |
| Will Solana reach $90 in April? | 20 | $2.5K | 6,582 | 0 | +6,582 | open | — | 04-15 16:15 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in May? | 24 | $2.5K | 1,712 | 1,698 | +14 | open | — | 05-28 13:51 |
| will apyx launch a token by december 31 2026 | 8 | $2.4K | 4,294 | 3,000 | +1,294 | open | — | 07-14 12:10 |
| Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? | 16 | $2.1K | 2,189 | 467 | +1,723 | open | — | 06-18 00:54 |
| Will Solana reach $100 in April? | 48 | $2.0K | 1,194 | 1,193 | +1 | open | — | 04-30 10:49 |
| Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? | 21 | $2.0K | 2,347 | 300 | +2,047 | open | — | 07-15 11:47 |
| will solana dip to 60 in june 2026 | 3 | $1.9K | 1,972 | 1,800 | +172 | open | — | 06-04 12:02 |
| will spacexs valuation hit high 3pt0t by june 30 | 27 | $1.8K | 5,409 | 0 | +5,409 | open | — | 06-17 17:13 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||