Subdued-Revenant — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$924

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

2.9%

Resolved

Trades

2,929

lifetime

Volume

$332.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$114

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-04

last 08-11 00:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

45% 0% $-7

Crypto

41% 14% $-917

Politics

8% — —

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

82 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	12	$48.2K	41,803	6,719	+35,084	open	—	08-08 23:45
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	201	$17.2K	3,917	14,104	-10,186	open	—	07-23 00:49
spacex ipo closing price updown end of first month 20260608182738233	24	$12.0K	11,363	9,849	+1,514	open	—	06-28 21:34
will solana reach 90 in july 2026	10	$10.1K	6,511	6,511	+0	open	—	07-27 22:57
megaeth market cap fdv 2b one day after launch 738 867 649 272 765 733	50	$9.8K	11,032	4,000	+7,032	open	—	04-27 15:11
Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in April?	25	$8.9K	5,545	5,520	+25	open	—	04-30 18:56
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	15	$7.1K	10,957	0	+10,957	open	—	08-10 17:40
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	41	$6.1K	30,000	30,000	+0	open	—	07-09 20:13
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81	19	$5.4K	6,379	0	+6,379	open	—	07-06 12:09
will coin reach 195 in june 2026	22	$4.8K	3,192	3,191	+0	open	—	06-30 19:43
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026?	8	$4.5K	10,618	600	+10,018	open	—	07-26 18:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	10	$4.3K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	04-11 01:27
USD.AI FDV above $300M one day after launch?	9	$3.9K	8,797	441	+8,355	open	—	04-19 22:28
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	8	$3.7K	4,668	0	+4,668	open	—	08-01 20:43
Gensyn FDV above $400M one day after launch?	8	$3.6K	5,361	1,641	+3,720	open	—	04-29 13:28
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026?	26	$3.4K	1,376	2,307	-931	open	—	06-12 15:34
Puffpaw FDV above $50M one day after launch?	18	$3.3K	5,452	200	+5,252	open	—	08-01 09:45
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	13	$3.3K	5,635	2,000	+3,635	open	—	04-24 03:47
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026	57	$3.3K	30,034	0	+30,034	open	—	07-06 14:24
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	28	$3.2K	6,406	22,127	-15,721	open	—	08-10 15:09
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	23	$3.0K	2,430	1,287	+1,142	open	—	08-05 11:15
Fed rate hike in 2026?	32	$3.0K	6,641	0	+6,641	open	—	08-05 15:22
Solstice FDV above $100M one day after launch?	9	$2.9K	1,943	1,943	+0	open	—	05-25 13:52
Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	17	$2.9K	4,325	0	+4,325	open	—	08-03 22:29
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$800M one day after launch?	5	$2.9K	1,975	1,975	+0	open	—	04-23 21:37
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31?	9	$2.7K	1,501	1,501	+0	open	—	07-17 05:36
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	25	$2.6K	2,000	1,000	+1,000	open	—	05-18 12:29
Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	15	$2.5K	3,773	1,723	+2,050	open	—	08-04 00:23
Will Solana reach $90 in April?	20	$2.5K	6,582	0	+6,582	open	—	04-15 16:15
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	24	$2.5K	1,712	1,698	+14	open	—	05-28 13:51

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 01:15:37	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 350b hkd 20260727205430941	No	BUY	78	92¢	$72	0x910e2c…
08-11 01:15:21	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 350b hkd 20260727205430941	No	BUY	319	92¢	$292	0x497055…
08-11 01:11:39	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 400b hkd 20260727205430940	No	BUY	21	92¢	$20	0xd78cb1…
08-11 01:10:46	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 250b hkd 20260727205430943	No	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xa9400a…
08-11 01:10:25	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 400b hkd 20260727205430940	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xff60b6…
08-11 01:10:15	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 300b hkd 20260727205430942	No	BUY	356	75¢	$266	0xe45a21…
08-11 00:37:19	StandX FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	515	10¢	$51	0x705bab…
08-10 23:16:21	will solana reach 100 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x757132…
08-10 17:40:24	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	237	64¢	$151	0x0f30d6…
08-10 15:48:15	will coin reach 180 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x30b091…
08-10 15:09:34	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	Yes	SELL	22,127	10¢	$2,213	0x6aac35…
08-10 14:49:39	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	545	39¢	$213	0xbd7bd3…
08-10 13:16:42	will solana reach 100 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	27	34¢	$9	0xf07e99…
08-10 00:03:06	Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	673	77¢	$518	0xfdbf37…
08-09 23:52:45	Opensea FDV above $300M one day after launch?	No	BUY	30	89¢	$27	0x21c6b8…
08-09 23:38:45	will solana reach 100 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xea5a95…
08-09 23:23:12	will solana reach 100 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0x317b85…
08-09 22:15:00	will solana reach 100 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x77fbe8…
08-09 19:40:37	will abstract launch a token by september 30 2026	No	SELL	173	98¢	$170	0xe277da…
08-09 06:49:15	will solana reach 100 by december 31 2026 from june 8	No	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x951b3d…
08-09 04:07:06	Will Hibachi launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xbfbd14…
08-08 23:45:22	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	1,000	98¢	$982	0xbdab0e…
08-08 23:42:43	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 250b hkd 20260727205430943	No	BUY	466	51¢	$236	0x42ae50…
08-08 10:39:30	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 250b hkd 20260727205430943	No	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0xb2c7ff…
08-08 00:47:13	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x05f69e…
08-08 00:47:12	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	30	38¢	$11	0x623f50…
08-08 00:47:12	base fdv above 500m one day after launch	No	BUY	60	38¢	$23	0x4b8d43…
08-08 00:11:24	will coin reach 175 in august 2026	No	BUY	385	62¢	$239	0x048a7e…
08-07 23:37:37	Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	490	95¢	$467	0xeaf959…
08-07 07:05:54	Abstract FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	300	68¢	$204	0x497352…
08-07 06:07:01	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	300	98¢	$295	0x9e123f…
08-07 04:35:36	will rabby launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x6d2402…
08-07 03:41:13	Multipli.fi FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	500	30¢	$150	0x25182f…
08-06 23:39:11	will hylo launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	88	47¢	$41	0xb49c88…
08-06 23:21:35	Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	160	60¢	$96	0xc2c477…
08-06 23:00:15	Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	178	81¢	$144	0x50b7e7…
08-06 22:50:38	Arc FDV above $1B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	110	62¢	$68	0xae53bc…
08-06 22:49:39	Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	97	51¢	$49	0x66db9b…
08-06 22:48:15	Arc FDV above $2B one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	182	50¢	$92	0x78db27…
08-06 15:18:45	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0xab1dff…
08-06 15:18:36	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	61	40¢	$24	0x94847b…
08-06 11:33:20	Will Abstract launch a token by December 31, 2026	No	BUY	507	83¢	$419	0xc6e428…
08-06 11:33:06	will abstract launch a token by september 30 2027	No	BUY	36	58¢	$21	0x4028f1…
08-06 08:53:42	will coin dip to 125 in august 2026	No	BUY	194	65¢	$126	0x8e722b…
08-06 08:52:50	will coin reach 175 in august 2026	No	BUY	111	62¢	$69	0x586079…
08-06 08:45:05	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $2B?	No	BUY	507	90¢	$457	0x867c64…
08-06 08:26:12	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 350b hkd 20260727205430941	No	BUY	32	89¢	$29	0x1f2016…
08-06 08:25:48	will sheins closing ipo market cap be at least 400b hkd 20260727205430940	No	BUY	40	88¢	$35	0xdfacdf…
08-06 08:17:24	Will Arc launch a token by June 30 2027?	No	BUY	59	44¢	$26	0x918eba…
08-06 08:14:08	will coin reach 170 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	56¢	$22	0x52e129…
08-06 00:14:24	Will Hibachi launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	99	75¢	$74	0xe44377…
08-05 17:50:38	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	308	14¢	$43	0x3cd7b4…
08-05 17:47:21	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x887044…
08-05 15:22:57	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	37¢	$370	0x3adce6…
08-05 13:38:09	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x00041a…
08-05 12:00:27	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x9a056a…
08-05 11:15:27	Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	987	100¢	$985	0x1e44e3…
08-05 09:42:53	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	83	14¢	$12	0xa63a2f…
08-05 09:33:09	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0xee4f0f…
08-05 09:09:36	zcashs orchard pool confirmed exploited 20260605210804589	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0xf5c48b…
08-05 08:56:12	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	73	14¢	$10	0xb0ed11…
08-05 08:48:53	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $24B?	No	SELL	35	96¢	$34	0x547606…
08-05 08:13:08	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	66	95¢	$63	0xfc4dc0…
08-05 05:36:21	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb055ef…
08-05 04:38:47	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xf18142…
08-05 02:37:06	Kraken IPO closing market cap above $26B?	No	SELL	59	96¢	$57	0x92a2bf…
08-05 01:12:41	Consensys IPO closing market cap above $3B?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0xb01534…
08-05 00:56:44	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	6	14¢	$1	0xb2160b…
08-05 00:13:59	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	23	14¢	$3	0x8400eb…
08-04 22:28:24	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	31	14¢	$4	0x9b418d…
08-04 22:10:15	SHEIN IPO before 2027?	No	SELL	912	11¢	$99	0xe639ca…
08-04 21:12:33	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	469	99¢	$463	0x71d024…
08-04 21:08:18	will coin dip to 135 in august 2026	No	BUY	66	43¢	$28	0x26dd5b…
08-04 21:01:27	will coin reach 160 in august 2026	No	BUY	150	20¢	$30	0xe907fe…
08-04 21:00:27	will coin reach 180 in august 2026	No	BUY	208	63¢	$131	0x4cbb2e…
08-04 15:10:17	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	2	14¢	$0	0x80337f…
08-04 14:29:47	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x5ea3cd…
08-04 14:28:33	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	23	57¢	$13	0x72073b…
08-04 14:27:59	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	8	57¢	$4	0x7daf2e…
08-04 14:14:14	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	23	95¢	$21	0xee0641…
08-04 11:53:03	will coin dip to 130 in august 2026	No	BUY	497	55¢	$273	0x304e8f…
08-04 10:33:44	Metamask FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	280	95¢	$266	0xec20b7…
08-04 08:08:45	Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	No	BUY	31	71¢	$22	0x2f3526…
08-04 03:36:36	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	No	BUY	90	57¢	$51	0xaaa0b5…
08-04 00:24:41	Will Extended launch a token by December 31 2026?	No	SELL	1,069	11¢	$123	0xd28c66…
08-04 00:23:36	Will Extended launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	165	41¢	$68	0x87ef66…
08-03 22:56:05	Will Tempo launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	401	98¢	$395	0x06dfeb…
08-03 22:37:11	will coin reach 170 in august 2026	No	BUY	125	59¢	$74	0xd1e793…
08-03 22:36:33	will coin reach 175 in august 2026	No	BUY	109	62¢	$68	0x7bc84f…
08-03 22:35:59	will coin dip to 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	490	26¢	$127	0x04ac5e…
08-03 22:35:26	will coin dip to 135 in august 2026	No	BUY	595	38¢	$227	0xa895bc…
08-03 22:34:09	will coin reach 165 in august 2026	No	BUY	416	46¢	$191	0xe928e7…
08-03 22:31:36	will coin reach 190 in august 2026	No	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0xb10e30…
08-03 22:29:20	Opensea FDV above $100M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	89¢	$134	0x2e4645…
08-03 22:28:03	base fdv above 1b one day after launch	No	BUY	580	40¢	$232	0x495806…
08-03 20:17:00	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	376	14¢	$53	0x1a5cfa…
08-03 19:21:53	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0x6b1011…
08-03 19:10:32	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x0d9c5b…
08-03 10:55:47	Metamask FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x8af6fb…
08-03 09:15:51	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	31¢	$31	0xa1ff1c…