Realized P&L
+$617
Unrealized P&L
-$270
Hit rate
51.7%
Resolved
160
Trades
953
lifetime
Volume
$61.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$9.16K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-06
last 10-16 06:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 46 days
Categories
Other
44% 41% +$2,271
Crypto
39% 38% -$1,727
Politics
13% 44% +$747
Tech
4% 33% -$674
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
42 active days in 12wk • peak 87 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Theo FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +4,852 $2,024 69¢ $3.3K +$1,324 08-10 13:46
Will Marine Le Pen win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4,501 $1,382 45¢ $2.0K +$646 08-10 17:56
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes +754 $659 99¢ $749 +$89 08-24 03:33
Reya FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +790 $647 94¢ $747 +$99 07-12 12:04
Unit FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +1,000 $330 54¢ $540 +$210 07-13 17:00
Abstract FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +490 $185 98¢ $481 +$296 07-12 12:19
Will the Democrats win the Arizona governor race in 2026? Yes +200 $178 90¢ $180 +$2 08-12 20:19
Variational FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes +200 $144 88¢ $177 +$33 07-08 14:40
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +236 $66 57¢ $136 +$70 07-07 08:37
Predict.fun FDV above $300M one day after launch? No +4,517 $1,005 3¢ $136 -$869 07-20 17:25
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? No +88 $48 84¢ $73 +$25 08-12 16:16
Predict.fun FDV above $200M one day after launch? No +2,975 $623 2¢ $64 -$559 08-04 16:09
Predict.fun FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +6,704 $1,026 1¢ $64 -$962 09-19 10:36
Surf FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +245 $54 26¢ $63 +$9 08-02 17:20
Over $600M raised on Coinbase in 2026? No +67 $42 70¢ $47 +$6 08-02 17:25
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +60 $24 74¢ $44 +$20 08-11 04:54
Predict.fun FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +6,687 $165 1¢ $43 -$122 09-16 01:42
Predict.fun FDV above $400M one day after launch? No +955 $243 4¢ $43 -$200 07-12 11:43
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch? No +345 $165 12¢ $40 -$125 07-11 15:59
Predict.fun FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +567 $220 6¢ $37 -$184 07-11 15:59
Variational FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes +43 $18 72¢ $31 +$13 07-09 10:02
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +153 $30 16¢ $25 -$5 08-13 07:07
Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026? Yes +30 $11 72¢ $22 +$10 08-12 17:10
Will Arc launch a token by December 31 2026? Yes +288 $81 6¢ $19 -$62 08-19 07:12
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +100 $26 18¢ $18 -$8 08-07 13:35
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes +113 $18 3¢ $4 -$14 08-07 16:22
Will Likud win 20-24 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? Yes +5 $2 46¢ $2 +$1 08-10 01:05
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? Yes +50 $15 4¢ $2 -$13 08-02 17:29
Will Nasir Hosseini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 07-28 19:29
Will Navid Shomali be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +500 $1 0¢ $1 $0 07-28 19:29