Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026?
open
Total volume
$592
Trades
78
Unique wallets
35
Liquidity
$1,668
Latest YES mid
16¢
Latest NO mid
84¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 22:54
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | $50 | $45 | +$5 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $44 | $165 | $121 |
| 🐟 Fish | 5 | $14 | $10 | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 16 | $25 | $33 | $7 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $58 | $4 | +$54 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 6 | $15 | $17 | $2 |
| Median | 4 | $11 | $6 | +$6 |
| Below median | 7 | $9 | $28 | $19 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $6 | $7 | $1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $24 | $53 | $29 |
| unranked | 8 | $12 | $139 | $127 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | +156 | $122 | $122 | 4 | 07-01 22:53 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | +105 | $38 | $38 | 5 | 06-23 06:02 |
| Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | +64 | $41 | $41 | 2 | 06-07 12:34 |
| (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | +49 | $13 | $13 | 4 | 06-30 21:56 |
| (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | +30 | $8 | $8 | 5 | 06-24 02:02 |
| Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | +19 | $6 | $20 | 4 | 06-11 12:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | +17 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-21 04:17 |
| Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | +16 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 06-23 11:06 |
| Unused-Quantity 0x70b2…5805 | No | +14 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-23 22:16 |
| Fast-Solitaire 0x0f38…75d2 | Yes | +13 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-15 19:32 |
| (anonymous) 0xa7ff…55f2 | Yes | +12 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 06-16 06:09 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-02 15:30 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +10 | $2 | $12 | 3 | 06-16 06:09 |
| Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | +10 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-23 06:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x8b9a…07b7 | No | +8 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-23 09:32 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +7 | $4 | $4 | 2 | 06-11 12:35 |
| (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | +6 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-01 22:54 |
| Sorrowful-Sea 0x3515…6a47 | Yes | +5 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-05 11:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +3 | $-1 | $12 | 2 | 06-30 23:26 |
| Obvious-Warming 0x3428…b226 | Yes | +2 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 15:30 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 22:54:47 | (anonymous) 0xf528…7e5b | No | BUY | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x9b7a66… |
| 07-01 22:54:47 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | SELL | 6 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x9b7a66… |
| 07-01 22:53:26 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xed2e73… |
| 07-01 22:53:26 | Second-Hand-Check 0x514e…0f64 | No | SELL | 1 | 79¢ | $1 | 0xed2e73… |
| 07-01 07:35:02 | Prime-Centurion 0x5709…22c3 | No | SELL | 94 | 79¢ | $74 | 0x80ecb8… |
| 07-01 07:35:02 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 94 | 79¢ | $74 | 0x80ecb8… |
| 06-30 23:26:25 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 30 | 78¢ | $24 | 0x5cc318… |
| 06-30 23:26:25 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 22¢ | $6 | 0x5cc318… |
| 06-30 23:26:25 | Winged-Nation 0x08a6…f3cc | No | SELL | 6 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x5cc318… |
| 06-30 21:56:31 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 10 | 24¢ | $2 | 0x2f05d5… |
| 06-30 21:56:31 | Prickly-Eyrie 0x66e7…8bcd | No | BUY | 31 | 76¢ | $24 | 0x2f05d5… |
| 06-30 06:08:53 | Second-Hand-Check 0x514e…0f64 | No | BUY | 1 | 76¢ | $1 | 0x80938e… |
| 06-30 06:08:53 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 1 | 24¢ | $0 | 0x80938e… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 22 | 72¢ | $16 | 0x14f9ab… |
| 06-25 15:01:53 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 22 | 28¢ | $6 | 0x14f9ab… |
| 06-24 02:02:32 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x022ab6… |
| 06-24 02:02:32 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x022ab6… |
| 06-23 22:16:35 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 26¢ | $0 | 0x0d8c95… |
| 06-23 22:16:35 | Unused-Quantity 0x70b2…5805 | No | BUY | 14 | 74¢ | $10 | 0x0d8c95… |
| 06-23 11:06:44 | Dizzy-Strand 0x4934…6d71 | No | BUY | 16 | 73¢ | $12 | 0x4955aa… |
| 06-23 11:06:44 | (anonymous) 0x489a…fff2 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 26¢ | $2 | 0x4955aa… |
| 06-23 11:06:44 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 8 | 27¢ | $2 | 0x4955aa… |
| 06-23 09:32:55 | (anonymous) 0x8b9a…07b7 | No | BUY | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xafadfc… |
| 06-23 09:32:55 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 8 | 73¢ | $6 | 0xafadfc… |
| 06-23 09:05:53 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | SELL | 7 | 73¢ | $5 | 0xe32102… |
| 06-23 09:05:53 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 27¢ | $2 | 0xe32102… |
| 06-23 08:37:10 | Brilliant-Debate 0x5175…02ea | Yes | SELL | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x03184f… |
| 06-23 08:37:10 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 28¢ | $1 | 0x03184f… |
| 06-23 06:02:32 | Closed-Statin 0x88b3…bad4 | No | BUY | 10 | 71¢ | $7 | 0xa1fbe6… |
| 06-23 06:02:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 29¢ | $3 | 0xa1fbe6… |
| 06-21 04:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x6b0e…e3ea | Yes | BUY | 17 | 30¢ | $5 | 0x52deb0… |
| 06-21 04:17:46 | (anonymous) 0x1790…6fd2 | No | BUY | 17 | 70¢ | $12 | 0x52deb0… |
| 06-16 06:09:46 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 62¢ | $3 | 0xe102b0… |
| 06-16 06:09:46 | (anonymous) 0xa7ff…55f2 | Yes | BUY | 12 | 47¢ | $5 | 0xe102b0… |
| 06-16 06:09:46 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 7 | 35¢ | $2 | 0xe102b0… |
| 06-15 19:32:39 | Fast-Solitaire 0x0f38…75d2 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x345503… |
| 06-15 19:32:39 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | SELL | 13 | 39¢ | $5 | 0x345503… |
| 06-11 12:35:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x478092… |
| 06-11 12:35:28 | Mysterious-Developer 0xbbc5…ff91 | No | SELL | 5 | 65¢ | $3 | 0x478092… |
| 06-11 12:33:37 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 24¢ | $1 | 0x483666… |
| 06-11 12:33:37 | Mysterious-Developer 0xbbc5…ff91 | No | BUY | 5 | 76¢ | $4 | 0x483666… |
| 06-09 19:42:39 | Sharp-Landform 0x0446…cc69 | Yes | BUY | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x787d16… |
| 06-09 19:42:39 | Exemplary-Ship 0xe9b7…8030 | Yes | SELL | 3 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x787d16… |
| 06-07 12:34:16 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 19 | 64¢ | $12 | 0x2c2b73… |
| 06-07 12:34:16 | Putrid-Reunion 0xa6f7…1f33 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x2c2b73… |
| 06-05 16:46:15 | (anonymous) 0x01ab…e190 | No | SELL | 16 | 57¢ | $9 | 0x80f7d6… |
| 06-05 16:46:15 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | SELL | 16 | 43¢ | $7 | 0x80f7d6… |
| 06-05 11:40:46 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0x2b9b09… |
| 06-05 11:40:46 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x17b1f5… |
| 06-05 11:40:46 | Sorrowful-Sea 0x3515…6a47 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 41¢ | $2 | 0x17b1f5… |
| 06-05 11:40:46 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0x2b9b09… |
| 06-03 08:20:03 | Our-Dough 0x38e5…95e7 | No | BUY | 45 | 64¢ | $29 | 0xd28037… |
| 06-03 08:20:03 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 45 | 36¢ | $16 | 0xd28037… |
| 06-02 16:41:59 | (anonymous) 0x01ab…e190 | No | BUY | 16 | 66¢ | $11 | 0xde6c10… |
| 06-02 16:41:59 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 16 | 34¢ | $5 | 0xde6c10… |
| 06-02 15:57:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xda3124… |
| 06-02 15:57:32 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 38¢ | $2 | 0xda3124… |
| 06-02 15:37:02 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x543d00… |
| 06-02 15:37:02 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | SELL | 29 | 38¢ | $11 | 0x543d00… |
| 06-02 15:35:33 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x124fe4… |
| 06-02 15:35:33 | Rigid-Stockings 0xbf14…5d95 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 36¢ | $2 | 0x124fe4… |
| 06-02 15:34:04 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x22d507… |
| 06-02 15:34:04 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 44¢ | $9 | 0x22d507… |
| 06-02 15:31:03 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x5f2eb9… |
| 06-02 15:31:03 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 36¢ | $7 | 0x5f2eb9… |
| 06-02 15:30:21 | Obvious-Warming 0x3428…b226 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 58¢ | $1 | 0xf54b57… |
| 06-02 15:30:21 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 2 | 42¢ | $1 | 0xf54b57… |
| 06-02 15:30:20 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 32¢ | $3 | 0xb11de0… |
| 06-02 15:30:20 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 10 | 68¢ | $7 | 0xb11de0… |
| 06-02 15:29:53 | (anonymous) 0x8bf2…0d85 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x65a377… |
| 06-02 15:29:53 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 5 | 33¢ | $2 | 0x65a377… |
| 06-02 15:29:53 | Ashamed-Wok 0x4916…f56f | No | BUY | 15 | 69¢ | $10 | 0x65a377… |
| 06-02 15:29:53 | Plastic-Larder 0x355e…a038 | Yes | BUY | 75 | 31¢ | $24 | 0x65a377… |
| 06-02 15:29:53 | Shallow-Flicker 0xfcc3…648e | Yes | SELL | 50 | 31¢ | $16 | 0x65a377… |
| 05-31 02:59:01 | Understated-Quote 0x6805…35b6 | Yes | SELL | 4 | 23¢ | $1 | 0x6fd614… |
| 05-31 02:59:01 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | SELL | 4 | 77¢ | $3 | 0x6fd614… |
| 05-28 10:20:40 | Shiny-Lie 0x9cb3…1367 | No | BUY | 3 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x76ceab… |
| 05-28 10:20:40 | Ultimate-Rostrum 0x9b43…33ce | No | SELL | 3 | 73¢ | $3 | 0x76ceab… |