Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$12
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
1,122
lifetime
Volume
$129.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$115
Open exposure
$840
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-21 05:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
88% 0% $-0
Other
11% 0% $-9
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No -140 $-118 91¢ $-127 $-9 05-28 14:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 92¢ $92 +$6 06-23 06:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-70 90¢ $-90 $-20 06-23 06:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-60 84¢ $-84 $-24 06-23 06:25
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -50 $-47 96¢ $-48 $-1 05-28 14:18
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +60 $41 78¢ $47 +$6 07-02 06:37
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -50 $-45 93¢ $-47 $-2 05-28 14:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +50 $43 88¢ $44 +$1 06-22 12:50
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $30 80¢ $40 +$10 07-02 06:38
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +50 $26 70¢ $35 +$9 06-22 09:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +20 $14 82¢ $16 +$2 06-23 04:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-23 05:12
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-20 13:05
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-23 05:11
Will Donald Trump visit Belarus in 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-23 06:01
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 +$1 06-23 06:11
Will Hezbollah disarm by December 31? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-26 13:02
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-23 06:01
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? No +10 $8 92¢ $9 +$1 06-23 06:06
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +10 $9 91¢ $9 +$0 06-23 06:02
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? No +10 $7 90¢ $9 +$2 06-23 06:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-19 07:02
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 06-23 06:01
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-23 05:22
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +10 $8 88¢ $9 +$1 06-23 05:21
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-27 06:31
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 07-02 07:04
UK Recession in 2026? No +10 $7 84¢ $8 +$1 07-04 07:12
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +10 $9 84¢ $8 $-0 06-19 06:44
Will the 10-year Treasury yield dip below 3.7% before 2027? No +10 $8 83¢ $8 +$0 07-02 07:06