Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
+$79
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
4
Trades
994
lifetime
Volume
$127.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$128
Open exposure
$1.42K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-16
last 07-01 06:27
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Politics
89% 0% $-0
Other
11% 0% $-9
Sports
0%
Crypto
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
71 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +500 $485 100¢ $500 +$14 06-21 13:11
Will Xi Jinping purge Dong Jun in 2026? No -140 $-118 88¢ $-123 $-5 05-28 14:29
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 89¢ $89 +$3 06-23 06:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-70 84¢ $-84 $-15 06-23 06:24
Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting? No +100 $84 83¢ $83 $-0 06-27 13:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-60 71¢ $-71 $-11 06-23 06:25
Israel strike on Yemen by June 30, 2026? No +50 $38 100¢ $50 +$12 06-10 07:18
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -50 $-47 95¢ $-48 $-1 05-28 14:18
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? No -50 $-45 92¢ $-46 $-1 05-28 14:22
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +50 $43 86¢ $43 +$0 06-22 12:50
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +50 $34 70¢ $35 +$1 06-25 12:53
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? No +50 $34 64¢ $32 $-2 06-27 13:16
Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting? No +50 $26 56¢ $28 +$2 06-27 13:18
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? No +50 $26 56¢ $28 +$2 06-22 09:06
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +20 $14 76¢ $15 +$1 06-23 04:50
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +347 $-67 $14 +$81 07-01 05:47
NATO dissolves before 2027? No +10 $10 96¢ $10 $-0 06-23 05:16
US x China Military clash before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-22 12:59
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-23 05:12
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +10 $9 93¢ $9 $-0 06-23 05:11
Will Donald Trump visit North Korea in 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-23 06:01
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-19 07:02
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-20 13:05
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 $-0 06-23 06:03
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-19 06:44
Will Donald Trump visit Russia in 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 $-0 06-23 06:02
Will Donald Trump visit Syria in 2026? No +10 $9 90¢ $9 +$0 06-23 06:01
Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026? No +10 $9 87¢ $9 $-0 06-23 06:11
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +10 $11 86¢ $9 $-3 06-19 06:40
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +10 $8 86¢ $9 +$1 06-23 05:22