Closed-Statin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

1,145

lifetime

Volume

$129.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$113

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-16

last 08-11 15:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

88% 0% $-0

Other

12% 0% $-9

Sports

0% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

63 active days in 12wk • peak 91 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	26	$13.8K	7,141	7,581	-440	open	—	06-18 12:28
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	69	$12.4K	8,013	8,013	-0	open	—	06-19 04:45
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	10	$8.4K	4,220	4,420	-200	open	—	06-13 06:52
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 30?	14	$6.0K	6,900	707	+6,193	open	—	06-13 17:46
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 13	14	$5.8K	3,100	4,100	-1,000	open	—	06-13 12:11
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	10	$5.5K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-12 05:23
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 15 2026	27	$5.0K	3,000	3,000	+0	open	—	06-12 05:26
israel closes its airspace by june 10	4	$4.9K	5,100	0	+5,100	open	—	06-10 21:04
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 436	25	$4.0K	4,290	1,050	+3,240	open	—	06-20 05:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	30	$3.6K	2,370	1,950	+420	open	—	05-29 01:10
israel closes its airspace by june 11	11	$2.9K	3,070	0	+3,070	open	—	06-11 13:40
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	9	$2.6K	3,050	1,050	+2,000	open	—	06-20 14:48
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 26 20260622191733844	1	$2.2K	2,200	0	+2,200	open	—	06-25 12:45
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	4	$1.9K	1,000	1,030	-30	open	—	06-28 01:36
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 30 2026	22	$1.9K	1,650	2,080	-430	open	—	06-19 06:28
iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	2	$1.9K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-28 00:03
will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by june 30 20260622191733845	2	$1.8K	1,000	1,000	+0	open	—	06-28 00:03
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 31?	4	$1.7K	900	900	+0	open	—	06-01 04:23
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 21 2026	26	$1.6K	1,135	1,202	-67	open	—	06-18 23:06
US announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by May 30?	2	$1.5K	770	770	+0	open	—	05-30 22:51
israel closes its airspace by june 9	1	$1.4K	1,500	0	+1,500	open	—	06-08 20:57
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31?	9	$1.3K	820	520	+300	open	—	05-31 04:37
starmer out by june 26 2026 959 792 935	3	$1.2K	2,000	2,000	+0	open	—	06-22 08:25
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	8	$1.2K	800	800	+0	open	—	06-18 12:32
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 19 2026 475	4	$1.1K	1,050	50	+1,000	open	—	06-19 09:24
will donald trump announce that the united states blockade of the strait of hormuz has been lifted by june 7 2026	6	$1.0K	556	556	+0	open	—	06-07 20:42
will trump say ayatollah or khamenei this week march 15	2	$1.0K	534	534	+0	open	—	03-17 08:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	6	$1.0K	525	525	+0	open	—	06-06 08:19
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by May 31?	6	$958	499	499	+0	open	—	05-31 23:44
will the us announce a blockade on iran by june 30 20260622191116911	2	$949	500	500	+0	open	—	06-27 23:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 15:54:33	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	45	77¢	$35	0xc55c7e…
08-11 12:59:43	will wti reach 100 in august 2026	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xb704a2…
08-11 12:58:10	will wti reach 95 in august 2026	No	BUY	5	77¢	$4	0xa9e458…
08-11 12:52:45	will wti reach 90 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	59¢	$30	0x68bd57…
08-11 12:52:01	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0xe514e7…
08-10 12:40:13	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	45	55¢	$25	0x9e0c2d…
08-10 07:30:55	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	23	55¢	$13	0x6bcab4…
08-10 06:13:16	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175 553	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x73ca0d…
08-10 06:11:16	will wti dip to 70 in august 2026	No	BUY	27	55¢	$15	0x0389d4…
08-10 06:10:43	will wti reach 85 in august 2026	No	BUY	50	55¢	$28	0x43619b…
08-10 05:57:09	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	50	65¢	$32	0xb7b4b3…
08-09 13:12:39	us x iran diplomatic meeting by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	100	60¢	$60	0x081c35…
08-04 13:14:32	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 7 2026 20260727171523690	No	BUY	100	65¢	$65	0xe11c3a…
07-30 13:13:36	will hamas agree to disarm by december 31	No	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x11d108…
07-30 13:09:14	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	10	33¢	$3	0xd87f7a…
07-30 13:08:51	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	10	39¢	$4	0xb1f108…
07-30 13:08:05	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	10	44¢	$4	0x51d8c2…
07-30 13:03:39	Will Donald Trump visit Oman in 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x109a25…
07-30 13:03:24	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$9	0x1aed56…
07-27 05:10:13	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	36¢	$4	0xaaab20…
07-27 05:08:55	Will Xi meet with Takaichi by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	64¢	$6	0xd0338d…
07-26 13:18:19	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x181321…
07-26 13:17:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0x5e630f…
07-21 05:43:31	Kadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	11¢	$1	0xdfaff8…
07-21 05:42:16	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	4	82¢	$3	0x18cd32…
07-21 05:42:03	will dilution of iranian uranium be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201639	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x78be70…
07-21 05:41:39	tariff increase on canada in effect by december 31 2026 20260629150405925	No	SELL	10	19¢	$2	0xbf1097…
07-21 05:41:22	will samuel alito announce his retirement by june 30 2027 20260630164636932 777 232	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x03578a…
07-21 05:40:16	Will Donald Trump visit Germany in 2026?	No	SELL	10	55¢	$6	0xa5fb60…
07-21 05:39:36	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	SELL	10	57¢	$6	0x9073be…
07-21 05:39:09	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0xda51d2…
07-21 05:38:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	35¢	$7	0x5f9b04…
07-21 05:38:33	Will Donald Trump visit Japan in 2026?	No	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x67d975…
07-21 05:37:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xec0f14…
07-21 05:37:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	SELL	10	83¢	$8	0x7d5461…
07-21 05:37:09	Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026?	No	SELL	10	86¢	$9	0x6e2999…
07-21 05:34:54	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xc22c67…
07-21 05:34:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6529ba…
07-21 05:34:28	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0xa404c6…
07-21 05:33:58	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	Yes	SELL	10	13¢	$1	0x2cb5ae…
07-21 05:33:04	will any uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201636	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0xa75a6c…
07-21 05:30:42	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xfe3f66…
07-21 05:29:51	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151 668	No	SELL	10	53¢	$5	0xf3f5cd…
07-21 05:27:06	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	10	74¢	$7	0x7bbe9e…
07-21 05:26:49	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150 838	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0xbb34ca…
07-21 05:21:27	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	50	16¢	$8	0x9e4a5b…
07-20 12:50:13	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	10	74¢	$7	0x3a9c3a…
07-20 12:49:57	us announces end of iranian blockade by july 31 2026 20260713152715082 212	No	BUY	10	85¢	$8	0xa90a6a…
07-20 12:46:37	China x Philippines military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x569f67…
07-18 12:50:36	will trump be in the wc champions photo 20260608152527021	No	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xe6a04e…
07-18 05:14:57	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	57¢	$6	0xba0a09…
07-18 05:14:22	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xcc7b25…
07-17 13:25:12	israel military action against greater beirut by july 31 20260708204650550	No	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x40b047…
07-17 13:25:00	israel military action against greater beirut by august 31 20260708214159403	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x3b50c2…
07-17 13:19:06	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by august 31 20260707233859434	No	BUY	10	58¢	$6	0x4db1b5…
07-17 13:17:10	will 30 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	50	32¢	$16	0x4e13e4…
07-15 12:52:38	will trump admin declassify foreign election interference files by july 17 20260714024406497	No	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x4dc2be…
07-15 12:42:41	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0xc8f70d…
07-15 12:42:28	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 31 827 659	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xbf48e0…
07-15 12:42:17	US x China Military clash before 2027?	No	SELL	10	96¢	$10	0x515214…
07-15 12:42:01	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xe94247…
07-15 12:41:44	us x cuba economic deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0x3a2b10…
07-15 12:41:22	will israeli forces withdraw from beyond the litani river by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x314818…
07-15 12:41:05	will 100 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655084 912 671	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x623d99…
07-15 12:40:44	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xe2a0cc…
07-15 12:40:35	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xa90786…
07-15 12:40:22	iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by july 31	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x199542…
07-15 12:40:08	will 80 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655083 396 786	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xafc6bb…
07-15 12:39:41	NATO dissolves before 2027?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xc3b7fe…
07-15 12:39:20	israel closes its airspace by july 15 182	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xecb9f5…
07-15 12:38:58	will the unsc adopt a resolution endorsing the final us iran deal by date	Yes	SELL	50	21¢	$11	0x42b7a5…
07-14 14:38:17	Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	50	60¢	$30	0xb5d030…
07-14 14:33:10	Fed Rate Hike by October 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	50	49¢	$24	0x61921e…
07-14 14:32:44	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	SELL	200	94¢	$188	0x7c3567…
07-14 14:25:05	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	SELL	46	84¢	$39	0xb2f7b9…
07-14 14:24:55	will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	No	SELL	35	63¢	$22	0x4de1be…
07-14 14:24:40	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	SELL	50	39¢	$20	0x3856b0…
07-14 12:31:35	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xa3e34f…
07-14 12:31:28	will wti reach 95 in july 2026	No	BUY	45	85¢	$38	0x729b99…
07-13 07:10:38	us iran final nuclear deal by december 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	34¢	$34	0xeecfa3…
07-13 07:08:49	us iran final nuclear deal by august 18 2026 20260621201255153	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x875c93…
07-13 07:05:22	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	Yes	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0xdfdd69…
07-13 07:04:29	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	SELL	10	62¢	$6	0x11a292…
07-13 07:03:29	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	SELL	10	34¢	$3	0x87299e…
07-13 07:03:04	will 60 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026 20260626152655082 171 832	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x1938da…
07-13 06:54:58	will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622192122521 644 479	No	SELL	20	81¢	$16	0xcbd5ff…
07-13 06:54:34	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by august 15 881 867	No	SELL	10	75¢	$8	0x8d0a7f…
07-13 06:49:17	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	SELL	50	51¢	$26	0xa3ba01…
07-11 12:47:43	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	30	45¢	$14	0xea0190…
07-10 07:42:56	us reissues iran oil sanction relief by july 31 20260707233859433	No	BUY	10	77¢	$8	0xb697dd…
07-10 07:29:50	will 40 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x2a25db…
07-10 07:28:46	iran charges hormuz fees by august 31 20260625175039062 177	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xff2c78…
07-10 07:28:11	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	10	68¢	$7	0x87bfb5…
07-09 06:39:46	Fed Rate Hike by July 2026 Meeting?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x1c465c…
07-09 06:36:31	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	30	76¢	$23	0x90ff31…
07-09 06:34:41	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9e6809…
07-09 06:34:35	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x916e7d…
07-09 06:34:13	will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	No	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xf38d50…
07-09 06:33:14	will wti reach 85 in july 2026	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x4da313…
07-08 13:03:53	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0x2e8f4a…