Realized P&L
+$69
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
47.8%
Resolved
172
Trades
1,750
lifetime
Volume
$8.96K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$9
14 positions
First seen
2026-03-10
last 09-23 10:15
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 56 days
Categories
Other
81% 45% +$71
Sports
12% 50% +$9
Politics
3% 44% -$11
Crypto
3% 0% -$2
Tech
0% 50% +$2
Pop-Culture
0% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
31 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -5 -$3 97¢ $-5 -$2 05-20 09:19
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes -5 -$2 11¢ $-1 +$2 04-29 22:13
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -10 -$1 6¢ $-1 +$1 06-16 15:39
Poilievre out as leader of Conservatives by December 31, 2026? Yes -4 $1 11¢ $-0 -$1 07-06 13:24
Stripe IPO before 2027? Yes -10 -$1 5¢ $-0 +$1 05-25 06:01
Will Axiom launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -7 -$1 6¢ $-0 +$0 05-24 14:11
Will Umaro Sissoco Embaló win the 2025 Guinea-Bissau presidential election? Yes -5 $1 6¢ $-0 -$1 05-24 14:12
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -55 -$4 0¢ $-0 +$4 05-24 14:11
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? Yes -15 -$2 1¢ $-0 +$2 06-05 18:01
Mistral AI IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $0 4¢ $-0 +$0 07-06 13:24
Applied Intuition IPO before 2027? Yes -5 -$1 3¢ $-0 +$1 05-24 14:11
Will OpenAI’s market cap be less than $500B at market close on IPO day? Yes -15 $0 1¢ $-0 +$0 05-24 14:10
Will Trump endorse John Cornyn for TX-Sen by Nov 2 2026 ET? Yes -5 $0 2¢ $-0 +$0 05-24 14:12
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? Yes -20 $0 0¢ $-0 +$0 06-02 19:40