Realized P&L
-$9
Unrealized P&L
-$33
Hit rate
55.3%
Resolved
74
Trades
8,200
lifetime
Volume
$28.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$130
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-11
last 06-30 23:30
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
67% 46% $-10
Politics
18% 55% $-3
Crypto
6% 56% +$8
Sports
5% 50% $-4
Pop-Culture
3%
Tech
2%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Ansem appear on the UpOnly podcast by December 31? Yes -30 $-4 28¢ $-9 $-4 06-03 16:37
Will Oro launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-3 44¢ $-8 $-6 06-23 18:05
Tori FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -15 $-2 54¢ $-8 $-6 06-04 11:51
QFEX FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -19 $-3 42¢ $-8 $-5 06-09 08:56
Ethereal FDV above $100M one day after launch? Yes -18 $-3 32¢ $-6 $-3 06-22 12:30
Will the Social Democratic Party (PSD) be included in the next Romanian government? Yes -10 $-3 57¢ $-6 $-3 06-05 10:43
Haiti elections delayed again? Yes +8 $3 68¢ $5 +$2 06-01 00:53
Unit FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes +12 $7 43¢ $5 $-1 05-28 16:52
Will Lee Zeldin leave the Trump administration before 2027? Yes -12 $-5 40¢ $-5 +$0 06-08 17:26
Aligned FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes -13 $-6 34¢ $-4 +$1 05-28 08:02
Will Cristiano Ronaldo announce his retirement in 2026? Yes -26 $-3 16¢ $-4 $-2 05-29 03:28
Will CryptoPunks floor price dip to 10 ETH before 2027? Yes -26 $-3 16¢ $-4 $-1 06-12 17:23
Will prjx launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -15 $-3 26¢ $-4 $-1 06-16 12:53
Will QFEX launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes -19 $-3 20¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 12:22
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man? Yes -6 $-4 62¢ $-4 +$1 06-28 17:27
Abstract FDV above $600M one day after launch? Yes -14 $-3 26¢ $-4 $-1 06-21 21:20
Will pump.fun buybacks hit $500M by December 31? Yes -8 $-3 44¢ $-4 $-0 05-31 21:04
Kraken IPO closing market cap above $20B? Yes -19 $-5 18¢ $-4 +$1 05-31 10:41
Will Donald Trump visit India in 2026? Yes +18 $8 18¢ $3 $-5 06-08 07:09
Will GBP/USD hit 1.25 (Low) in 2026? Yes -8 $-2 43¢ $-3 $-1 06-09 09:02
Will the next model released by OpenAI debut at a score of at least 1470? Yes +4 $2 83¢ $3 +$1 06-05 15:09
Will any country expel an Israeli ambassador by December 31? Yes -10 $-2 31¢ $-3 $-1 06-12 19:45
Will Trump pardon Martin Shkreli before 2027? Yes -21 $-2 15¢ $-3 $-1 06-09 04:37
Will Doja Cat have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -26 $-1 12¢ $-3 $-2 05-28 22:45
Will Jacob Tsimerman win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +4 $1 76¢ $3 +$2 06-28 21:00
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.25% or lower before 2027? Yes -14 $-3 22¢ $-3 $-0 06-01 08:36
Will Trump launch a coin by December 31? Yes -12 $-5 26¢ $-3 +$2 06-01 03:57
U.S. issues passport with Trump's face on it by July 31? Yes +3 $2 84¢ $3 +$0 06-06 17:57
Will any AI model reach 1540 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026? Yes -27 $-4 10¢ $-3 +$2 06-06 08:42
Will Billie Eilish have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026? Yes -7 $-1 38¢ $-3 $-1 06-09 09:31