Realized P&L
-$131
Unrealized P&L
+$167
Hit rate
54.5%
Resolved
16
Trades
202
lifetime
Volume
$6.08K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$30
Open exposure
$1.07K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-03
last 11-08 01:39
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 13 days
Categories
Other
56% 45% -$129
Politics
42% 67% -$13
Sports
1% 50% +$12
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
22 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +42 $30 96¢ $40 +$10 08-26 13:59
will hamas agree to disarm by december 31 No +41 $30 94¢ $38 +$8 07-07 20:09
Will Juan Carlos Valencia Gonzalez be arrested in 2026? No +40 $30 94¢ $38 +$8 11-05 02:56
Will Trump meet with Aleksandr Lukashenko in 2026? No +40 $30 94¢ $38 +$8 07-07 10:44
israel x hamas ceasefire phase ii by december 31 632 No +41 $30 91¢ $37 +$7 07-10 16:57
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026? No +41 $30 90¢ $37 +$7 07-07 14:09
Will Russia capture all of Vovchansk by December 31? No +42 $30 88¢ $37 +$7 09-01 02:37
Will the US strike 9 countries in 2026? No +39 $30 93¢ $37 +$7 07-13 00:53
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +37 $30 97¢ $36 +$6 07-23 12:00
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +41 $30 88¢ $36 +$6 07-06 23:27
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +39 $30 92¢ $36 +$6 07-06 23:27
Will Trump meet with Kim Jong Un in 2026? No +38 $30 94¢ $36 +$6 07-07 07:02
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as President of Cuba by December 31? No — +38 $30 94¢ $36 +$6 08-25 18:50
Will Fernando Haddad be the next Brazilian Chief of Staff? No +40 $30 89¢ $36 +$6 11-04 07:40
U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "India" before 2027? No +38 $30 94¢ $36 +$6 07-06 23:27
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +36 $30 98¢ $35 +$5 07-06 23:27
Marco Rubio out as Secretary of State by December 31, 2026? No +40 $30 88¢ $35 +$5 11-05 21:25
Will Donald Trump visit Israel in 2026? No +37 $30 93¢ $34 +$4 07-10 18:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by March 31, 2027? No +42 $30 82¢ $34 +$4 11-03 19:44
NATO x Russia military clash by November 30, 2026? No +36 $30 96¢ $34 +$4 10-22 16:40
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +37 $30 92¢ $34 +$4 07-06 23:27
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? No +35 $30 97¢ $34 +$4 08-24 21:01
Israel and Saudi Arabia normalize relations before 2027? No +35 $30 98¢ $34 +$4 07-23 13:37
foreign intervention in gaza by december 31 No +38 $30 91¢ $34 +$4 07-26 17:40
Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? No +36 $30 94¢ $34 +$4 07-14 05:59
will russia capture all of kupiansk by december 31 391 No +35 $30 98¢ $34 +$4 07-08 21:57
Russia x Ukraine Peace Parlay No +35 $30 96¢ $34 +$4 07-24 13:04
Yoon out of custody before 2027? No +35 $30 97¢ $34 +$4 07-17 05:05
Will Márcio França be the next Brazilian Minister of Justice and Public Security? No +35 $30 97¢ $34 +$4 11-04 13:54
ukraine election called by december 31 2026 No +36 $30 93¢ $34 +$4 07-07 13:49