Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
+$4
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
190
lifetime
Volume
$458
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$203
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-13 14:41
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
67% 0% $-4
Politics
12% 0% $-7
Crypto
11%
Tech
5%
Pop-Culture
3%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
10 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -147 $-98 68¢ $-99 $-2 07-13 14:40
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -47 $-16 34¢ $-16 $-0 07-13 14:40
New Playboi Carti Album before GTA VI? No -25 $-12 50¢ $-12 $-0 07-13 14:23
Taylor Swift pregnant before 2027? Yes -128 $-15 $-12 +$4 07-13 14:23
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? No -20 $-10 46¢ $-9 +$1 07-13 14:23
Tabi FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -48 $-6 14¢ $-6 $-0 07-13 14:39
Tabi FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -48 $-2 12¢ $-6 $-4 07-13 14:23
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -49 $-4 12¢ $-6 $-1 07-13 14:40
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -48 $-6 12¢ $-6 +$1 07-13 14:41
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? Yes -48 $-8 11¢ $-5 +$3 07-13 14:40
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -48 $-4 10¢ $-5 $-1 07-13 14:41
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -5 $-2 92¢ $-5 $-3 06-23 08:37
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -48 $-7 $-4 +$4 07-13 14:41
Will Solana dip to $60 by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-2 46¢ $-2 $-1 07-13 14:39
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 26¢ $-1 +$0 07-01 10:31
Will Tim Walz resign by December 31, 2026? Yes -14 $-1 $-1 $-0 07-13 14:39
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -5 $-3 19¢ $-1 +$2 06-23 08:36
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 $-0 06-23 10:40
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-23 07:35
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 08:37
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 07-01 10:31
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-23 08:37
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-23 08:36
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 10¢ $-0 +$1 06-23 08:37
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-23 08:36
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-23 10:40
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 07-01 10:30
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-23 10:40
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $-2 $-0 +$2 06-23 08:36
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-23 09:38