Realized P&L
-$11
Unrealized P&L
-$8
Hit rate
0.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
174
lifetime
Volume
$407
lifetime
Avg / trade
$2
Open exposure
$167
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-05
last 07-01 10:31
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
70% 0% $-4
Politics
13% 0% $-7
Crypto
10%
Tech
5%
Sports
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
17 active days in 12wk • peak 94 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Kraken IPO by December 31, 2026? No -146 $-97 74¢ $-108 $-11 06-23 20:54
Will OpenAI launch a new consumer hardware product by December 31, 2026? Yes -45 $-15 24¢ $-11 +$4 06-23 19:53
Will Trump cut long term capital gains tax before 2027? Yes -45 $-8 21¢ $-9 $-2 06-23 19:53
Metamask FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes -45 $-7 16¢ $-7 $-0 06-23 19:53
Israel x Turkey military clash before 2027? Yes -45 $-6 13¢ $-6 +$0 06-23 19:53
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027? Yes -5 $-2 95¢ $-5 $-3 06-23 08:37
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes -45 $-4 10¢ $-4 $-1 06-23 19:53
China x India military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes -45 $-4 $-3 +$1 06-23 19:53
Extended FDV above $500M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 30¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 10:31
Will OpenAI IPO by December 31 2026? Yes -5 $-3 24¢ $-1 +$1 06-23 08:36
OpenAI $1t+ IPO before 2027? Yes -5 $-2 22¢ $-1 +$1 06-23 08:36
Will Donald Trump visit Italy in 2026? Yes -5 $-1 21¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 08:37
Will Solana reach $160 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 16¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 10:40
Extended FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-1 13¢ $-1 $-0 07-01 10:31
US recognizes Russian sovereignty over Ukraine before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 14:46
Will Gavin Newsom announce a Presidential run by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 08:36
Israel and Syria normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 09:38
US recession by end of 2026? Yes -5 $-1 12¢ $-1 $-0 06-23 07:35
Will Solana dip to $20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-1 11¢ $-1 +$0 06-23 10:40
Will Japan recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 11¢ $-1 $-0 06-23 08:37
Pacifica FDV above $800M one day after launch? Yes -5 $-0 10¢ $-0 $-0 07-01 10:30
OpenAI announces it has achieved AGI before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 10¢ $-0 +$0 06-23 08:36
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 10¢ $-0 $-0 06-23 08:37
Will XRP reach $2.80 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-23 10:40
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-23 09:38
Will XRP reach $3.20 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-23 10:40
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027? Yes -5 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-23 08:37
China x Taiwan military clash before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-23 09:38
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 3.0% or lower before 2027? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-23 10:40
Will XRP reach $5.00 by December 31, 2026? Yes -5 $-0 $-0 $-0 06-23 10:40