Will Aaron Rodgers retire before next season?
open
Total volume
$1,165
$42 in 24h
Trades
40
Unique wallets
22
Liquidity
$353
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-09-10
First seen
2026-05-28
last 06-18 19:50
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
-1.9¢
(top1%: 0% YES on $40
vs crowd: 2% YES on $587)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 4 | $3 | $40 | $37 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 4 | $1 | $352 | $350 |
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 11 | $3 | $184 | $181 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 2 | — | $40 | $40 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $4 | $306 | $302 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| Below median | 4 | — | — | +— |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $1 | $5 | $3 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $41 | $41 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| unranked | 6 | $3 | $184 | $181 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pointed-Chap 0x04ec…580f | No | +321 | $306 | $306 | 2 | 05-30 15:43 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +95 | $3 | $3 | 5 | 06-03 00:52 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +47 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-02 07:21 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | +44 | $2 | $2 | 4 | 05-30 20:13 |
| (anonymous) 0x2641…bcda | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 1 | 06-18 19:50 |
| Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | +41 | $40 | $40 | 1 | 06-11 01:50 |
| Poised-Alliance 0x397e…b25a | No | +20 | $20 | $265 | 2 | 05-30 23:50 |
| Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | +20 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-03 16:30 |
| Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | Yes | +11 | $0 | $0 | 3 | 05-30 20:59 |
| Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-29 13:32 |
| Mundane-League 0xd07d…e09d | Yes | +3 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 06-02 07:21 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-18 19:50:55 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x2a7f95… |
| 06-18 19:50:55 | (anonymous) 0x2641…bcda | No | BUY | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x2a7f95… |
| 06-11 01:50:46 | Compassionate-Kneejerk 0x9507…7b04 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xec34a3… |
| 06-11 01:50:46 | (anonymous) 0xc9ea…5108 | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xec34a3… |
| 06-03 16:30:15 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb2c44b… |
| 06-03 16:30:15 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xb2c44b… |
| 06-03 00:52:50 | Alienated-Chemical 0x5cec…7c61 | Yes | SELL | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdddd50… |
| 06-03 00:52:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 15 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdddd50… |
| 06-02 07:21:40 | Mundane-League 0xd07d…e09d | Yes | BUY | 3 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x2351dc… |
| 06-02 07:21:40 | Joyful-Causeway 0x56c2…6219 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2351dc… |
| 06-02 07:21:40 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 47 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x2351dc… |
| 05-30 23:50:34 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xadfe41… |
| 05-30 23:50:34 | Poised-Alliance 0x397e…b25a | No | SELL | 125 | 98¢ | $123 | 0xadfe41… |
| 05-30 23:50:34 | (anonymous) 0xa022…4ef1 | Yes | SELL | 145 | 2¢ | $3 | 0xadfe41… |
| 05-30 23:50:17 | Poised-Alliance 0x397e…b25a | No | BUY | 145 | 98¢ | $142 | 0x01ef4e… |
| 05-30 23:50:17 | (anonymous) 0xa022…4ef1 | Yes | BUY | 145 | 2¢ | $3 | 0x01ef4e… |
| 05-30 20:59:24 | Verifiable-Hacienda 0x4cb4…bac8 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0xc3b19a… |
| 05-30 20:59:24 | Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0xc3b19a… |
| 05-30 20:13:41 | (anonymous) 0xc9ea…5108 | No | SELL | 11 | 98¢ | $11 | 0x4d8660… |
| 05-30 20:13:41 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4d8660… |
| 05-30 20:13:41 | Humming-Result 0x2ec2…1176 | Yes | SELL | 105 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x4d8660… |
| 05-30 20:13:41 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 16 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4d8660… |
| 05-30 20:13:41 | (anonymous) 0x8d93…b413 | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $51 | 0x4d8660… |
| 05-30 20:13:41 | Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x4d8660… |
| 05-30 15:43:47 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $39 | 0x597f6a… |
| 05-30 15:43:47 | (anonymous) 0x05a5…f9e2 | No | SELL | 55 | 96¢ | $53 | 0x597f6a… |
| 05-30 15:43:47 | Lasting-Integral 0xb94f…04d8 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 4¢ | $0 | 0x597f6a… |
| 05-30 15:43:47 | Pointed-Chap 0x04ec…580f | No | BUY | 121 | 96¢ | $116 | 0x597f6a… |
| 05-30 15:43:47 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x597f6a… |
| 05-30 15:43:15 | Pointed-Chap 0x04ec…580f | No | BUY | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x8d2b12… |
| 05-30 15:43:15 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 200 | 95¢ | $190 | 0x8d2b12… |
| 05-29 21:33:13 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xea07a8… |
| 05-29 21:33:13 | Ordinary-Confectionery 0xa5e3…4d7e | No | SELL | 20 | 95¢ | $19 | 0xea07a8… |
| 05-29 13:32:52 | Agitated-Mobster 0x30f6…004f | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0xf744b3… |
| 05-29 13:32:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 5¢ | $0 | 0xf744b3… |
| 05-29 13:32:50 | Outlandish-Complicity 0x0781…c4ff | No | BUY | 23 | 95¢ | $22 | 0x3a1014… |
| 05-29 13:32:50 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x3a1014… |
| 05-29 13:32:50 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 3 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x3a1014… |
| 05-28 23:42:19 | Raw-Beginning 0x3713…ab6f | Yes | SELL | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6fda2c… |
| 05-28 23:42:19 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x6fda2c… |