Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$2
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
4,489
lifetime
Volume
$296.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$66
Open exposure
$4.34K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
38% 50% $-0
Crypto
32%
Politics
27% 100% +$3
Sports
2% 100% +$2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 274 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -400 $-396 99¢ $-397 $-1 06-04 13:29
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -283 $-266 95¢ $-269 $-3 06-09 18:02
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +286 $258 90¢ $257 $-1 06-09 18:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -215 $-208 99¢ $-212 $-4 06-09 14:32
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-192 96¢ $-192 +$0 06-03 04:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +199 $186 94¢ $186 +$0 06-04 19:15
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $182 92¢ $183 +$1 06-06 08:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -172 $-163 96¢ $-164 $-1 06-08 22:02
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +188 $156 84¢ $159 +$3 06-09 17:41
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No -156 $-155 99¢ $-155 +$1 06-09 15:52
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +200 $148 76¢ $151 +$3 06-07 14:35
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +159 $151 94¢ $151 $-0 06-04 20:55
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -146 $-143 98¢ $-143 $-1 06-10 04:41
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No +125 $123 98¢ $123 +$0 06-03 08:52
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +129 $119 94¢ $121 +$2 06-09 15:15
Will Elon Musk buy Ryanair? No +100 $99 100¢ $100 +$0 06-02 20:25
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-02 23:56
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 06-05 16:45
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 +$0 06-07 13:56
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-30 08:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 06-07 23:40
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-10 06:32
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +100 $98 99¢ $99 +$0 06-06 07:09
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-02 15:37
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $98 98¢ $98 $-0 06-06 00:46
Will Bitcoin reach $160,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 06-06 00:29
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$0 06-08 11:01
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? No -100 $-100 97¢ $-97 +$4 06-07 06:58
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 96¢ $96 $-1 06-05 04:46
UAE x Saudi Arabia sever diplomatic relations in 2026? No +100 $97 96¢ $96 $-1 06-09 18:10