Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
+$63
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
8,614
lifetime
Volume
$521.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$61
Open exposure
$5.36K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 06-30 18:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
36% 50% $-0
Crypto
30%
Politics
27% 100% +$3
Sports
5% 100% +$2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 306 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -400 $-396 100¢ $-400 $-4 06-12 07:03
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -400 $-397 100¢ $-399 $-2 06-24 00:22
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -377 $-356 95¢ $-359 $-3 06-30 04:44
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +287 $261 93¢ $268 +$7 06-30 22:29
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +288 $253 92¢ $263 +$11 06-17 03:22
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +248 $235 96¢ $237 +$2 06-24 10:01
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +249 $233 93¢ $232 $-1 06-30 04:20
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? No -200 $-192 100¢ $-200 $-8 06-03 04:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +200 $192 96¢ $192 +$0 06-20 18:31
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +189 $169 100¢ $189 +$19 06-16 19:13
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -180 $-177 100¢ $-180 $-3 06-21 14:09
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -176 $-175 100¢ $-176 $-1 06-16 10:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +200 $178 86¢ $173 $-5 06-25 15:08
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No -173 $-170 100¢ $-173 $-3 06-20 08:41
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +192 $164 88¢ $168 +$4 06-29 07:04
New pandemic in 2026? No +178 $157 90¢ $162 +$5 06-30 16:02
Iran leadership change by June 30? No -150 $-151 100¢ $-150 +$1 06-21 16:52
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -136 $-132 100¢ $-136 $-4 06-23 17:46
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +126 $122 98¢ $123 +$1 06-18 16:53
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $60 by end of June? No -123 $-119 100¢ $-123 $-4 06-24 08:37
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +123 $105 100¢ $122 +$18 06-13 16:50
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? No +121 $96 100¢ $121 +$25 06-22 19:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +108 $95 100¢ $108 +$12 06-17 05:01
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +113 $103 94¢ $106 +$4 06-29 20:11
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 06-05 16:45
Will Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $120 by end of June? No -100 $-100 100¢ $-100 $-0 06-14 22:30
Will US withdraw from NATO by June 30? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-02 23:56
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 06-19 21:48
Will Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $3,800 by end of June? No -100 $-97 100¢ $-100 $-3 06-18 18:58
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-1 05-30 08:28