Realized P&L
+$5
Unrealized P&L
-$7
Hit rate
87.3%
Resolved
5
Trades
10,381
lifetime
Volume
$617.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$59
Open exposure
$11.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-20 02:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 3 days
Categories
Other
35% 50% $-0
Crypto
28%
Politics
27% 100% +$3
Sports
9% 100% +$2
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 314 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +8,500 $8,169 96¢ $8.1K $-39 07-20 02:51
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +288 $264 94¢ $272 +$8 07-06 21:49
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +248 $235 96¢ $237 +$2 06-24 10:01
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? No -236 $-222 97¢ $-229 $-7 07-05 07:43
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No -200 $-176 89¢ $-178 $-1 07-13 21:38
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +188 $158 93¢ $175 +$18 07-03 02:53
New pandemic in 2026? No +178 $157 94¢ $167 +$10 06-30 16:02
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +146 $127 86¢ $127 $-1 07-02 22:31
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -142 $-122 86¢ $-121 +$1 07-04 00:46
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 +$0 06-02 15:37
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +99 $98 99¢ $98 +$0 06-30 02:04
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-98 98¢ $-98 +$0 06-28 04:56
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -100 $-95 98¢ $-98 $-2 07-06 14:00
Human moon landing in 2026? No -100 $-97 98¢ $-98 $-1 06-18 13:43
Will Bitcoin reach $140,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 +$0 07-02 07:31
Ethereum all time high by September 30, 2026? No -97 $-95 99¢ $-96 $-1 06-29 09:25
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-91 96¢ $-96 $-4 07-06 07:04
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-94 95¢ $-95 $-1 06-05 07:07
Will Bitcoin reach $120,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$3 06-30 14:26
US military draft authorized in 2026? No -100 $-91 95¢ $-95 $-4 06-17 06:46
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No -97 $-95 98¢ $-95 +$0 07-11 01:03
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +100 $92 95¢ $95 +$2 06-14 20:59
Will Alberta join the US? No -94 $-91 97¢ $-92 $-0 06-22 16:37
Will Ethereum dip to $1,000 by December 31, 2026? No -100 $-77 88¢ $-88 $-10 07-11 05:43
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? No -89 $-88 97¢ $-87 +$1 07-04 00:02
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +90 $76 94¢ $85 +$9 06-05 16:01
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 by December 31, 2026? No +92 $74 91¢ $84 +$10 07-03 18:01
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +83 $77 98¢ $81 +$4 06-29 23:48
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +68 $66 98¢ $67 +$0 07-07 12:57
Will UAE leave the Gulf Cooperation Council in 2026? No -67 $-62 96¢ $-64 $-2 07-01 19:21