Realized P&L
+$571
Unrealized P&L
+$237
Hit rate
74.8%
Resolved
1,003
Trades
27,715
lifetime
Volume
$1.44M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$52
Open exposure
$9.03K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 08-30 00:53
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 115 days
Categories
Other
40% 67% +$1,254
Sports
24% 64% -$9
Politics
20% 63% -$503
Crypto
13% 60% -$202
Tech
2% 61% +$9
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$21
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +8,750 $8,408 98¢ $8.6K +$171 07-20 23:12
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026? No +90 $76 92¢ $83 +$7 06-05 16:01
Bitcoin all time high by December 31, 2026? No +72 $58 97¢ $69 +$11 06-27 04:00
Will HYPE flip SOL by December 31? No +66 $54 98¢ $65 +$11 05-30 16:12
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +60 $57 98¢ $59 +$2 07-24 12:10
Florentino Perez out as Real Madrid president by December 31, 2026? No +53 $46 95¢ $50 +$4 07-07 12:32
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026? No +47 $42 96¢ $45 +$3 06-06 14:37
Will Israel reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? No +35 $28 97¢ $34 +$5 06-10 08:39
Will Russia capture all of Donetsk Oblast by December 31, 2026? No +26 $25 99¢ $25 +$0 06-04 21:00
Will Gideon Sa’ar be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 06-15 02:01
Will Yossi Cohen be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +5 $5 100¢ $5 $0 05-27 16:57
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No +3 $2 97¢ $3 +$1 05-11 23:57
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026? No +1 -$1 96¢ $1 +$2 05-16 09:02
Nord Stream pipeline turned on before 2027? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 06-09 09:13
Will Hassan Rouhani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +1 $1 99¢ $1 +$0 06-17 13:45
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +1 $1 100¢ $1 $0 06-13 17:02
Will Gilad Erdan be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +0 $0 100¢ $0 +$1 07-02 19:37
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 06-24 22:38
Will Alberta join the US? No +0 $0 99¢ $0 +$1 06-22 16:37
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +0 $0 97¢ $0 +$0 07-13 21:38
Will any country leave NATO by December 31, 2026? No +0 $0 94¢ $0 +$0 07-19 00:37
10.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +0 -$1 98¢ $0 +$1 07-16 18:59
Will Anthropic's valuation hit (LOW) $800B by December 31? No +0 -$3 97¢ $0 +$3 06-18 15:11
New pandemic in 2026? No +0 -$12 96¢ $0 +$12 06-30 16:02
Will Hassan Khomeini be head of state in Iran end of 2026? No +0 -$1 100¢ $0 +$1 06-14 17:48
Will the Denver Broncos win the 2027 NFL league championship? No +0 $0 96¢ $0 +$0 07-07 12:56