Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$10
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
107
lifetime
Volume
$5.50K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$51
Open exposure
$4.35K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 05-10 16:18
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
44%
Politics
28%
Sports
18%
Crypto
8%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
4 active days in 12wk • peak 58 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting? No -546 $-513 94¢ $-512 +$1 05-10 05:36
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No -427 $-411 96¢ $-412 $-1 05-10 16:18
Will Nikola Jokic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP? No -285 $-282 99¢ $-283 $-1 05-10 11:56
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election? No -200 $-196 98¢ $-196 +$1 05-07 14:06
Will Romania win Eurovision 2026? No -200 $-195 97¢ $-194 +$1 05-07 18:46
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No -199 $-178 89¢ $-178 $-0 05-10 12:10
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -170 $-161 94¢ $-160 +$0 05-09 04:12
Will the Cleveland Guardians win the 2026 World Series? No -142 $-139 98¢ $-140 $-0 05-10 12:16
Will Recep Tayyip Erdoğan win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No -140 $-138 99¢ $-138 $-0 05-09 04:00
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -134 $-131 97¢ $-131 $-0 05-09 21:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -136 $-124 93¢ $-127 $-3 05-07 23:36
Will Chad Bianco win the California Governor Election in 2026? No -110 $-107 97¢ $-107 $-0 05-08 05:22
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -105 $-103 98¢ $-104 $-0 05-09 04:00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Turkey? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-0 05-08 12:04
Will the Los Angeles Lakers win the NBA Western Conference Finals? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-99 $-1 05-09 00:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-08 02:32
Epstein suicide note released by May 8? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-09 11:40
Will Meta have the best AI model at the end of June 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-08 23:06
GTA VI released before June 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-09 04:24
Will Paloma Valencia win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 05-10 00:12
Will Daniil Medvedev win the 2026 Men's French Open? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-08 04:24
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in May? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-08 02:22
Will Ahmed al-Sharaa win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? No -100 $-99 99¢ $-99 +$0 05-09 04:00
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Oman? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-0 05-07 08:30
Will the New York Mets win the 2026 World Series? No -100 $-98 98¢ $-98 $-0 05-10 03:40
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-97 98¢ $-98 $-1 05-07 12:10
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026? No -100 $-96 97¢ $-97 $-1 05-09 12:10
Will Camilo Santana win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election? No -99 $-97 97¢ $-97 $-0 05-10 00:12
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in May? No -100 $-97 97¢ $-96 +$0 05-10 00:12
Israel x Hezbollah permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026? No -100 $-94 95¢ $-95 $-1 05-09 00:10