Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
3,276
lifetime
Volume
$212.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$2.13K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-10 06:06
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
45%
Crypto
34%
Politics
19% 67% +$3
Sports
1%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
35 active days in 12wk • peak 217 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -200 $-174 84¢ $-169 +$5 06-09 11:48
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -138 $-136 98¢ $-136 +$1 06-07 09:14
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -117 $-117 99¢ $-116 +$2 06-08 08:37
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -104 $-103 99¢ $-103 $-0 06-07 06:05
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-0 05-28 15:14
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -100 $-98 99¢ $-99 $-1 05-30 11:07
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $99 99¢ $99 $-0 06-05 19:49
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 98¢ $-98 $-1 05-29 16:24
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +100 $97 97¢ $97 $-1 06-07 12:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 +$0 06-10 02:48
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +99 $91 92¢ $92 +$0 06-06 11:31
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 $-87 86¢ $-86 +$0 06-02 05:39
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $86 86¢ $86 $-0 06-04 00:37
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -81 $-80 99¢ $-80 $-0 06-04 04:12
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -78 $-78 98¢ $-77 +$1 06-04 10:13
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +75 $73 97¢ $73 +$0 06-07 07:11
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -72 $-71 99¢ $-71 $-0 05-29 15:31
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -88 $-34 76¢ $-67 $-33 06-07 16:29
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +65 $59 94¢ $61 +$3 06-03 19:56
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -56 $-53 98¢ $-55 $-2 05-31 10:05
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +51 $49 98¢ $50 +$0 05-29 18:23
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $49 99¢ $49 +$0 06-09 19:58
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026? No +49 $47 99¢ $48 +$2 06-09 20:34
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No -36 $-35 99¢ $-35 +$0 06-05 05:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? No +37 $33 96¢ $35 +$2 06-07 02:11
Hantavirus lab leak confirmed by June 30? No -20 $-20 99¢ $-20 $-0 05-29 16:55
Will Alberta join the US? No -21 $-20 96¢ $-20 +$0 06-08 19:10
Fed rate cut by June 2026 meeting? No -7 $-9 99¢ $-7 +$3 06-09 22:45
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-1 06-03 10:36
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -1 $-2 94¢ $-1 +$2 06-08 23:45