Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
+$17
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
6,607
lifetime
Volume
$364.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$1.15K
14 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 07-15 03:21
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
36%
Other
35%
Politics
24% 67% +$3
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
60 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -376 $-329 86¢ $-325 +$4 07-04 00:46
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +165 $152 96¢ $159 +$7 06-20 19:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +162 $156 98¢ $159 +$2 06-21 06:22
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +149 $132 98¢ $145 +$13 06-21 00:44
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 $-89 92¢ $-92 $-4 06-22 03:35
Will Alberta join the US? No -83 $-79 97¢ $-80 $-1 06-10 12:26
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $49 99¢ $49 +$0 06-09 19:58
GTA 6 launch postponed again? No +54 $50 86¢ $46 $-4 06-27 20:45
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No -46 $-46 99¢ $-45 +$0 07-01 02:05
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No -25 $-25 98¢ $-25 +$0 06-17 15:43
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +14 $13 99¢ $14 +$0 07-01 07:58
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +9 $10 94¢ $9 $-1 06-30 13:47
Iran Nuke before 2027? No +3 $3 94¢ $3 +$0 06-30 05:35
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +0 $0 98¢ $0 $-0 06-28 21:51