Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$6
Hit rate
95.0%
Resolved
3
Trades
6,595
lifetime
Volume
$363.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$55
Open exposure
$3.61K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-07
last 06-30 18:00
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Crypto
36%
Other
35%
Politics
24% 67% +$3
Sports
4%
Tech
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
55 active days in 12wk • peak 345 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +427 $419 100¢ $427 +$8 06-24 00:36
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30? No -238 $-240 100¢ $-238 +$2 06-24 10:09
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No -221 $-224 100¢ $-220 +$3 06-24 06:26
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +205 $188 94¢ $192 +$4 06-30 16:37
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No -172 $-134 100¢ $-172 $-37 06-22 21:56
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +162 $156 97¢ $157 +$1 06-21 06:22
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +165 $152 94¢ $155 +$3 06-20 19:56
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -177 $-156 86¢ $-153 +$3 06-26 09:48
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +149 $132 94¢ $139 +$8 06-21 00:44
Ukraine agrees not to join NATO by June 30? No -138 $-136 100¢ $-138 $-1 06-07 09:14
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +113 $112 99¢ $112 +$0 06-29 20:53
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No -102 $-101 100¢ $-102 $-0 06-18 22:56
Bitcoin all time high by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-99 100¢ $-100 $-0 05-28 15:14
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by June 30, 2026? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 05-29 16:24
Bill Clinton divorce by June 30? No -100 $-98 100¢ $-100 $-2 05-30 11:07
Will GTA 6 cost $100+? No +100 $96 97¢ $97 +$1 06-30 08:34
Tesla and SpaceX merger officially announced by June 30? No +97 $96 100¢ $97 +$1 06-17 18:20
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +100 $97 96¢ $96 $-1 06-30 09:21
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -100 $-89 90¢ $-90 $-0 06-22 03:35
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30? No -88 $-84 99¢ $-87 $-4 06-19 06:52
Will Alberta join the US? No -83 $-79 98¢ $-81 $-2 06-10 12:26
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No -81 $-81 100¢ $-81 $-0 06-11 16:33
Netanyahu out by June 30? No -78 $-78 100¢ $-78 +$0 06-22 11:23
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by June 30, 2026? No -72 $-71 100¢ $-72 $-1 05-29 15:31
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? No +65 $59 100¢ $65 +$6 06-03 19:56
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? No +57 $51 100¢ $57 +$5 06-23 19:02
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026? No -56 $-53 100¢ $-56 $-3 06-23 00:37
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +53 $52 99¢ $52 +$0 06-29 17:29
Greece x Turkey military engagement by June 30? No +51 $49 100¢ $51 +$1 05-29 18:23
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +50 $49 99¢ $49 +$0 06-09 19:58