Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
open
Total volume
$273
Trades
31
Unique wallets
20
Liquidity
$17,542
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 06-15 02:33
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 5 | $0 | $118 | $118 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 5 | $1 | $0 | +$1 |
| 🐟 Fish | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 9 | $12 | $93 | $81 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 2 | — | $85 | $85 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 2 | $10 | $24 | $14 |
| Below median | 3 | — | $0 | $0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | $1 | — | +$1 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | $0 | $10 | $9 |
| unranked | 9 | $2 | $102 | $100 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | +172 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 17:22 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-07 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | +53 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 05-29 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd47…dfc0 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 02:33 |
| (anonymous) 0x876b…9e57 | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 06-15 02:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-29 17:22 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +30 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-14 18:05 |
| (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | +25 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-07 13:51 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-06 22:49 |
| Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | +9 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-15 02:33 |
| Sour-Dungeon 0x8c11…1a93 | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-31 14:20 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 14:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06-15 02:33:10 | (anonymous) 0x876b…9e57 | No | BUY | 41 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x85096a… |
| 06-15 02:33:10 | (anonymous) 0xbd47…dfc0 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x85096a… |
| 06-15 02:33:10 | Tired-Acoustics 0x61f2…e77a | No | BUY | 9 | 94¢ | $8 | 0x85096a… |
| 06-14 18:05:27 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b65c8… |
| 06-14 18:05:27 | Cultivated-Polyester 0xad34…4fdd | Yes | SELL | 17 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x1b65c8… |
| 06-14 08:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x16d8…3629 | No | SELL | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe30cd5… |
| 06-14 08:27:39 | (anonymous) 0x876b…9e57 | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe30cd5… |
| 06-12 11:29:33 | Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | BUY | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xffafcc… |
| 06-12 11:29:33 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 13 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xffafcc… |
| 06-12 11:23:43 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xbab59b… |
| 06-12 11:23:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 99¢ | $1 | 0xbab59b… |
| 06-12 11:19:43 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 3 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x041fed… |
| 06-12 11:19:43 | (anonymous) 0x29e4…4982 | No | SELL | 3 | 99¢ | $3 | 0x041fed… |
| 06-07 21:55:09 | Black-Ruler 0x539f…4d03 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $1 | 0x793d39… |
| 06-07 21:55:09 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | SELL | 1 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x793d39… |
| 06-07 13:51:45 | Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | BUY | 58 | 95¢ | $55 | 0x4d16c9… |
| 06-07 13:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | BUY | 25 | 5¢ | $1 | 0x4d16c9… |
| 06-07 13:51:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 18 | 94¢ | $17 | 0x4d16c9… |
| 06-07 13:51:45 | (anonymous) 0x2baf…70ad | Yes | BUY | 6 | 5¢ | $0 | 0x4d16c9… |
| 06-06 22:49:52 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x961435… |
| 06-06 22:49:52 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 10 | 94¢ | $10 | 0x961435… |
| 05-31 14:20:18 | United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | BUY | 1 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x360570… |
| 05-31 14:20:18 | Sour-Dungeon 0x8c11…1a93 | No | SELL | 1 | 94¢ | $0 | 0x360570… |
| 05-31 14:19:48 | Sour-Dungeon 0x8c11…1a93 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbee1ed… |
| 05-31 14:19:48 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0xbee1ed… |
| 05-29 17:22:28 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 25 | 94¢ | $24 | 0x9dfc98… |
| 05-29 17:22:28 | (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | BUY | 53 | 94¢ | $50 | 0x9dfc98… |
| 05-29 17:22:28 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 32 | 94¢ | $30 | 0x9dfc98… |
| 05-29 17:22:28 | Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | SELL | 60 | 6¢ | $4 | 0x9dfc98… |
| 05-29 17:22:28 | Fragrant-Interchange 0xd493…7f04 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 6¢ | $0 | 0x9dfc98… |
| 05-29 17:22:28 | (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | BUY | 172 | 6¢ | $10 | 0x9dfc98… |