Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?
open
Total volume
$120,012
Trades
850
Unique wallets
318
Liquidity
$17,542
Latest YES mid
4¢
Latest NO mid
96¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-29
last 08-03 02:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 12 | $10 | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 11 | $10 | $72 | $62 |
| 🐟 Fish | 36 | $5 | $10.1K | $10.1K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 258 | $3.1K | $45.9K | $42.8K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 7 | $24 | $147 | $122 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 13 | $52 | $4.1K | $4.0K |
| Median | 33 | $416 | $4.0K | $3.5K |
| Below median | 33 | $181 | $6.0K | $5.8K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 4 | $4 | $751 | $746 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 4 | $0 | $117 | $117 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 3 | $8 | $819 | $811 |
| unranked | 219 | $2.5K | $41.7K | $39.3K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | +402 | $378 | $405 | 5 | 07-23 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xbff5…655b | Yes | +382 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-23 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x5fe6…decf | Yes | +376 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-27 11:02 |
| Popular-Channel 0xb10f…56f4 | Yes | +368 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 06-22 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +304 | $291 | $291 | 1 | 07-27 09:02 |
| Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | Yes | +263 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 07-07 12:01 |
| (anonymous) 0xcc10…33cc | Yes | +172 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-29 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | +115 | $110 | $129 | 8 | 07-31 00:40 |
| (anonymous) 0x71c6…fdda | No | +92 | $87 | $87 | 2 | 06-22 11:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x0975…080a | Yes | +83 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-20 07:26 |
| Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | +72 | $69 | $69 | 4 | 07-31 22:10 |
| Prickly-Signup 0x0dde…94c3 | No | +66 | $62 | $62 | 2 | 06-23 10:47 |
| Mediocre-Paradise 0xc30c…6509 | No | +58 | $55 | $55 | 1 | 06-07 13:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x4ebb…374d | No | +55 | $53 | $53 | 3 | 07-23 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xd48e…fd89 | No | +54 | $52 | $52 | 1 | 07-23 08:08 |
| (anonymous) 0xfe64…c464 | No | +53 | $51 | $51 | 2 | 07-16 10:16 |
| (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | +52 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 07-08 06:41 |
| (anonymous) 0xbd47…dfc0 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-15 02:33 |
| Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | +50 | $48 | $48 | 2 | 07-31 18:51 |
| (anonymous) 0x834b…1f64 | No | +49 | $46 | $56 | 2 | 07-27 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x876b…9e57 | No | +43 | $42 | $42 | 2 | 06-15 02:33 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +32 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-29 17:22 |
| (anonymous) 0xe546…e7c3 | No | +31 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 07-21 19:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | +23 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-21 05:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xbf6f…4de7 | No | +20 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 07-08 13:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | +13 | $12 | $88 | 2 | 07-27 09:03 |
| (anonymous) 0xe0e1…30ad | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 08-01 21:46 |
| Bewitched-Merchant 0xb253…2d38 | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 06-27 01:24 |
| Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | +8 | $7 | $199 | 12 | 07-23 09:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x58a0…0065 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 2 | 08-03 02:19 |
| (anonymous) 0x90e1…4fdd | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 07-27 15:28 |
| (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 07-20 07:26 |
| Likely-Exhibit 0x9868…907e | Yes | +3 | $0 | $3 | 10 | 06-30 11:47 |
| (anonymous) 0x91b3…77d6 | Yes | +2 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-27 16:42 |
| (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | +2 | $2 | $27 | 6 | 07-23 07:55 |
| (anonymous) 0xb294…a90c | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-22 09:25 |
| Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | No | +1 | $-3 | $502 | 5 | 07-27 09:02 |
| (anonymous) 0x30de…7f4d | Yes | +1 | $0 | $2 | 2 | 07-31 00:40 |
| United-Welcome 0x2afd…deb4 | No | +1 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-31 14:20 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08-03 02:19:27 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…0065 | No | BUY | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x4a9b99… |
| 08-03 02:19:27 | (anonymous) 0xd033…a193 | No | SELL | 4 | 96¢ | $4 | 0x4a9b99… |
| 08-01 21:46:33 | (anonymous) 0xe0e1…30ad | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x473833… |
| 08-01 21:46:33 | Usable-Linseed 0x3e0a…b9cc | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0x473833… |
| 08-01 05:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x58a0…0065 | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc1cb8b… |
| 08-01 05:19:42 | (anonymous) 0x206b…80c2 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xc1cb8b… |
| 07-31 22:10:51 | Usable-Linseed 0x3e0a…b9cc | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x222671… |
| 07-31 22:10:51 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0x222671… |
| 07-31 18:51:33 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x49b25f… |
| 07-31 18:51:33 | Usable-Linseed 0x3e0a…b9cc | No | SELL | 9 | 96¢ | $9 | 0x49b25f… |
| 07-31 11:48:56 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | SELL | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xee4001… |
| 07-31 11:48:56 | Belgaron 0x6c10…df5c | No | BUY | 41 | 96¢ | $39 | 0xee4001… |
| 07-31 00:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x30de…7f4d | Yes | SELL | 22 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xe980a4… |
| 07-31 00:40:20 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | SELL | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xe980a4… |
| 07-31 00:40:20 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | SELL | 12 | 96¢ | $11 | 0xe980a4… |
| 07-31 00:37:20 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 17 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x89113e… |
| 07-31 00:37:20 | (anonymous) 0x30de…7f4d | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x89113e… |
| 07-31 00:37:20 | Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3 | No | BUY | 6 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x89113e… |
| 07-29 20:10:44 | (anonymous) 0xb3af…84fc | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x803b41… |
| 07-29 20:10:44 | Orderly-Poster 0x6cb9…4f81 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0x803b41… |
| 07-27 15:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x834b…1f64 | No | SELL | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4cfe3e… |
| 07-27 15:28:31 | (anonymous) 0x90e1…4fdd | No | BUY | 5 | 95¢ | $5 | 0x4cfe3e… |
| 07-27 09:03:00 | (anonymous) 0x8254…d536 | No | SELL | 40 | 96¢ | $38 | 0xbf261d… |
| 07-27 09:03:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | SELL | 40 | 4¢ | $2 | 0xbf261d… |
| 07-27 09:02:58 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 304 | 96¢ | $291 | 0x0029db… |
| 07-27 09:02:58 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 71 | 96¢ | $68 | 0x0029db… |
| 07-27 09:02:58 | Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | No | SELL | 233 | 96¢ | $223 | 0x0029db… |
| 07-23 09:32:40 | Studious-Vibraphone 0x5a26…6d33 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x16d169… |
| 07-23 09:32:40 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x16d169… |
| 07-23 09:31:09 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x43c8eb… |
| 07-23 09:31:09 | (anonymous) 0xd0fa…04a4 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x43c8eb… |
| 07-23 09:19:00 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | SELL | 9 | 97¢ | $9 | 0x7a3b30… |
| 07-23 09:19:00 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | SELL | 11 | 97¢ | $11 | 0x7a3b30… |
| 07-23 09:19:00 | (anonymous) 0x6527…da21 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x7a3b30… |
| 07-23 08:08:45 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | Yes | BUY | 12 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x5e2230… |
| 07-23 08:08:45 | (anonymous) 0xe583…6ff7 | No | SELL | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0x5e2230… |
| 07-23 08:08:45 | (anonymous) 0x4752…cb8b | Yes | SELL | 40 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5e2230… |
| 07-23 08:08:03 | Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | No | BUY | 185 | 94¢ | $173 | 0xae7af5… |
| 07-23 08:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x4ebb…374d | No | BUY | 10 | 96¢ | $10 | 0xae7af5… |
| 07-23 08:08:03 | Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71 | No | BUY | 80 | 95¢ | $76 | 0xae7af5… |
| 07-23 08:08:03 | (anonymous) 0xd48e…fd89 | No | BUY | 54 | 96¢ | $52 | 0xae7af5… |
| 07-23 08:08:03 | (anonymous) 0xbff5…655b | Yes | BUY | 382 | 5¢ | $20 | 0xae7af5… |
| 07-23 08:08:03 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | BUY | 53 | 96¢ | $51 | 0xae7af5… |
| 07-23 07:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x9ac8…c973 | No | SELL | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x9abadd… |
| 07-23 07:56:07 | (anonymous) 0x4ebb…374d | No | BUY | 20 | 96¢ | $19 | 0x9abadd… |
| 07-23 07:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x9ac8…c973 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x628baa… |
| 07-23 07:55:54 | (anonymous) 0xe583…6ff7 | No | SELL | 15 | 97¢ | $15 | 0x628baa… |
| 07-23 07:55:54 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x628baa… |
| 07-21 20:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 96¢ | $5 | 0x31842f… |
| 07-21 20:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x50c8…fa2a | No | SELL | 30 | 96¢ | $29 | 0x31842f… |
| 07-21 20:12:04 | (anonymous) 0x4ebb…374d | No | BUY | 25 | 96¢ | $24 | 0x31842f… |
| 07-21 19:42:27 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | SELL | 3 | 97¢ | $3 | 0xc6b2e9… |
| 07-21 19:42:27 | Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | No | SELL | 28 | 97¢ | $27 | 0xc6b2e9… |
| 07-21 19:42:27 | (anonymous) 0xe546…e7c3 | No | BUY | 31 | 97¢ | $30 | 0xc6b2e9… |
| 07-21 07:56:37 | (anonymous) 0x8b65…1b49 | No | SELL | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd168a1… |
| 07-21 07:56:37 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 1 | 96¢ | $1 | 0xd168a1… |
| 07-21 05:28:54 | (anonymous) 0x22e0…3adb | Yes | BUY | 23 | 4¢ | $1 | 0x4526ab… |
| 07-21 05:28:54 | Rowdy-Tenement 0x510f…a43c | No | BUY | 23 | 96¢ | $22 | 0x4526ab… |
| 07-20 07:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x0975…080a | Yes | BUY | 83 | 6¢ | $5 | 0x430fe5… |
| 07-20 07:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 21 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x430fe5… |
| 07-20 07:26:27 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 11 | 6¢ | $1 | 0x430fe5… |
| 07-20 07:26:27 | (anonymous) 0xa18c…d792 | No | BUY | 4 | 94¢ | $4 | 0x430fe5… |
| 07-20 07:26:27 | (anonymous) 0x9de6…e7f0 | No | BUY | 5 | 94¢ | $5 | 0x430fe5… |
| 07-20 07:26:27 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 42 | 6¢ | $3 | 0x430fe5… |
| 07-19 16:14:52 | (anonymous) 0x8b65…1b49 | No | BUY | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8a2170… |
| 07-19 16:14:52 | Untimely-Charge 0x391d…def1 | No | SELL | 1 | 97¢ | $1 | 0x8a2170… |
| 07-18 16:20:40 | (anonymous) 0xfdbc…81f8 | Yes | SELL | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x00e3da… |
| 07-18 16:20:40 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 11 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x00e3da… |
| 07-16 10:16:01 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | SELL | 58 | 5¢ | $3 | 0xff51a1… |
| 07-16 10:16:01 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…c464 | No | BUY | 22 | 96¢ | $21 | 0xff51a1… |
| 07-16 10:16:01 | Untried-Budget 0xdd28…374a | No | SELL | 100 | 95¢ | $95 | 0xff51a1… |
| 07-16 10:16:01 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | SELL | 20 | 4¢ | $1 | 0xff51a1… |
| 07-15 10:21:59 | (anonymous) 0xfe64…c464 | No | BUY | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x62dfeb… |
| 07-15 10:21:59 | Tricky-Playroom 0xa57c…8900 | No | SELL | 31 | 96¢ | $30 | 0x62dfeb… |
| 07-08 13:38:59 | Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | BUY | 20 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x29071e… |
| 07-08 13:38:59 | (anonymous) 0xbf6f…4de7 | No | BUY | 20 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x29071e… |
| 07-08 07:09:35 | (anonymous) 0xed9c…a46b | No | SELL | 425 | 96¢ | $408 | 0x231bac… |
| 07-08 07:09:35 | Equal-Cabinet 0x0f0a…f7bb | Yes | SELL | 425 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x231bac… |
| 07-08 07:09:11 | (anonymous) 0x3805…7305 | No | SELL | 435 | 96¢ | $418 | 0x5e5513… |
| 07-08 07:09:11 | Equal-Cabinet 0x0f0a…f7bb | Yes | SELL | 435 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x5e5513… |
| 07-08 07:08:44 | (anonymous) 0xa151…0420 | No | SELL | 445 | 96¢ | $427 | 0x2a0a0d… |
| 07-08 07:08:44 | Thirsty-Footnote 0x034a…6af4 | Yes | SELL | 445 | 4¢ | $18 | 0x2a0a0d… |
| 07-08 07:08:22 | (anonymous) 0xef96…413c | No | SELL | 415 | 96¢ | $398 | 0x20762b… |
| 07-08 07:08:22 | Thirsty-Footnote 0x034a…6af4 | Yes | SELL | 415 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x20762b… |
| 07-08 06:41:37 | (anonymous) 0x6189…1416 | No | BUY | 52 | 96¢ | $50 | 0x97c7bc… |
| 07-08 06:41:37 | (anonymous) 0xee67…67a6 | Yes | BUY | 52 | 4¢ | $2 | 0x97c7bc… |
| 07-08 06:36:31 | (anonymous) 0xed9c…a46b | No | BUY | 425 | 96¢ | $408 | 0xdb219f… |
| 07-08 06:36:31 | Thirsty-Footnote 0x034a…6af4 | Yes | BUY | 425 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xdb219f… |
| 07-08 06:36:22 | (anonymous) 0x3805…7305 | No | BUY | 435 | 96¢ | $418 | 0xa65d1b… |
| 07-08 06:36:22 | Thirsty-Footnote 0x034a…6af4 | Yes | BUY | 435 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xa65d1b… |
| 07-08 06:35:55 | (anonymous) 0xa151…0420 | No | BUY | 445 | 96¢ | $427 | 0xc724af… |
| 07-08 06:35:55 | Equal-Cabinet 0x0f0a…f7bb | Yes | BUY | 445 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xc724af… |
| 07-08 06:35:43 | (anonymous) 0xef96…413c | No | BUY | 415 | 96¢ | $398 | 0xd20128… |
| 07-08 06:35:43 | Equal-Cabinet 0x0f0a…f7bb | Yes | BUY | 415 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xd20128… |
| 07-08 05:53:26 | (anonymous) 0x6f9a…7974 | No | SELL | 420 | 96¢ | $403 | 0xa3504c… |
| 07-08 05:53:26 | Corrupt-Benefit 0x3e1e…61e3 | Yes | SELL | 420 | 4¢ | $17 | 0xa3504c… |
| 07-08 05:53:13 | (anonymous) 0x46a0…8322 | No | SELL | 430 | 96¢ | $413 | 0x0ad13e… |
| 07-08 05:53:13 | Corrupt-Benefit 0x3e1e…61e3 | Yes | SELL | 430 | 4¢ | $17 | 0x0ad13e… |
| 07-08 05:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x95e3…bae4 | Yes | SELL | 440 | 4¢ | $18 | 0xd96d49… |
| 07-08 05:53:01 | (anonymous) 0x589a…1144 | No | SELL | 440 | 96¢ | $422 | 0xd96d49… |