Realized P&L
+$84
Unrealized P&L
-$675
Hit rate
66.2%
Resolved
328
Trades
414
lifetime
Volume
$15.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$38
Open exposure
$2.75K
14 positions
First seen
2026-07-04
last 10-25 18:19
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 74 days
Categories
Other
71% 60% +$428
Politics
19% — —
Sports
10% 53% -$344
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
66 active days in 12wk • peak 25 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, D House Yes +7,044 $1,947 26¢ $1.9K -$80 10-25 18:19
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +10,553 $593 4¢ $396 -$197 10-25 18:16
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? Yes +1,843 $396 11¢ $194 -$203 10-16 06:26
Will Syria join the Abraham Accords before 2027? Yes +1,556 $200 7¢ $110 -$90 07-08 22:51
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +374 $95 15¢ $54 -$41 09-08 20:22
Will Arsenal win the 2026-27 English Premier League (EPL) Championship? Yes +59 $30 66¢ $39 +$9 08-30 07:18
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +125 $20 12¢ $15 -$5 07-23 07:59
Will Israel annex West Bank territory before 2027? Yes +248 $20 5¢ $12 -$8 07-08 22:26
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026 Yes +91 $20 14¢ $12 -$8 07-08 23:06
Will Ukraine agree to cede territory to Russia before 2027? Yes +200 $20 6¢ $12 -$8 07-08 23:08
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +382 $20 3¢ $11 -$9 07-23 08:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? Yes +333 $20 3¢ $10 -$9 07-08 22:35
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +133 $20 6¢ $7 -$13 07-09 06:06
China coup attempt before 2027? Yes +420 $20 1¢ $6 -$14 07-16 20:07