Realized P&L
+$22
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
91.6%
Resolved
113
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$1.14K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$239
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-04 20:04
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Other
55% 91% +$12
Politics
27% 85% +$6
Tech
14% 81% +$3
Crypto
3% 50% +$0
Pop-Culture
1% 100% +$0
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
2 active days in 12wk • peak 44 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No +23 $20 98¢ $22 +$2 07-08 13:38
Cuban regime falls in 2026? No +22 $20 97¢ $22 +$2 07-08 13:43
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +22 $20 97¢ $21 +$1 07-08 13:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +21 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 07-08 13:38
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No +21 $20 99¢ $21 +$1 07-08 13:38
Will the U.S. invade Mexico in 2026? No +21 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 07-08 13:39
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 07-08 13:38
Will Mary Peltola win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $10 99¢ $11 +$1 11-04 19:22
Will You Can See Everything win Best Picture at the 99th Academy Awards? No +12 $10 82¢ $10 $0 11-04 19:28
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +7 $6 99¢ $6 +$0 05-10 20:28
Will the Republican Party hold exactly 45 Senate seats after the 2026 midterm elections? No +6 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-04 19:31
Anthropic acquired before 2027? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 08-13 16:20
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 19:22
Will the Democrats win the Mississippi Senate race in 2026? Yes +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 19:16
Trump declares election interference national emergency by December 31? No +5 $5 98¢ $5 +$0 11-04 19:24
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 11-04 19:23
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027? No +4 $4 97¢ $4 +$0 11-04 19:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? No +4 $4 90¢ $4 +$0 11-04 19:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by November 30? No +4 $4 96¢ $4 $0 11-04 19:49
Will Trump nationalize elections? No +4 $4 94¢ $4 $0 11-04 19:24
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +3 $2 98¢ $3 +$1 07-22 19:07
Will Discord not IPO by December 31, 2027? Yes +3 $2 95¢ $3 +$1 11-04 19:48
Will Avengers: Doomsday be the top grossing movie of 2026? No +3 $3 90¢ $3 $0 11-04 19:32
Will Toy Story 5 have the 3rd best domestic opening weekend in 2026? Yes +2 $2 78¢ $2 $0 11-04 19:32
Will Stripe acquire Paypal in 2026? No +1 $1 97¢ $1 +$0 07-17 03:00
US announces end of Iranian blockade by November 15, 2026? No +1 $1 95¢ $1 +$0 11-04 19:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No +1 $1 98¢ $1 +$0 07-08 13:39
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" score at least 90 on the Rotten Tomatoes Tomatometer? No +1 $1 92¢ $1 +$0 11-04 19:37
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2 $1 62¢ $1 +$0 11-04 19:44
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +1 $1 93¢ $1 +$0 11-04 19:53