Realized P&L
+$15.4K
Unrealized P&L
+$804
Hit rate
58.5%
Resolved
5,697
Trades
105,586
lifetime
Volume
$2.68M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$25
Open exposure
$2.59K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-26 20:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 278 days
Categories
Other
56% 38% +$6,048
Politics
19% 46% +$3,336
Sports
16% 43% +$7,191
Crypto
8% 29% -$430
Tech
1% 43% -$733
Pop-Culture
0% 33% -$33
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
81 active days in 12wk • peak 476 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +861 $218 33¢ $284 +$67 10-14 00:35
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through December 31? No +415 $91 62¢ $256 +$165 10-24 02:59
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +430 $352 59¢ $254 -$98 10-04 22:40
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? No +367 $168 68¢ $250 +$81 10-17 19:19
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? No +693 $276 34¢ $239 -$37 10-25 15:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 30? No +479 $153 48¢ $233 +$80 10-26 06:17
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 No +934 $205 20¢ $187 -$18 08-02 06:36
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +148 $64 90¢ $133 +$69 06-20 10:14
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? No +314 $57 41¢ $129 +$72 09-24 14:34
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by December 31? Yes +300 $99 26¢ $76 -$22 10-25 01:09
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? No +973 $88 8¢ $73 -$15 10-26 17:25
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +152 -$69 45¢ $68 +$138 10-26 21:39
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No -82 -$94 72¢ $-59 +$35 10-26 15:51
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -195 -$95 29¢ $-56 +$39 10-17 17:43
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -94 -$76 55¢ $-52 +$24 10-26 21:41
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? Yes -479 -$78 10¢ $-48 +$30 05-29 15:51
Will Russia capture Mala Tokmachka by December 31, 2026? Yes +149 $32 20¢ $31 -$2 10-26 09:43
Iran nuclear test before 2027? Yes -718 -$47 4¢ $-29 +$18 10-07 15:37
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? No +782 -$37 3¢ $23 +$60 10-26 21:16
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 27? Yes +24 $5 97¢ $23 +$18 10-25 14:08
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? Yes +299 $12 8¢ $23 +$11 10-23 11:50
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +172 -$4 11¢ $18 +$22 10-26 09:40
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? Yes -950 -$23 1¢ $-11 +$12 09-17 09:26
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes -322 -$49 3¢ $-9 +$40 10-26 21:34
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026? Yes +252 $7 3¢ $7 +$1 07-07 12:01
trump meets with mojtaba khamenei by december 31 Yes +270 $20 2¢ $6 -$14 08-01 08:07
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027? Yes -103 -$20 4¢ $-5 +$16 08-18 02:02
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes -337 -$8 1¢ $-5 +$3 09-15 22:15
Will Israel strike 6 countries in 2026? Yes -78 -$8 4¢ $-3 +$5 08-01 13:56
Will Mohammed bin Salman cease to be the de facto leader of Saudi Arabia by December 31, 2026? No +3 -$3 92¢ $3 +$6 10-23 07:55