Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$29

Open exposure

$50

1 position

First seen

2026-04-07

last 07-01 10:19

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

60% 100% +$4

Politics

23% — —

Sports

7% — —

Tech

6% — —

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No		+52	$50	96¢	$50	+$0	06-30 09:28

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$109	56	56	+0	open	—	06-18 14:08
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$109	55	55	+0	open	—	05-26 07:27
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	2	$108	56	56	+0	open	—	06-22 18:46
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	05-25 09:26
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	8	$108	56	56	+0	open	—	07-01 16:13
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	5	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	06-29 09:10
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	3	$101	51	51	+0	open	—	07-01 05:26
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-07 08:59
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	2	$99	51	51	+0	open	—	05-19 13:38
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	4	$97	49	49	+0	open	—	06-10 11:13
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?	1	$53	0	55	-55	open	—	06-09 15:58
Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$51	53	0	+53	open	—	04-20 12:10
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	1	$51	51	0	+51	open	—	04-20 08:33
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$51	54	0	+54	Yes	+$3	04-20 08:35
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	1	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	04-20 08:52
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	04-20 08:27
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$50	52	0	+52	open	—	06-30 09:28
Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	3	$50	51	0	+51	open	—	05-28 09:46
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	3	$46	0	47	-47	open	—	06-10 07:32
Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?	3	$26	0	26	-26	open	—	06-30 05:00
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$21	22	0	+22	open	—	04-07 08:02
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	2	$9	9	0	+9	open	—	04-20 10:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 16:13:43	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	39	96¢	$37	0x3033b7…
07-01 10:19:20	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	SELL	17	96¢	$16	0xd4ddc8…
07-01 05:26:20	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$36	0x787182…
06-30 23:29:20	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x6fb476…
06-30 09:28:53	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	96¢	$6	0x34ae62…
06-30 05:00:52	Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0xf4fbbc…
06-30 04:57:58	Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0xc2108f…
06-30 03:09:11	Will Tempo launch a token by June 30 2026?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x0e6bf3…
06-29 22:37:01	Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	46	96¢	$44	0xe1021a…
06-29 09:10:31	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xbd0bd2…
06-29 09:10:01	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x6fbe8c…
06-29 08:56:31	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd3abe1…
06-22 18:46:53	Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	No	SELL	56	97¢	$54	0xb940b5…
06-18 20:40:19	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x145dec…
06-18 14:35:07	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xb0033b…
06-18 14:17:26	Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	97¢	$49	0x20424f…
06-18 14:08:25	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	56	98¢	$55	0xc170ce…
06-17 02:00:36	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	11	96¢	$10	0x31893d…
06-17 01:55:07	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x16da69…
06-17 01:50:50	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xaed052…
06-16 09:50:10	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	31	96¢	$29	0xb328c5…
06-10 19:24:46	Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0x8f8e3d…
06-10 11:13:18	Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0xa62421…
06-10 11:09:43	Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe05db6…
06-10 11:06:03	Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xe308ac…
06-10 08:47:19	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x803b1d…
06-10 08:41:07	Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	56	97¢	$54	0xef9344…
06-10 07:32:24	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x7be450…
06-10 07:22:46	Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe9e19e…
06-09 15:58:48	Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?	No	SELL	55	96¢	$53	0xb4acf1…
05-28 09:46:55	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	98¢	$19	0x49e306…
05-28 07:54:20	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xfbbde1…
05-28 07:46:05	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	98¢	$30	0x7ca414…
05-28 07:43:12	Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	49	98¢	$48	0x8c500a…
05-28 07:41:32	NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	34	98¢	$34	0x22ccca…
05-26 07:27:00	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$55	0x2b5b4e…
05-25 09:26:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	55	99¢	$54	0x3e6c73…
05-25 07:45:02	Will Claude 5 be released by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xc398ea…
05-20 05:20:08	Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	55	98¢	$54	0x6cdad3…
05-19 13:38:29	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	99¢	$50	0x326ffb…
05-19 13:01:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	23	98¢	$22	0x402033…
05-19 13:01:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x24b607…
05-14 07:09:40	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0xa9b12f…
05-07 08:59:23	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0xf850bb…
04-20 12:10:48	Will the Ottawa Senators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0x0f7020…
04-20 10:10:40	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x6b480e…
04-20 09:13:14	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0xb2594e…
04-20 09:12:44	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in April?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x39e551…
04-20 08:52:12	Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x527df7…
04-20 08:35:16	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x17ca03…
04-20 08:33:20	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	51	100¢	$51	0xd78487…
04-20 08:27:52	Starmer out by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$50	0x7ba4ca…
04-07 08:02:55	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	22	98¢	$21	0x08a66d…