Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

98.5%

Resolved

Trades

271

lifetime

Volume

$6.62K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$24

Open exposure

$294

7 positions

First seen

2026-04-07

last 10-20 17:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Other

56% 100% +$22

Politics

24% 100% +$4

Sports

8% 83% +$3

Tech

7% 100% +$2

Crypto

5% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

36 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (7) Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	No	-51	-$51	100¢	$-51	$0	08-09 09:55
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+52	$51	98¢	$51	$0	09-10 09:23
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	+51	$50	98¢	$50	$0	09-11 09:42
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	+54	$51	92¢	$49	-$1	08-13 08:43
Will there be no Head of State in Iran end of 2026?	No	+50	$49	95¢	$48	-$2	06-18 08:05
Will the San Francisco 49ers win the 2027 NFL league championship?	No	-53	-$51	86¢	$-46	+$5	06-13 16:52
Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	08-05 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-20 17:30:30	U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31?	No	BUY	52	94¢	$49	0x76fe2e…
10-17 15:17:27	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0xe42954…
10-04 16:10:49	Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$72	0x137ea7…
10-04 14:14:17	Will Nermin Nikšić be the next Chairman of the Council of Ministers of Bosnia and Herzegovina?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x175884…
10-04 07:38:04	Will Laurent Wauquiez be on the ballot for the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x0f428b…
10-01 06:33:41	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x4a1669…
09-29 07:14:12	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	33	80¢	$27	0x465410…
09-29 07:12:29	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	35	80¢	$28	0xf450a9…
09-29 07:12:14	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	SELL	26	80¢	$21	0x92762a…
09-29 01:58:32	Will Mark Brown be the next Prime Minister of the Cook Islands following the 2026 Cook Islands parliamentary elections?	Yes	BUY	27	96¢	$26	0x3bf0da…
09-28 06:27:11	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	SELL	55	93¢	$51	0xd06cb7…
09-27 20:15:30	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0x0b6c91…
09-25 20:37:51	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xd1ebce…
09-24 20:29:11	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	21	97¢	$21	0xd21638…
09-24 20:28:53	Will there be 20 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	30	97¢	$29	0x567390…
09-24 08:30:53	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	86	79¢	$68	0xb58c97…
09-24 08:30:53	OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	Yes	BUY	8	79¢	$6	0x914727…
09-24 01:34:44	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	48	97¢	$47	0x5d6a44…
09-23 11:51:49	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	SELL	52	96¢	$50	0x855254…
09-22 20:40:48	Will Russia capture Orikhiv by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	49	94¢	$46	0xa3b989…
09-21 12:28:14	Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	27	97¢	$27	0x821bf9…
09-21 12:28:12	Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	SELL	25	97¢	$24	0x5989ef…
09-18 15:32:48	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	21	98¢	$20	0x3cb4f8…
09-18 12:39:02	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x342032…
09-16 14:45:34	Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	95¢	$46	0x04d549…
09-12 12:02:03	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	49	99¢	$49	0x0ab09e…
09-11 11:37:03	Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	21	98¢	$20	0xe61bb5…
09-11 09:42:34	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	43	98¢	$42	0x554c27…
09-10 21:59:46	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xea910e…
09-10 09:23:58	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	42	98¢	$42	0x5eb136…
09-10 08:34:00	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3a1fd3…
09-10 07:59:37	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbc1989…
09-10 05:49:21	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xaaf4c0…
09-10 05:44:48	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0x3363bf…
09-10 04:57:39	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xdbff2d…
09-10 04:15:55	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x547802…
09-10 03:43:36	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$5	0xa9ac49…
09-10 02:58:49	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	0	98¢	$0	0xefc07f…
09-10 02:56:40	Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xa41d3f…
09-09 20:08:28	Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	No	BUY	55	93¢	$51	0xc4eb43…
09-09 12:26:54	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x251f92…
09-06 00:41:54	Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x3e371c…
09-06 00:39:21	Will Alexandra Eala win the 2026 Women’s US Open?	No	SELL	40	98¢	$39	0x1ed109…
09-05 12:38:34	Will there be exactly 2 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$50	0x857234…
09-01 01:26:06	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	SELL	42	98¢	$41	0xebe3bf…
08-31 22:35:33	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xb65f60…
08-31 22:32:58	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	19	96¢	$18	0x623823…
08-30 06:40:21	Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0xabdf2d…
08-29 19:05:19	Will Russia capture Bilytske by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	51	96¢	$49	0x054107…
08-29 15:43:49	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0x5b92f6…
08-29 12:46:57	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xd7bb50…
08-29 09:01:00	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3c42bd…
08-29 06:09:45	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0xfe2ef2…
08-28 18:06:52	Will Progresīvie (PRO) win the most seats in the 2026 Latvian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x29a1d6…
08-28 17:55:28	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xcabae2…
08-28 17:42:31	Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x04f446…
08-26 09:09:15	Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0x020820…
08-24 09:48:52	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	SELL	45	96¢	$43	0x1a6789…
08-21 12:11:30	Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	52	98¢	$51	0x344dbb…
08-21 04:36:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0xdbaf54…
08-20 08:32:55	Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	No	BUY	75	96¢	$73	0x8ab579…
08-15 10:34:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x043497…
08-15 07:30:37	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xe30bb6…
08-15 03:49:04	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	40	98¢	$39	0xa7950b…
08-15 00:04:12	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x667159…
08-14 20:58:46	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xdc9663…
08-14 18:33:12	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x2b36c7…
08-14 17:28:30	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x616019…
08-14 13:35:46	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xadcfbb…
08-14 00:56:51	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x7c0ac6…
08-13 14:17:16	Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0x5ef8ae…
08-13 12:32:40	Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	97¢	$50	0x159f94…
08-13 11:29:36	Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	52	98¢	$51	0x9cd98c…
08-13 10:02:27	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $12,000 by end of December?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9548aa…
08-13 09:53:12	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xfbd43c…
08-13 09:53:12	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	37	98¢	$36	0x18e345…
08-13 08:43:03	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	54	94¢	$51	0x741400…
08-13 07:49:28	Anthropic acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x3d285f…
08-13 07:46:52	Will Randy Fine be the Republican nominee for FL-06?	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x477af9…
08-10 08:18:16	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x039997…
08-10 08:18:12	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0xa0dff7…
08-10 07:04:48	Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	SELL	9	98¢	$9	0xb1a4a7…
08-09 09:55:51	Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 6.0% and 7.0%?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x5dbe58…
08-05 23:26:00	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$5	0x88a29d…
08-05 10:05:41	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x2a6577…
08-05 08:52:15	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x1a048e…
08-05 06:22:30	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	10	97¢	$10	0xfec303…
08-04 15:25:08	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0d7343…
08-04 10:38:14	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	4	97¢	$4	0x0e5859…
08-04 06:38:08	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xd026df…
08-04 03:21:15	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0xacedd4…
07-31 22:21:30	Will Venezuela become 51st state?	No	SELL	52	97¢	$51	0xb28f4c…
07-31 11:48:56	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	41	96¢	$39	0xee4001…
07-31 00:40:20	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$11	0xe980a4…
07-31 00:20:03	US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	No	SELL	53	96¢	$51	0xcbef93…
07-29 20:29:06	Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	No	SELL	53	97¢	$52	0xa4d7aa…
07-23 21:46:31	Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?	No	BUY	53	95¢	$51	0x3349a8…
07-23 17:45:55	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	BUY	4	97¢	$4	0x41e29e…
07-23 10:15:52	Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0xb6c573…
07-23 08:08:03	Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	No	BUY	53	96¢	$51	0xae7af5…

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Venezuela become 51st state?	4	$199	103	103	+0	open	—	07-31 22:21
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B?	5	$150	94	94	+0	open	—	09-29 07:14
Will Pacifica launch a token by September 30 2026?	4	$145	75	75	+0	No	+$0	08-31 22:35
Lai Ching-te impeached by June 30?	3	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$0	06-03 02:39
Will Waymo operate in 5 cities or less on June 30 2026?	17	$116	59	59	+0	No	+$0	06-01 01:02
Will Julio Rodriguez win the 2026 American League MVP Award?	5	$111	56	56	+0	open	—	06-24 06:16
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026?	2	$109	56	56	+0	No	+$0	06-18 14:08
Over $8M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$109	55	55	+0	No	+$0	05-26 07:27
Will Valve remove Overpass from the Map Pool?	2	$108	56	56	+0	No	+$0	06-22 18:46
Will Andy Pages lead the MLB in RBIs for the 2026 regular season?	2	$108	56	56	+0	No	+$0	07-11 01:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by May 31, 2026?	3	$108	55	55	+0	No	+$1	05-25 09:26
Will Real Salt Lake win the 2026 MLS Cup?	2	$108	55	55	+0	open	—	05-25 15:08
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?	8	$108	56	56	+0	open	—	07-01 16:13
NATO/EU troops fighting in Ukraine in June 30, 2026?	9	$107	55	55	+0	No	+$0	06-10 07:32
Greta Thunberg arrested by June 30?	2	$105	55	55	+0	No	+$1	06-09 15:58
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	3	$105	54	54	+0	Yes	+$3	05-06 09:25
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?	2	$102	53	53	+0	No	+$1	07-29 20:29
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	2	$102	55	55	+0	open	—	09-28 06:27
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	07-03 18:42
Spain snap election called by June 30, 2026?	5	$102	52	52	+0	No	+$1	06-29 09:10
Will Solana reach $320 by December 31, 2026?	2	$102	52	52	+0	open	—	08-21 12:11
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026?	4	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	07-31 00:20
Will the U.S. invade Colombia in 2026?	3	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	07-31 11:48
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	3	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-01 05:26
Will LeBron James play for the Denver Nuggets in 2026-27?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	07-20 13:14
Will SpaceX have between 180-199 launches in 2026?	2	$101	53	53	+0	open	—	08-26 09:09
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	2	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$1	05-07 08:59
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027?	10	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	08-21 04:36
Will the Minnesota Timberwolves win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	3	$101	51	51	+0	No	+$0	05-13 04:12
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?	2	$101	52	52	+0	open	—	10-17 15:17