European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?
open
Total volume
$26,166
$466 in 24h
Trades
493
Unique wallets
205
Liquidity
$13,077
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-06-30
First seen
2026-05-28
last 07-01 05:26
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+98.9¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $13
vs crowd: 1% YES on $17.6K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 13 | $41 | $315 | $274 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 28 | $46 | $632 | $587 |
| 🐟 Fish | 40 | $62 | $11.0K | $10.9K |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 124 | $51 | $5.5K | $5.5K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 4 | $13 | — | +$13 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 11 | $31 | $476 | $445 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 15 | $14 | $943 | $928 |
| Median | 20 | $5 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
| Below median | 20 | $19 | $3.3K | $3.2K |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 9 | $7 | $200 | $194 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 14 | $76 | $63 | +$13 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 4 | $9 | $1.9K | $1.9K |
| unranked | 108 | $27 | $9.4K | $9.4K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | +6,596 | $13 | $13 | 89 | 06-30 10:20 |
| Sophisticated-Farmer-Watercress 0x07e1…27af | No | +4,135 | $4,000 | $4,000 | 5 | 06-03 07:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x8333…ef3e | No | +3,116 | $3,090 | $3,090 | 2 | 06-14 05:19 |
| (anonymous) 0xf5ee…5d9c | No | +1,932 | $1,907 | $1,907 | 9 | 06-20 12:37 |
| Unimportant-Venture 0x2e42…0dfe | Yes | +946 | $1 | $12 | 14 | 06-25 03:27 |
| (anonymous) 0x059c…0c76 | Yes | +769 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 06-13 21:11 |
| Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71 | Yes | +551 | $21 | $24 | 5 | 06-01 20:22 |
| Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | No | +501 | $498 | $498 | 4 | 06-30 10:20 |
| Large-Automaton 0xd34d…b5c3 | Yes | +363 | $7 | $7 | 1 | 06-04 06:24 |
| Flaky-Resolve 0x0b58…023b | No | +344 | $343 | $343 | 1 | 06-28 17:55 |
| Adventurous-Mankind 0xbee3…5b82 | No | +327 | $327 | $327 | 1 | 06-28 17:56 |
| Skinny-Cane 0x458d…8786 | No | +326 | $325 | $325 | 1 | 06-28 18:16 |
| Gleaming-Shirt-Jewelry 0x5f36…45f2 | No | +285 | $284 | $284 | 1 | 06-28 17:55 |
| (anonymous) 0x6436…d5e4 | No | +274 | $273 | $273 | 1 | 06-28 18:15 |
| (anonymous) 0x7aa2…5e76 | Yes | +264 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-26 07:50 |
| (anonymous) 0x6424…21f3 | No | +262 | $262 | $262 | 1 | 06-28 18:16 |
| Grateful-Reporting 0x3385…194d | No | +256 | $255 | $255 | 1 | 06-28 17:55 |
| Flamboyant-Warming 0xc7d0…1f8a | Yes | +250 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-31 02:28 |
| (anonymous) 0x1fcf…be09 | No | +246 | $246 | $246 | 1 | 06-28 17:48 |
| Bouncy-Airmail 0x3098…24be | No | +246 | $246 | $246 | 1 | 06-28 18:15 |
| Milky-Anticipation 0x4b0c…79b5 | No | +244 | $244 | $244 | 1 | 06-28 17:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x38af…b208 | No | +234 | $234 | $234 | 1 | 06-29 08:35 |
| Punctual-Loafer 0x6a70…a55a | No | +215 | $215 | $215 | 1 | 06-28 17:55 |
| Necessary-Fence 0x7f51…260a | No | +203 | $202 | $202 | 1 | 06-29 09:02 |
| Harmless-Armor 0x7b4d…8268 | No | +201 | $201 | $201 | 1 | 06-29 10:08 |
| (anonymous) 0x011d…a1af | Yes | +200 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 06-03 05:46 |
| (anonymous) 0xe2a7…30d3 | Yes | +182 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-18 20:40 |
| Humble-Signal 0x3a01…a29f | No | +163 | $163 | $163 | 1 | 06-26 05:46 |
| Honest-Basil 0x765c…dbb6 | Yes | +159 | $1 | $1 | 4 | 06-24 17:31 |
| Upset-Stack 0xe375…b335 | Yes | +154 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-12 20:38 |
| (anonymous) 0x2a71…482a | Yes | +145 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 06-19 15:26 |
| Glistening-Die 0x2db9…33f1 | No | +140 | $134 | $134 | 1 | 06-01 13:04 |
| (anonymous) 0xc31c…df2e | No | +132 | $132 | $132 | 1 | 06-25 11:54 |
| (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | +132 | $0 | $0 | 2 | 06-30 23:29 |
| Utilized-Tail 0xadee…813e | No | +129 | $129 | $129 | 1 | 06-28 18:00 |
| Gorgeous-Landmine 0x08b0…d080 | No | +127 | $127 | $127 | 1 | 06-28 18:00 |
| Junior-Plaster 0x3bf2…7e23 | No | +121 | $121 | $121 | 1 | 06-28 18:00 |
| Pointed-Starboard 0x6615…de30 | No | +120 | $120 | $120 | 1 | 06-28 18:00 |
| Bouncy-Saving 0xb41e…11fd | Yes | +116 | $1 | $1 | 9 | 06-14 05:19 |
| Corny-Emotion 0x5c9a…316c | No | +115 | $115 | $115 | 1 | 06-28 18:00 |
| Secret-Handmaiden 0xd86a…167e | No | +113 | $113 | $113 | 1 | 06-28 18:00 |
| Disloyal-Exwife 0x14eb…ebab | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-26 06:36 |
| Early-Horseradish 0x40f9…8ab3 | No | +100 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-25 13:14 |
| Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345 | Yes | +100 | $4 | $6 | 3 | 06-24 17:31 |
| Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | +100 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 05:26 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | Yes | +80 | $3 | $4 | 2 | 06-03 12:58 |
| Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31b…b140 | No | +80 | $78 | $78 | 1 | 06-03 07:38 |
| Complete-Novel 0x60fd…89a9 | Yes | +62 | $-0 | $3 | 3 | 06-05 06:05 |
| Reckless-Bracket 0x9eda…6e19 | Yes | +60 | $2 | $3 | 4 | 06-16 08:44 |
| Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 07-01 05:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-01 05:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x08ff…db60 | Yes | BUY | 14 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x787182… |
| 07-01 05:26:20 | Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f9…e61d | Yes | SELL | 224 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x787182… |
| 07-01 05:26:20 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | SELL | 37 | 100¢ | $36 | 0x787182… |
| 07-01 05:26:20 | Writhing-Retention 0xeab7…b389 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x787182… |
| 07-01 05:26:20 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | SELL | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x787182… |
| 07-01 05:26:20 | Cool-Storyboard 0x3329…43a6 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x787182… |
| 06-30 23:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fb476… |
| 06-30 23:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | BUY | 56 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fb476… |
| 06-30 23:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x92e3…e820 | No | SELL | 14 | 100¢ | $14 | 0x6fb476… |
| 06-30 23:29:20 | Failing-Wedding 0xb8a4…a13b | Yes | BUY | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6fb476… |
| 06-30 23:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x950d…dac5 | Yes | BUY | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1eef27… |
| 06-30 23:25:25 | (anonymous) 0x54c6…e5c2 | Yes | SELL | 76 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1eef27… |
| 06-30 10:20:10 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 200 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4b4f91… |
| 06-30 10:20:10 | Standard-Jackal 0x5f3e…5337 | No | BUY | 200 | 100¢ | $200 | 0x4b4f91… |
| 06-29 18:30:59 | Thin-Paste 0x4933…8ece | No | BUY | 24 | 100¢ | $24 | 0x10b5ec… |
| 06-29 18:30:59 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x10b5ec… |
| 06-29 10:08:46 | Harmless-Armor 0x7b4d…8268 | No | BUY | 201 | 100¢ | $201 | 0x30675e… |
| 06-29 10:08:46 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 201 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x30675e… |
| 06-29 09:05:26 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd8942c… |
| 06-29 09:05:26 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0xd8942c… |
| 06-29 09:02:05 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 203 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7c11eb… |
| 06-29 09:02:05 | Necessary-Fence 0x7f51…260a | No | BUY | 203 | 100¢ | $202 | 0x7c11eb… |
| 06-29 08:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x38af…b208 | No | BUY | 234 | 100¢ | $234 | 0x127300… |
| 06-29 08:35:35 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 234 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x127300… |
| 06-29 02:29:32 | (anonymous) 0xe9e5…7ba8 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x9f6798… |
| 06-29 02:29:32 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f6798… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0xa9df…e22b | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x489e6a… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5656e0… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdce262… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x489e6a… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | Profuse-Pillbox 0x915e…ffcc | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xdce262… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x3586…e2b3 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x5656e0… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | Slow-Cuisine 0xd233…5a63 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x990a74… |
| 06-29 02:29:31 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x990a74… |
| 06-29 02:29:29 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb19de3… |
| 06-29 02:29:29 | Calm-Homework 0x9e21…7527 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xb19de3… |
| 06-29 02:29:26 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x861428… |
| 06-29 02:29:26 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xad15b0… |
| 06-29 02:29:26 | Tan-Authenticity 0x1fb3…3822 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x861428… |
| 06-29 02:29:26 | Concerned-Lemonade 0xd128…d043 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xad15b0… |
| 06-29 02:29:25 | Frilly-Listening 0xd4d0…ec39 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x4a8b90… |
| 06-29 02:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x68630a… |
| 06-29 02:29:25 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x4a8b90… |
| 06-29 02:29:25 | Inconsequential-Invention 0x74e3…8b3c | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x68630a… |
| 06-29 02:29:23 | (anonymous) 0xe417…638f | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x624583… |
| 06-29 02:29:23 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x624583… |
| 06-29 02:29:22 | Dependent-Passbook 0x2fbc…73af | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xa771c5… |
| 06-29 02:29:22 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa771c5… |
| 06-29 02:29:20 | Defenseless-Midwife 0xccd9…1e28 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0xdf24f7… |
| 06-29 02:29:20 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdf24f7… |
| 06-29 02:29:17 | Ragged-Nonbeliever 0xb98e…6d70 | No | BUY | 29 | 100¢ | $29 | 0x1ef7f3… |
| 06-29 02:29:17 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 29 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x1ef7f3… |
| 06-29 01:25:01 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x91498e… |
| 06-29 01:25:01 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 0 | 100¢ | $0 | 0x91498e… |
| 06-29 00:40:16 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x34f280… |
| 06-29 00:40:16 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | SELL | 1 | 100¢ | $1 | 0x34f280… |
| 06-29 00:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x15d557… |
| 06-29 00:28:11 | (anonymous) 0x8db8…c3f0 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x15d557… |
| 06-28 22:53:29 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8a897c… |
| 06-28 22:53:29 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x8a897c… |
| 06-28 22:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x690298… |
| 06-28 22:34:44 | (anonymous) 0x3317…76b4 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x690298… |
| 06-28 22:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x7449…c05e | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x6120f0… |
| 06-28 22:00:47 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6120f0… |
| 06-28 21:06:02 | Taut-Sleet 0x45e1…5934 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa3be9a… |
| 06-28 21:06:02 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | SELL | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0xa3be9a… |
| 06-28 19:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 2 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x23379e… |
| 06-28 19:17:28 | (anonymous) 0x72e0…0b96 | No | BUY | 2 | 100¢ | $2 | 0x23379e… |
| 06-28 19:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc45dcb… |
| 06-28 19:01:08 | (anonymous) 0x7d64…f001 | Yes | SELL | 20 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xc45dcb… |
| 06-28 18:16:11 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 262 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x65771d… |
| 06-28 18:16:11 | (anonymous) 0x6424…21f3 | No | BUY | 262 | 100¢ | $262 | 0x65771d… |
| 06-28 18:16:01 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 326 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xb9eeb8… |
| 06-28 18:16:01 | Skinny-Cane 0x458d…8786 | No | BUY | 326 | 100¢ | $325 | 0xb9eeb8… |
| 06-28 18:15:38 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 274 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x0da9f2… |
| 06-28 18:15:38 | (anonymous) 0x6436…d5e4 | No | BUY | 274 | 100¢ | $273 | 0x0da9f2… |
| 06-28 18:15:28 | Bouncy-Airmail 0x3098…24be | No | BUY | 246 | 100¢ | $246 | 0x7b590d… |
| 06-28 18:15:28 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 246 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x7b590d… |
| 06-28 18:00:35 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 129 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5d21a2… |
| 06-28 18:00:35 | Utilized-Tail 0xadee…813e | No | BUY | 129 | 100¢ | $129 | 0x5d21a2… |
| 06-28 18:00:34 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 113 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x5e140f… |
| 06-28 18:00:34 | Secret-Handmaiden 0xd86a…167e | No | BUY | 113 | 100¢ | $113 | 0x5e140f… |
| 06-28 18:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 120 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x96a80c… |
| 06-28 18:00:31 | Pointed-Starboard 0x6615…de30 | No | BUY | 120 | 100¢ | $120 | 0x96a80c… |
| 06-28 18:00:31 | Corny-Emotion 0x5c9a…316c | No | BUY | 115 | 100¢ | $115 | 0x103823… |
| 06-28 18:00:31 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 115 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x103823… |
| 06-28 18:00:28 | Junior-Plaster 0x3bf2…7e23 | No | BUY | 121 | 100¢ | $121 | 0x362ee5… |
| 06-28 18:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 127 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xb60236… |
| 06-28 18:00:28 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 121 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x362ee5… |
| 06-28 18:00:28 | Gorgeous-Landmine 0x08b0…d080 | No | BUY | 127 | 100¢ | $127 | 0xb60236… |
| 06-28 17:56:05 | Adventurous-Mankind 0xbee3…5b82 | No | BUY | 327 | 100¢ | $327 | 0x968dc2… |
| 06-28 17:56:05 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 327 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x968dc2… |
| 06-28 17:55:50 | Punctual-Loafer 0x6a70…a55a | No | BUY | 215 | 100¢ | $215 | 0x01f4f0… |
| 06-28 17:55:50 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 215 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x01f4f0… |
| 06-28 17:55:37 | Gleaming-Shirt-Jewelry 0x5f36…45f2 | No | BUY | 285 | 100¢ | $284 | 0x701874… |
| 06-28 17:55:37 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 285 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x701874… |
| 06-28 17:55:22 | Grateful-Reporting 0x3385…194d | No | BUY | 256 | 100¢ | $255 | 0x500631… |
| 06-28 17:55:22 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 256 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x500631… |
| 06-28 17:55:01 | Flaky-Resolve 0x0b58…023b | No | BUY | 344 | 100¢ | $343 | 0xf79330… |
| 06-28 17:55:01 | (anonymous) 0x5738…cbb7 | Yes | BUY | 344 | 0¢ | $1 | 0xf79330… |