Realized P&L
+$92
Unrealized P&L
+$100
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
6
Trades
8,758
lifetime
Volume
$23.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$89
16 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-10 00:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
83% 100% +$89
Other
15% 100% +$4
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by June 30? Yes +1,743 $2 $25 +$24 06-09 17:27
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30? Yes -295 $-35 $-12 +$23 06-05 19:46
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes +522 $2 $10 +$8 06-08 14:30
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +210 $-9 $8 +$16 06-09 19:28
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -62 $-12 11¢ $-7 +$5 06-10 00:48
Iran leadership change by June 30? Yes +135 $3 $6 +$3 06-01 15:53
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? Yes +210 $4 $5 +$1 06-07 15:04
Will Saudi Arabia recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +406 $-1 $5 +$6 06-07 22:11
Naim Qassem out as Hezbollah’s secretary-general by June 30, 2026? Yes +79 $-3 $4 +$7 06-10 06:42
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +36 $2 11¢ $4 +$1 06-08 12:14
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? Yes +10 $1 24¢ $2 +$1 06-04 00:07
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by June 30? Yes +6 $1 $1 $-0 06-06 01:28
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? Yes +20 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 10:27
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +15 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 15:46
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes +5 $0 $0 +$0 06-01 09:45
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026? Yes -2 $-4 $-0 +$4 06-08 12:39