Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1.69K

Unrealized P&L

+$227

Hit rate

93.6%

Resolved

Trades

160

lifetime

Volume

$54.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$342

Open exposure

$5.77K

6 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 06-20 12:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Other

63% 89% +$815

Politics

35% 86% -$2,519

Sports

2% 100% +$7

Tech

0% 100% +$10

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-20).

Open positions (6) Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	+1,994	$1,814	96¢	$1.9K	+$109	06-12 08:49
Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	+1,499	$1,358	95¢	$1.4K	+$62	05-04 18:25
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	+1,725	$1,431	81¢	$1.4K	-$34	05-06 11:58
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	+1,000	$880	96¢	$961	+$81	05-06 03:51
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	+59	$49	94¢	$55	+$6	06-13 15:47
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	+27	$12	56¢	$15	+$3	05-04 12:40

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	17	$7.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$168	05-04 16:16
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	6	$7.8K	8,000	0	+8,000	No	+$198	05-05 13:51
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	2	$4.7K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$300	06-11 21:29
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	2	$4.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	05-18 03:52
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	3	$3.8K	4,000	0	+4,000	No	+$176	05-04 16:42
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	+$21	06-11 20:18
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	9	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$63	05-05 09:41
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$2.8K	3,000	0	+3,000	Yes	-$2,808	05-05 04:38
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	1	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$28	05-04 04:09
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	2	$2.5K	2,500	0	+2,500	No	+$40	05-06 12:33
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	10	$2.1K	2,150	0	+2,150	No	+$28	06-20 12:37
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	1	$1.8K	1,994	0	+1,994	open	—	06-12 08:49
US strike on Colombia by December 31?	8	$1.4K	1,725	0	+1,725	open	—	05-06 11:58
Iran Nuke before 2027?	26	$1.4K	1,499	0	+1,499	open	—	05-04 18:25
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$1.3K	1,314	0	+1,314	Yes	+$7	05-05 09:21
Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?	3	$986	1,000	0	+1,000	No	+$14	05-24 11:34
China x Japan military clash before 2027?	11	$880	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-06 03:51
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	4	$707	760	0	+760	Yes	+$53	05-04 10:09
Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	14	$571	634	0	+634	open	—	05-05 18:46
Netanyahu out by May 31?	6	$523	535	0	+535	No	+$12	05-04 07:46
Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	1	$310	318	0	+318	No	+$8	05-04 12:57
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	22	$240	264	0	+264	open	—	05-04 11:41
U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	1	$49	59	0	+59	open	—	06-13 15:47
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$20	29	0	+29	Yes	+$9	05-04 06:39
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July?	1	$19	20	0	+20	No	+$1	05-04 06:35
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	2	$12	27	0	+27	open	—	05-04 12:40
Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	2	$10	10	0	+10	No	+$0	05-05 11:28
Fed abolished before 2027?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-04 18:23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	05-04 06:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 12:37:11	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	190	99¢	$187	0x73a760…
06-19 15:26:16	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	72	99¢	$71	0xf7fd0c…
06-15 16:53:21	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	410	99¢	$404	0x956cdf…
06-15 06:08:42	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	218	99¢	$215	0xfba250…
06-15 05:09:19	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x2428fa…
06-14 12:55:46	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	228	99¢	$225	0x841c4f…
06-13 21:11:04	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	769	99¢	$759	0x2ffbea…
06-13 19:07:57	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x6fe2f7…
06-13 18:17:25	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf3abd7…
06-13 15:47:36	U.S. forces in Gaza before 2027?	No	BUY	59	83¢	$49	0x8eb875…
06-12 20:38:00	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	141	99¢	$139	0x4b02e7…
06-12 08:49:39	Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027?	No	BUY	1,994	91¢	$1,814	0x3953d2…
06-11 21:29:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	1,685	94¢	$1,584	0x49b5ce…
06-11 21:29:01	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	No	BUY	3,315	94¢	$3,116	0x25596c…
06-11 20:18:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,000	99¢	$2,979	0x922f08…
05-24 11:34:42	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	380	99¢	$375	0xa347b8…
05-18 03:52:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	2,500	92¢	$2,300	0x2c1f00…
05-07 13:15:28	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x924c72…
05-06 12:33:06	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	98¢	$983	0x18e6db…
05-06 11:58:14	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	500	83¢	$415	0x2caba0…
05-06 11:49:34	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	10	83¢	$8	0x345bc0…
05-06 09:52:56	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0x1c368f…
05-06 08:10:44	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf31da9…
05-06 06:36:42	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x72af88…
05-06 03:51:58	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	231	88¢	$203	0x692978…
05-06 03:11:04	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x8bce76…
05-06 01:47:02	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	6	88¢	$6	0x9b5ccc…
05-05 23:43:20	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	50	83¢	$42	0xad462c…
05-05 18:46:44	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	BUY	94	90¢	$85	0xf6e4d6…
05-05 17:55:44	Will Malaysia recognize Israel by June 30?	No	BUY	619	99¢	$610	0xcf8e47…
05-05 14:15:36	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x404307…
05-05 14:12:20	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	182	88¢	$160	0xe45c78…
05-05 13:51:56	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	5,187	98¢	$5,062	0xfd4d92…
05-05 13:10:38	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xc7cccc…
05-05 12:54:26	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	83	98¢	$81	0xe3c423…
05-05 11:28:20	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xf9c5c3…
05-05 11:16:44	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x27687e…
05-05 11:14:48	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	730	98¢	$712	0xf00d69…
05-05 09:49:22	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0x0973cd…
05-05 09:41:10	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	422	98¢	$413	0xfb9073…
05-05 09:21:06	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	1,314	99¢	$1,308	0x693650…
05-05 07:57:42	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	48	98¢	$47	0xe6979a…
05-05 07:51:32	US strike on Colombia by December 31?	No	BUY	114	83¢	$95	0x266877…
05-05 07:35:20	Ukraine election held by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x677a59…
05-05 07:18:12	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	1,488	98¢	$1,457	0x47ec1a…
05-05 07:03:42	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	227	98¢	$222	0x446ec0…
05-05 06:31:52	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	BUY	408	90¢	$368	0x4a2c33…
05-05 05:31:40	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	133	98¢	$130	0x326db7…
05-05 05:10:54	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	0	88¢	$0	0xea5ff3…
05-05 04:57:24	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	124	98¢	$121	0x4d35bb…
05-05 04:50:44	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	429	98¢	$420	0x05bb49…
05-05 04:45:44	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	124	98¢	$121	0xb45b45…
05-05 04:38:34	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	3,000	94¢	$2,808	0x06efe2…
05-05 04:29:06	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	6	98¢	$6	0x3d95d8…
05-05 03:08:38	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x4a9284…
05-05 01:45:10	China x Japan military clash before 2027?	No	BUY	551	88¢	$485	0x4cb495…
05-04 18:29:22	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	1,996	97¢	$1,942	0xf5cef5…
05-04 18:25:22	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	157	91¢	$142	0x25bb96…
05-04 18:23:04	Fed abolished before 2027?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x19210b…
05-04 17:44:40	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	24	91¢	$22	0x04d71c…
05-04 16:47:08	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xcef7b4…
05-04 16:42:06	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	2,270	96¢	$2,170	0xfab094…
05-04 16:41:52	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	1,136	96¢	$1,086	0x784a62…
05-04 16:40:28	Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	No	BUY	593	96¢	$567	0x9d2e81…
05-04 16:24:52	Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,500	98¢	$1,478	0x412a0e…
05-04 16:16:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	3,000	98¢	$2,937	0x515e6f…
05-04 16:11:46	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x7746c0…
05-04 15:40:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0xc18bcb…
05-04 15:36:34	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	17	91¢	$15	0xc10349…
05-04 15:35:28	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	55	91¢	$50	0x8f3fe2…
05-04 13:10:34	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	200	91¢	$181	0x2efd54…
05-04 12:57:48	Will Russia invade a NATO country by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	318	98¢	$310	0x299d2c…
05-04 12:40:16	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	18	45¢	$8	0x0299ef…
05-04 12:12:22	Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	BUY	9	45¢	$4	0x0a4472…
05-04 12:00:20	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x51323c…
05-04 11:41:46	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x91b116…
05-04 11:39:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x5fc3de…
05-04 11:38:14	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xa7b049…
05-04 11:37:50	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x5de7e9…
05-04 11:31:44	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x1d3047…
05-04 11:29:22	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0xb3e7d9…
05-04 11:24:04	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xf739bb…
05-04 11:23:04	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x5b2c0f…
05-04 11:04:02	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x9bbd70…
05-04 10:51:04	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x4c435e…
05-04 10:47:50	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x1aedc7…
05-04 10:47:22	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xfbe6c0…
05-04 10:44:36	Iran Nuke before 2027?	No	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0xe2bb97…
05-04 10:42:32	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x7b2c8c…
05-04 10:24:44	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x3cd492…
05-04 10:18:30	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xbaa391…
05-04 10:15:32	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x7d6dc1…
05-04 10:09:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 16, 2026?	Yes	BUY	596	93¢	$554	0x72cde0…
05-04 10:05:50	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	46	98¢	$45	0xf6e2eb…
05-04 10:05:48	Zohran Mamdani citizenship revoked before 2027?	No	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0x1aa1a5…
05-04 10:05:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x836a09…
05-04 10:05:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x12f86f…
05-04 10:05:16	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	9	98¢	$9	0x067a39…
05-04 10:03:28	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	No	BUY	952	98¢	$932	0x1ec2d2…
05-04 10:01:10	Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.0% or lower before 2027?	No	BUY	12	91¢	$11	0x8c044b…