Glistening-Die — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

+$63

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.91K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$78

Open exposure

$2.56K

9 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 06-12 08:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

66% — —

Other

27% — —

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

1% 67% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	+1,000	$946	98¢	$976	+$30	05-31 05:25
New pandemic in 2026?	No	+500	$450	90¢	$448	$-2	06-01 12:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	+500	$400	84¢	$420	+$20	06-01 12:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	+430	$301	74¢	$316	+$15	06-01 17:43
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	+170	$153	88¢	$149	$-4	06-11 22:02
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	+140	$134	99¢	$138	+$4	06-01 13:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	-104	$-102	99¢	$-103	$-0	06-11 18:56
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	+8	$7	91¢	$7	$-0	06-12 08:48
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	+5	$5	99¢	$5	+$0	06-06 10:41

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$946	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-31 05:25
New pandemic in 2026?	1	$450	500	0	+500	open	—	06-01 12:49
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	1	$400	500	0	+500	open	—	06-01 12:51
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	2	$301	430	0	+430	open	—	06-01 17:43
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$232	132	132	+0	open	—	03-16 06:24
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$220	228	0	+228	open	—	05-13 17:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$200	228	0	+228	open	—	04-23 20:48
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	1	$153	170	0	+170	open	—	06-11 22:02
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$134	140	0	+140	open	—	06-01 13:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$102	0	104	-104	open	—	06-11 18:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	03-13 09:43
ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-13 09:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-19 18:22
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	1	$71	90	0	+90	open	—	04-05 14:32
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	1	$50	72	0	+72	open	—	04-02 05:08
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$50	70	0	+70	open	—	03-16 06:25
Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	1	$50	53	0	+53	open	—	05-20 12:37
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$47	50	0	+50	open	—	05-10 16:24
Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	2	$36	51	51	+0	open	—	04-20 20:44
will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	1	$31	36	0	+36	open	—	03-16 06:44
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	3	$26	36	36	+0	open	—	05-30 17:02
Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	2	$24	23	23	+0	open	—	05-30 17:02
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	3	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	05-19 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	2	$10	18	0	+18	Down	+$8	05-12 16:21
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-11 13:16
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 08:52
Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	06-12 08:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	1	$5	11	0	+11	Down	$-5	05-13 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-13 06:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	1	$5	8	0	+8	Up	+$3	05-13 09:50

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 08:48:33	Will Hamas agree to disarm by June 30?	No	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x713398…
06-11 22:02:57	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	No	BUY	170	90¢	$153	0x7f4e39…
06-11 18:56:07	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	No	SELL	104	99¢	$102	0x3632df…
06-06 10:41:39	Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x396374…
06-01 17:43:47	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	86	70¢	$60	0x5a5260…
06-01 17:21:12	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	BUY	344	70¢	$241	0xbbf5be…
06-01 13:04:23	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	No	BUY	140	96¢	$134	0x88ca50…
06-01 12:51:00	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	80¢	$400	0xbeb13f…
06-01 12:49:36	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	500	90¢	$450	0xf42cfc…
05-31 05:25:16	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	981	95¢	$928	0xf2808f…
05-30 18:04:15	NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	19	95¢	$18	0xa28b18…
05-30 17:02:20	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	23	59¢	$14	0x123f88…
05-30 17:02:04	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	SELL	36	41¢	$15	0x091841…
05-30 16:20:46	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb17d85…
05-30 16:20:23	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd3bc19…
05-25 17:16:09	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x0c8699…
05-24 14:41:08	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xf38782…
05-24 09:53:24	Liverpool FC vs. Brentford FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x88fc13…
05-20 12:37:59	Will Hyperliquid dip to $38 in May?	No	BUY	53	94¢	$50	0x5d12a3…
05-19 12:55:49	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xd0ba45…
05-19 12:55:09	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	5	72¢	$4	0xbf7a7b…
05-19 12:36:29	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	No	BUY	12	72¢	$9	0x7a6406…
05-18 08:52:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0x3511fc…
05-13 17:51:51	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	171	96¢	$165	0x7d7420…
05-13 17:49:08	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	57	97¢	$55	0x1bca9c…
05-13 10:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6c9789…
05-13 10:25:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xf6d97c…
05-13 09:50:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x86be42…
05-13 09:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0x7ffa42…
05-13 09:11:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x53cb78…
05-13 06:16:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x155277…
05-12 16:21:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x1c5b60…
05-12 16:20:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7e40b4…
05-12 15:40:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xd5306d…
05-12 14:48:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1f0195…
05-11 13:16:04	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	10	93¢	$9	0xcc92fc…
05-10 16:24:44	Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x947b76…
04-23 20:48:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	228	88¢	$200	0x9e4cc1…
04-20 20:44:14	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	SELL	51	1¢	$1	0xd5c83b…
04-05 14:32:09	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	90	79¢	$71	0x2ebab0…
04-02 05:08:45	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	Yes	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0x2f48ab…
03-22 00:14:43	Tim Cook out as Apple CEO before 2027?	No	BUY	51	69¢	$35	0xf707ea…
03-19 18:22:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x253bf0…
03-16 06:44:29	will the bank of russia decrease the key rate after the march meeting	Yes	BUY	36	88¢	$31	0x804c31…
03-16 06:25:21	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	70	71¢	$50	0x55ff4a…
03-16 06:24:27	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x0dd0ba…
03-13 09:58:41	ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x2f3f2d…
03-13 09:43:19	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6b4da3…
03-13 09:41:37	btc updown 5m 1773394800	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xd97346…
03-13 09:40:23	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	132	76¢	$100	0x3aa81e…