Glistening-Die — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

81.6%

Resolved

Trades

198

lifetime

Volume

$37.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$188

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-13

last 08-13 18:11

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

78% — —

Other

21% — —

Tech

1% — —

Crypto

0% 67% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 33 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	5	$13.0K	14,744	0	+14,744	open	—	07-05 23:06
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?	2	$8.2K	5	8,236	-8,231	open	—	06-27 10:15
New pandemic in 2026?	9	$3.4K	1,516	2,062	-546	open	—	08-11 22:13
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	14	$1.8K	992	992	+0	open	—	07-03 07:01
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	4	$1.1K	1,508	0	+1,508	open	—	07-28 07:38
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	1	$1.0K	0	1,073	-1,073	open	—	07-04 21:33
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?	2	$946	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	05-31 05:25
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	5	$908	560	560	+0	open	—	08-08 13:13
putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	5	$581	711	0	+711	open	—	07-28 13:08
Will GameStop acquire eBay?	3	$575	653	0	+653	open	—	08-09 10:15
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	2	$505	600	0	+600	open	—	08-10 16:10
nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	4	$496	519	0	+519	open	—	08-10 07:17
putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	1	$492	500	0	+500	open	—	07-27 18:25
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	1	$484	0	500	-500	open	—	07-02 13:49
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	5	$463	515	120	+395	open	—	08-13 18:11
US x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	12	$337	0	359	-359	open	—	07-02 17:43
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	53	$287	0	300	-300	open	—	07-13 00:49
will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	8	$232	268	0	+268	open	—	08-04 19:13
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$232	132	132	+0	open	—	03-16 06:24
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	2	$220	228	0	+228	open	—	05-13 17:51
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	1	$200	228	0	+228	open	—	04-23 20:48
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	1	$150	0	161	-161	open	—	08-02 16:55
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$134	140	0	+140	open	—	06-01 13:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?	1	$102	0	104	-104	open	—	06-11 18:56
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$100	125	0	+125	open	—	03-13 09:43
ukraine agrees not to join nato by march 31	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-13 09:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$100	104	0	+104	open	—	03-19 18:22
will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	08-09 13:01
andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	1	$98	100	0	+100	open	—	07-27 09:33
will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	1	$95	100	0	+100	open	—	08-04 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-13 18:11:31	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?	No	SELL	120	83¢	$100	0x9b015c…
08-11 22:13:24	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	16	94¢	$15	0x152b9e…
08-11 12:52:58	New pandemic in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	94¢	$940	0x786a3f…
08-10 22:20:33	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	950	95¢	$903	0x88cea8…
08-10 16:10:25	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	500	84¢	$420	0xd038aa…
08-10 07:17:33	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x567572…
08-09 18:14:06	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xc039e0…
08-09 17:39:24	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	48	95¢	$46	0x9eabdb…
08-09 13:01:42	will iran target ukraine by august 31 2026 20260727234956917	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x488b4b…
08-09 11:27:52	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x3dbb23…
08-09 10:20:18	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	100	94¢	$94	0xd11c4d…
08-09 10:15:31	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xbaefbc…
08-09 04:40:52	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x9e14d3…
08-08 15:05:51	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	163	95¢	$155	0xef7185…
08-08 13:13:01	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	SELL	560	83¢	$465	0x818d51…
08-07 07:10:37	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	140	87¢	$122	0xbf1eff…
08-06 14:46:09	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	SELL	10	65¢	$6	0x245ca9…
08-06 14:35:45	another gta vi trailer released by august 31 20260629164610050	No	BUY	10	72¢	$7	0xa84177…
08-06 14:25:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	100	85¢	$85	0x4b6262…
08-06 05:43:14	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x127837…
08-05 13:58:23	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	220	85¢	$187	0x4ccbf3…
08-05 06:07:20	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0x90a89e…
08-05 04:49:45	russia coup attempt in 2026	No	BUY	12	92¢	$12	0x36c6c1…
08-04 19:13:15	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x50e397…
08-04 19:13:03	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	23	84¢	$20	0xf76b5c…
08-04 18:22:53	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0x63be6d…
08-04 18:19:00	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	20	84¢	$17	0xe32159…
08-04 16:54:59	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0xd0464f…
08-04 15:05:41	natoeu troops fighting in ukraine by december 31 2026	No	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0x503953…
08-04 15:02:48	Trump x Greenland deal signed by December 31?	No	BUY	39	66¢	$26	0x12ad19…
08-04 15:01:50	will iran target ukraine by september 30 2026 20260727234956918	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0x90d21a…
08-04 14:15:51	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x340f4d…
08-03 18:45:30	New pandemic in 2026?	No	SELL	890	95¢	$845	0x2ea0b8…
08-02 22:43:54	will spider man brand new day beat avengers endgames opening weekend record 20260731162713556	Yes	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0x11532d…
08-02 21:23:45	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0x6c86cd…
08-02 19:46:39	nato x russia military clash by august 31 2026	No	BUY	159	94¢	$149	0xca5db9…
08-02 16:55:15	Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	No	SELL	161	93¢	$150	0x898da9…
07-29 23:09:24	Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	62¢	$62	0x4d1e5f…
07-29 17:39:42	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	14	87¢	$12	0x8b98fd…
07-28 13:08:29	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	200	84¢	$168	0x6fe0b1…
07-28 07:41:52	will ethereum reach 2000 in july 2026	No	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x9ee50f…
07-28 07:38:25	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	72¢	$360	0x47c74d…
07-27 19:34:48	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	8	88¢	$7	0xf6d7f6…
07-27 18:25:27	putin out as president of russia by august 31 2026	No	BUY	500	98¢	$492	0x9b61de…
07-27 16:24:49	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	139	88¢	$122	0x667f8a…
07-27 11:31:15	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	500	70¢	$350	0xc6e813…
07-27 09:33:01	andrew tate released from custody by july 31 2026 20260719025109263	No	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x674660…
07-27 07:58:43	Will GameStop acquire eBay?	No	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0xaa9913…
07-27 07:57:58	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	No	BUY	21	88¢	$18	0xc8295e…
07-27 07:57:04	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	63¢	$63	0xfb5418…
07-27 07:53:37	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	No	BUY	20	89¢	$18	0x52231c…
07-24 12:41:06	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	8	79¢	$7	0x81b87b…
07-15 21:49:53	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	125	83¢	$104	0x6a4819…
07-13 03:54:22	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	188	80¢	$150	0x68d541…
07-13 03:54:22	putin out as president of russia by june 30 2027	No	BUY	175	80¢	$140	0x51fa88…
07-13 00:49:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	23	96¢	$22	0x6d6a89…
07-13 00:48:16	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4c6da4…
07-13 00:45:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf6f8ed…
07-13 00:39:11	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x57395d…
07-13 00:34:59	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x47cdfc…
07-13 00:34:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xdcd950…
07-13 00:34:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7cf1f6…
07-13 00:29:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x800481…
07-13 00:21:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7c1335…
07-13 00:20:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8122fd…
07-13 00:19:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x303e8f…
07-13 00:17:26	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x756618…
07-13 00:14:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6fa926…
07-13 00:13:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x5e390d…
07-13 00:13:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x49f079…
07-13 00:12:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$6	0x0f746f…
07-13 00:12:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x47f8a4…
07-13 00:08:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4c46ce…
07-13 00:00:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd8fe97…
07-13 00:00:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x043a02…
07-12 23:59:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4c0c0c…
07-12 23:56:56	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x56f90a…
07-12 23:52:17	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbc17d0…
07-12 23:49:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1ed4a1…
07-12 23:47:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x4c1751…
07-12 23:33:02	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xa2ffab…
07-12 23:31:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc16414…
07-12 23:15:49	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x18541c…
07-12 23:12:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x359602…
07-12 23:12:11	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x856cc4…
07-12 23:06:41	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xc532fd…
07-12 23:06:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xac8a94…
07-12 23:04:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0721ae…
07-12 23:04:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x93f463…
07-12 22:56:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xedb4e1…
07-12 22:52:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x1ce53c…
07-12 22:51:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x55ca75…
07-12 22:47:28	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x2c2099…
07-12 22:41:50	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3ce35a…
07-12 22:41:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0xd253ca…
07-12 22:35:08	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x66052c…
07-12 22:34:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xd71bc3…
07-12 22:32:20	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8ef58f…
07-12 22:28:07	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xaea17c…
07-12 22:27:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	7	96¢	$7	0x139c91…