Failing-Wedding 0xb8a47d…cea13b
bot 3L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$320
Unrealized P&L
-$1
Hit rate
68.4%
Resolved
681
Trades
12,056
lifetime
Volume
$53.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$34
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 07-28 01:24
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 91 days
Categories
Politics
63% 53% +$253
Other
36% 39% +$61
Tech
1% 68% +$4
Sports
0% 100% +$1
Pop-Culture
0% 60% +$1
Crypto
0% 0% $0
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-28).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record? Yes +5 $2 88¢ $5 +$3 07-02 10:44
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 74¢ $4 $0 07-07 02:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $3 16¢ $2 -$1 07-09 14:11
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? Yes +6 $2 40¢ $2 +$0 07-07 01:21
Will James Talarico win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +92 $1 3¢ $2 +$1 07-09 08:40
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +61 $1 4¢ $2 +$1 07-11 01:43
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +73 $2 3¢ $2 +$0 07-08 02:09
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +41 $2 5¢ $2 +$0 07-09 09:19
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +155 $1 1¢ $2 +$0 07-08 14:13
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +107 $1 1¢ $2 +$1 07-10 16:28
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +36 $1 4¢ $1 +$0 07-09 23:56
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +8 $4 14¢ $1 -$3 07-08 06:55
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026? Yes +5 $1 20¢ $1 +$0 07-08 19:25
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +39 $1 2¢ $1 +$0 07-08 03:11
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +307 $3 0¢ $1 -$2 06-25 19:29
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +22 -$1 3¢ $1 +$1 07-14 18:17
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +26 $0 2¢ $1 +$0 07-14 07:39
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +35 $1 1¢ $0 $0 07-08 07:40
Will François Hollande win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +14 $1 3¢ $0 $0 07-10 11:34
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +20 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 07-07 15:59
SAVE Act becomes law by December 31, 2026? Yes +6 $1 5¢ $0 -$1 06-30 19:38
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +15 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 07-11 15:36
Will Cory Booker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +32 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-13 18:25
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +12 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 05-16 20:38
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +34 $0 1¢ $0 $0 07-10 01:56
Ukraine agrees to limit size of armed forces before 2027? Yes +5 $1 3¢ $0 -$1 06-22 12:53
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +5 $1 2¢ $0 -$1 07-09 09:47
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +19 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-02 04:41
Will there be no head of state of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-06 06:00
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +8 $0 0¢ $0 $0 05-18 17:12