Failing-Wedding 0xb8a47d…cea13b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
-$17
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
7,512
lifetime
Volume
$38.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$569
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 07-20 16:22
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
60% 50% +$0
Other
38% 25% +$0
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
69 active days in 12wk • peak 430 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -174 $-163 96¢ $-166 $-3 07-11 00:19
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -132 $-106 74¢ $-97 +$9 07-20 16:22
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -51 $-45 94¢ $-48 $-3 07-11 00:20
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No -46 $-44 90¢ $-41 +$2 07-11 00:19
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -32 $-31 96¢ $-31 $-0 07-11 00:20
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -21 $-6 99¢ $-21 $-15 07-11 00:19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No -22 $-21 96¢ $-21 +$0 07-11 00:20
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -29 $-15 68¢ $-20 $-4 07-11 00:19
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? No -13 $-12 92¢ $-12 $-0 07-11 00:20
Iran Nuke before 2027? No -13 $-12 94¢ $-12 $-0 07-11 00:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No -14 $-11 90¢ $-12 $-1 07-11 00:22
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No -13 $-11 86¢ $-11 +$0 07-11 00:20
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by December 31, 2026? No -9 $-8 86¢ $-8 $-1 07-11 00:21
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No -8 $-7 94¢ $-7 +$0 07-11 00:21
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +10 $4 66¢ $7 +$2 07-11 00:23
Iran leadership change by December 31? No -8 $-8 76¢ $-6 +$2 07-11 00:20
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -6 $-6 96¢ $-6 +$0 07-11 00:24
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31? No -6 $-5 96¢ $-6 $-0 07-11 00:20
Trump out as President before 2027? No -6 $-6 92¢ $-5 +$0 07-11 00:20
Will the 2026 Midterm Elections happen as scheduled? Yes -5 $-5 97¢ $-5 $-0 07-11 00:23
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? No -5 $-5 96¢ $-5 $-0 07-11 00:22
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No -5 $-3 86¢ $-4 $-1 07-11 00:25
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31? No +5 $4 80¢ $4 $-0 07-07 02:43
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? Yes +16 $3 16¢ $3 $-1 07-09 14:11
Kash Patel out by December 31? Yes -7 $-4 37¢ $-3 +$1 06-01 20:01
Fed rate hike in 2026? No +5 $6 42¢ $2 $-4 06-19 10:49
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -23 $-4 8¢ $-2 +$2 06-27 21:42
Will FISA Section 702 reauthorization become law this year? Yes +8 $4 22¢ $2 $-3 07-08 06:55
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes -6 $-2 24¢ $-1 +$0 06-26 07:14
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? Yes +10 $3 12¢ $1 $-2 06-29 19:40