Failing-Wedding 0xb8a47d…cea13b
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$0
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
92.1%
Resolved
6
Trades
6,448
lifetime
Volume
$30.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$5
Open exposure
$1.11K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-09
last 06-30 00:37
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 4 days
Categories
Politics
62% 50% +$0
Other
36% 25% +$0
Tech
2% — —
Sports
0% — —
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Crypto
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
53 active days in 12wk • peak 430 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No -174 $-163 94¢ $-164 $-1 06-29 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +91 $77 99¢ $90 +$14 06-30 01:58
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30? No +84 $82 100¢ $84 +$1 06-29 22:49
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30? No +83 $83 100¢ $83 $-0 06-29 23:16
Trump out as President by June 30? No +63 $63 100¢ $63 $-0 06-29 07:53
Aleksandar Vučić out as Serbian President by June 30, 2026? Yes +62 $61 100¢ $62 +$1 06-29 23:29
Israel withdraws from Lebanon by June 30, 2026? No +56 $52 100¢ $56 +$4 06-28 04:52
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +60 $54 90¢ $54 +$0 06-21 21:19
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +45 $44 100¢ $45 +$0 06-26 18:21
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? No +44 $45 100¢ $44 $-1 06-27 15:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -44 $-37 86¢ $-38 $-1 06-29 18:14
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by June 30? No +28 $27 100¢ $28 +$0 06-27 21:20
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? No +28 $25 100¢ $27 +$2 06-25 12:54
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by June 30? No +24 $23 100¢ $24 +$0 06-27 12:07
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -25 $-22 92¢ $-23 $-1 06-28 21:08
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +25 $18 84¢ $21 +$2 06-30 00:37
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -22 $-20 96¢ $-21 $-1 06-23 10:44
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? Yes +18 $18 100¢ $18 +$0 06-29 14:02
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +21 $18 88¢ $18 $-0 06-29 17:58
Xi Jinping out by June 30? No +17 $17 100¢ $17 +$0 06-28 06:09
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? No +17 $17 99¢ $17 $-0 06-29 22:43
Will OpenAI IPO by June 30 2026? No +16 $16 100¢ $16 +$0 06-26 16:06
Netanyahu out by June 30? No +14 $14 100¢ $14 +$0 06-25 17:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +15 $13 88¢ $13 +$1 06-23 17:44
Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? No +13 $13 100¢ $13 +$0 06-30 02:26
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No -21 $-4 62¢ $-13 $-9 06-28 11:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +11 $11 96¢ $11 +$0 06-29 05:47
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +18 $10 60¢ $11 +$1 06-29 18:39
Israel closes its airspace by June 30? No +11 $10 100¢ $11 +$0 06-28 13:08
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? No +14 $9 72¢ $10 +$1 06-29 11:42