Realized P&L
+$2.91K
Unrealized P&L
+$37
Hit rate
51.8%
Resolved
3,501
Trades
89,665
lifetime
Volume
$224.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$683
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 08-05 02:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Politics
57% 46% +$2,404
Other
42% 43% +$682
Pop-Culture
1% 35% -$41
Tech
0% 38% -$128
Crypto
0% 33% -$11
Sports
0% 25% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
1 active day in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026? No +231 $180 96¢ $222 +$42 08-05 02:02
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +106 $100 94¢ $99 -$1 08-05 02:01
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +296 $34 16¢ $48 +$14 06-05 06:09
Will the Fed’s upper bound reach 4.25% or higher before 2027? Yes -64 -$5 74¢ $-47 -$43 05-20 02:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $20 18¢ $35 +$15 06-14 22:03
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $14 15¢ $29 +$16 06-05 16:16
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $11 13¢ $26 +$15 06-02 22:46
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.0% at the end of 2026? Yes -100 -$5 19¢ $-19 -$14 05-01 01:24
Will Jean-Luc Mélenchon win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes -150 -$17 11¢ $-16 +$1 05-26 18:01
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +236 $25 6¢ $15 -$10 06-05 15:26
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +147 $6 9¢ $14 +$8 06-05 10:23
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $9 5¢ $10 +$1 06-02 07:53
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +173 $6 5¢ $9 +$2 06-01 16:19
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +200 $18 4¢ $8 -$10 06-05 16:09
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes +140 $11 5¢ $8 -$3 06-02 17:55
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $8 4¢ $7 -$1 06-04 13:50
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -269 -$18 2¢ $-7 +$12 06-05 03:17
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +200 $15 3¢ $6 -$9 06-03 09:48
Will Josh Shapiro win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $5 3¢ $6 +$1 06-05 15:07
Will Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +290 $2 2¢ $6 +$4 05-05 17:37
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? Yes -124 -$15 4¢ $-6 +$9 05-04 16:51
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes +200 $9 3¢ $5 -$4 06-04 21:50
Will US annex any territory in 2026? Yes -86 -$10 6¢ $-5 +$5 05-11 04:46
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +200 $2 2¢ $5 +$2 05-26 01:48
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +200 $4 2¢ $4 +$0 05-29 01:02
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +200 $6 2¢ $4 -$2 06-03 16:09
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes -266 -$5 2¢ $-4 +$1 06-05 11:15
Will Ro Khanna win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? Yes +312 $5 1¢ $4 -$1 05-31 20:02
Will Andy Beshear win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +200 $4 2¢ $4 +$0 05-19 13:27
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +200 $18 2¢ $4 -$14 05-26 09:12