Realized P&L
+$327
Unrealized P&L
+$35
Hit rate
67.5%
Resolved
138
Trades
65,498
lifetime
Volume
$170.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$3
Open exposure
$141
12 positions
First seen
2026-02-14
last 06-17 22:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 18 days
Categories
Politics
56% 50% +$398
Other
43% 41% $-71
Tech
0% 0% $-0
Pop-Culture
0%
Crypto
0%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
44 active days in 12wk • peak 460 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +200 $20 28¢ $55 +$35 06-14 22:03
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? Yes -470 $-32 $-21 +$11 06-05 03:17
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? Yes +200 $9 10¢ $19 +$10 06-04 21:50
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -312 $-20 $-13 +$7 06-04 11:14
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +200 $14 $9 $-5 06-03 09:48
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027? Yes +203 $6 $5 $-1 06-03 16:09
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +131 $8 $5 $-3 06-02 15:28
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +200 $18 $5 $-13 06-02 14:13
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +200 $11 $4 $-7 06-04 01:02
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027? No -34 $-3 $-2 +$1 05-28 00:03
Will Chelsea Clinton announce a Presidential run before 2027? Yes -100 $-2 $-2 +$0 06-05 16:26
Will North Korea invade South Korea before 2027? Yes -48 $-0 $-1 $-1 06-02 17:55