Realized P&L
-$16.3K
Unrealized P&L
+$916
Hit rate
3.0%
Resolved
5,493
Trades
33,683
lifetime
Volume
$620.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$7.09K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 10-27 07:29
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 162 days
Categories
Other
73% 7% -$13,145
Politics
15% 4% -$1,470
Sports
6% 7% -$745
Tech
4% 3% -$757
Crypto
2% 4% -$187
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$34
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 317 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +728 $623 90¢ $659 +$36 06-25 00:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +658 $496 99¢ $649 +$153 07-06 20:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +655 $353 88¢ $573 +$220 09-25 06:52
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +639 $487 84¢ $533 +$47 09-21 17:02
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +477 $271 82¢ $393 +$122 10-18 00:29
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +370 $325 100¢ $370 +$45 07-26 14:59
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +645 $249 55¢ $354 +$105 07-08 10:05
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +422 $292 72¢ $306 +$15 09-05 21:56
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +645 $398 45¢ $291 -$108 07-07 23:22
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +290 $173 92¢ $265 +$93 06-30 03:08
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +210 $160 93¢ $195 +$35 07-06 16:36
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +180 $160 98¢ $177 +$17 07-04 21:40
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +170 $151 99¢ $169 +$18 07-29 13:27
Will Russia capture Orikhiv by December 31, 2026? No +181 $141 91¢ $165 +$23 09-27 21:10
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +195 $173 84¢ $163 -$10 08-01 06:38
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China? Yes +187 $108 80¢ $149 +$40 10-25 09:27
will china blockade taiwan by in 2026 No +150 $141 97¢ $146 +$5 06-26 04:55
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +145 $128 96¢ $140 +$12 06-29 06:48
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +139 $119 97¢ $135 +$17 06-07 06:08
Will "Babydoll — Dominic Fike" be the top song for 2026? No +140 $117 92¢ $129 +$13 10-15 09:14
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +125 $120 100¢ $125 +$5 06-28 21:19
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +160 $127 76¢ $122 -$5 07-03 20:17
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +135 $105 88¢ $119 +$14 09-28 18:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +422 $135 28¢ $116 -$19 09-05 21:56
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +120 $98 93¢ $112 +$14 07-03 05:46
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +109 $103 100¢ $109 +$6 06-22 00:35
will a 5 uranium enrichment cap 1 year be in a us iran deal in 2026 20260623023201637 No +125 $85 86¢ $108 +$23 06-28 14:50
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? No +143 $97 74¢ $107 +$10 09-24 00:53
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? Yes +639 $159 16¢ $105 -$54 09-21 16:44
Will Russia capture Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +110 $80 94¢ $104 +$24 09-04 02:45