Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$11
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
4,100
lifetime
Volume
$98.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$3.88K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 07-20 17:30
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
52%
Politics
17%
Sports
13%
Crypto
9%
Tech
8%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 161 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +658 $496 83¢ $546 +$50 07-06 20:47
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +545 $277 52¢ $286 +$9 06-29 17:59
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +545 $281 48¢ $259 $-22 06-29 17:59
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +290 $173 68¢ $196 +$23 06-30 03:08
Will Russia capture all of Lyman by December 31, 2026? No +210 $160 83¢ $174 +$14 07-06 16:36
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +225 $180 68¢ $153 $-26 07-11 01:16
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +180 $154 84¢ $152 $-2 07-12 03:55
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? Yes +230 $124 60¢ $139 +$15 07-05 22:26
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +130 $117 98¢ $127 +$10 06-16 01:07
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +145 $128 86¢ $124 $-4 06-29 06:48
Will Russia capture all of Stepnohirsk by September 30, 2026? No +120 $113 97¢ $117 +$4 07-03 04:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +125 $114 93¢ $116 +$2 06-28 22:01
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? Yes +120 $107 95¢ $113 +$7 06-22 11:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +658 $170 17¢ $112 $-58 07-01 12:21
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +100 $96 96¢ $96 +$1 06-30 12:36
Will Zelenskyy talk to Putin by December 31? No +120 $93 80¢ $96 +$3 07-02 05:00
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +290 $120 32¢ $94 $-26 06-30 03:08
Will Russia enter Dopropillia by December 31, 2026? No +230 $109 40¢ $91 $-18 07-20 12:01
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +90 $86 97¢ $87 +$1 06-27 22:00
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +90 $84 94¢ $85 +$1 06-08 05:55
OpenAI IPO closing market cap above $800B? Yes +100 $83 80¢ $80 $-3 07-12 10:19
Will MetaMask launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +80 $79 95¢ $76 $-2 07-06 14:10
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +80 $69 92¢ $74 +$5 06-25 06:25
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +225 $53 32¢ $72 +$19 07-11 01:16
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +76 $66 94¢ $71 +$5 06-01 05:38
Will Arc launch a token by September 30 2026? No +74 $63 96¢ $71 +$8 07-06 23:57
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal? Yes +70 $68 99¢ $69 +$1 07-20 05:47
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +70 $67 98¢ $69 +$2 06-07 06:36
Will any AI model reach 1575 Math Arena Score by December 31, 2026? No +120 $73 56¢ $68 $-5 07-04 04:36
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +70 $68 97¢ $68 $-0 07-14 06:29