Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
2,592
lifetime
Volume
$61.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$24
Open exposure
$4.84K
30 positions
First seen
2026-05-15
last 06-30 12:47
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
46%
Politics
21%
Sports
13%
Crypto
11%
Tech
8%
Pop-Culture
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 152 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +558 $421 76¢ $421 $-0 06-30 14:50
Tesla and xAI merger officially announced by June 30? No +410 $397 99¢ $407 +$9 05-31 22:37
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +545 $281 50¢ $275 $-6 06-29 17:59
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +273 $270 100¢ $272 +$2 06-17 04:58
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +545 $277 50¢ $270 $-8 06-29 17:59
Will Morocco reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +247 $232 91¢ $225 $-7 06-28 06:11
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +210 $206 100¢ $210 +$4 06-17 04:40
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +207 $204 99¢ $204 +$1 06-20 10:56
Will Woody Allen be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No +190 $187 100¢ $190 +$3 06-20 12:51
Will Israel annex Gaza territory by June 30 2026? No +190 $185 100¢ $189 +$4 06-09 11:19
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +183 $180 100¢ $182 +$2 06-15 06:13
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +189 $178 94¢ $178 $-0 06-29 21:38
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No +290 $173 59¢ $171 $-1 06-30 03:08
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +140 $139 100¢ $140 +$1 06-20 12:49
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +558 $144 24¢ $137 $-8 06-30 15:09
Will Anthropic or OpenAI IPO first? Anthropic +145 $128 92¢ $133 +$5 06-29 06:48
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +130 $117 94¢ $122 +$6 06-16 01:07
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes +290 $120 41¢ $119 $-1 06-30 03:08
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by September 30? No +125 $114 90¢ $113 $-1 06-28 22:01
Will Trump attend NATO Summit? Yes +108 $101 98¢ $106 +$5 06-18 06:01
Will the Fed’s lower bound reach 2.5% or lower before 2027? No +100 $96 95¢ $95 $-0 06-30 12:36
Will Hyperliquid HIP-3 open interest hit $4B in 2026? Yes +120 $107 78¢ $93 $-14 06-22 11:38
Ventuals FDV above $500M one day after launch? No +90 $86 95¢ $86 $-0 06-27 22:00
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +90 $84 94¢ $84 $-0 06-08 05:55
FDA approves Retatrutide this year? No +80 $69 90¢ $72 +$3 06-25 06:25
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +70 $69 100¢ $70 +$1 06-20 14:34
Will Spain reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No -90 $-66 78¢ $-70 $-4 06-22 02:59
OpenAI receives federal backstop for infrastructure before July? No +70 $69 100¢ $70 +$1 06-20 14:52
Will John Braun advance to the general election for WA-03? Yes +70 $67 96¢ $67 +$0 06-07 06:36
Will Valve add Cobblestone to the map pool by August 30? No +70 $64 94¢ $65 +$1 06-07 06:41