Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$40
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
45
Trades
2,611
lifetime
Volume
$3.85K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$73
11 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 07-05 03:36
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
79% 27% +$12
Sports
14% 11% $-8
Politics
6% 0% $-1
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
47 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +1,031 $50 $24 $-26 07-01 01:07
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Yes +867 $25 $17 $-8 07-02 00:21
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -41 $-4 26¢ $-10 $-7 06-16 06:41
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +288 $8 $6 $-1 07-02 00:22
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? Yes -15 $-3 26¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 04:04
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -107 $-5 $-4 +$1 07-02 00:25
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -33 $-3 $-3 $-0 06-21 19:22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes -35 $-3 $-2 +$1 07-01 00:58
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes -43 $-2 $-1 +$1 06-13 08:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-12 20:35
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026? Yes -11 $-1 $-1 +$0 07-05 03:36