Realized P&L
+$3
Unrealized P&L
-$85
Hit rate
57.7%
Resolved
45
Trades
2,600
lifetime
Volume
$3.78K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$1
Open exposure
$57
23 positions
First seen
2026-02-22
last 06-23 06:51
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 15 days
Categories
Other
79% 27% +$12
Sports
14% 11% $-8
Politics
6% 0% $-1
Crypto
1%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
64 active days in 12wk • peak 194 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes +492 $27 $21 $-6 06-23 00:29
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -41 $-4 15¢ $-6 $-2 06-16 06:41
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes -33 $-3 14¢ $-4 $-2 06-21 19:22
Epstein storage units raided in 2026? Yes -15 $-3 29¢ $-4 $-1 06-05 04:04
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes +4,071 $58 $4 $-54 06-22 03:52
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes +1,079 $13 $3 $-10 06-23 06:51
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? Yes -101 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-21 19:22
Will Hillary Clinton be arrested before 2027? Yes -43 $-2 $-2 $-0 06-13 08:26
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -53 $-3 $-2 +$1 06-05 04:46
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? Yes +66 $-0 $2 +$2 06-23 00:25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +13 $1 $1 +$0 06-13 07:26
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026? Yes +17 $1 $1 $-0 06-12 20:35
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes? No +635 $7 $1 $-6 06-12 21:42
Will Deepak Chopra be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +75 $2 $1 $-1 06-22 03:44
Epstein client list released by June 30? Yes +152 $3 $1 $-2 06-16 06:43
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? Yes +154 $2 $0 $-2 06-12 20:38
Will Steven Tisch be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes -26 $-1 $-0 +$0 06-04 23:26
Will Elon Musk be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +111 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 23:46
Will Peter Attia be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +79 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 23:46
Will Hillary Clinton be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +125 $1 $0 $-1 06-09 23:46
Will Steve Bannon be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes -32 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-04 23:27
Will Jay-Z be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes +36 $0 $0 $-0 06-09 23:46
Will Donald Trump be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? Yes -15 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 23:45