Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
open
Total volume
$6,672
Trades
198
Unique wallets
71
Liquidity
$17,798
Latest YES mid
2¢
Latest NO mid
98¢
End date
2026-12-31
First seen
2026-05-27
last 07-28 13:07
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+97.5¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $43
vs crowd: 2% YES on $4.7K)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 1 | — | $410 | $410 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $69 | $2.2K | $2.1K |
| 🐟 Fish | 15 | $5 | $839 | $834 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 48 | $42 | $1.1K | $1.1K |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $43 | — | +$43 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 3 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 3 | — | $115 | $115 |
| Median | 14 | $28 | $677 | $650 |
| Below median | 6 | — | $2 | $2 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 2 | $12 | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| unranked | 42 | $32 | $2.2K | $2.2K |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | No | +1,584 | $1,546 | $1,546 | 5 | 07-19 17:48 |
| Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | +876 | $21 | $65 | 48 | 07-23 14:47 |
| Upset-Stack 0xe375…b335 | Yes | +867 | $25 | $30 | 4 | 07-02 00:21 |
| Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | +702 | $685 | $685 | 3 | 07-09 13:03 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | +600 | $14 | $14 | 17 | 07-19 17:48 |
| Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | Yes | +450 | $12 | $12 | 1 | 07-05 12:11 |
| (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | +419 | $410 | $410 | 2 | 07-28 13:07 |
| Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | +219 | $214 | $214 | 6 | 07-20 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x1e6e…a7ef | No | +126 | $123 | $123 | 1 | 07-04 02:38 |
| (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | +115 | $112 | $112 | 1 | 07-04 02:10 |
| Pitiful-Laugh 0xaaa7…746a | No | +103 | $100 | $100 | 1 | 06-01 09:45 |
| Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | +100 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 07-19 17:48 |
| (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | +98 | $95 | $95 | 1 | 07-02 06:27 |
| (anonymous) 0xc02d…6767 | Yes | +50 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-20 00:37 |
| (anonymous) 0x704f…efe4 | Yes | +40 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 06-23 20:30 |
| (anonymous) 0x7353…71a4 | No | +19 | $18 | $36 | 2 | 07-23 14:47 |
| Motionless-Anything 0xb1e0…d60c | No | +15 | $15 | $15 | 2 | 06-01 11:31 |
| Deserted-Legging 0xf114…6ecc | No | +15 | $14 | $14 | 2 | 07-01 01:33 |
| (anonymous) 0xf207…9010 | No | +4 | $4 | $76 | 3 | 07-05 12:12 |
| (anonymous) 0x80e7…ad2a | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 07-24 15:20 |
| Married-Sonata 0x909d…07fc | No | +1 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 07-19 22:31 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07-28 13:07:49 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x649686… |
| 07-28 13:07:49 | Recent-Witchhunt 0x0e32…535b | No | SELL | 200 | 98¢ | $196 | 0x649686… |
| 07-24 15:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x7859…5183 | No | SELL | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xaabe4a… |
| 07-24 15:20:01 | (anonymous) 0x80e7…ad2a | No | BUY | 2 | 98¢ | $2 | 0xaabe4a… |
| 07-23 14:47:06 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 9 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x6d43ba… |
| 07-23 14:47:06 | (anonymous) 0x7353…71a4 | No | SELL | 9 | 98¢ | $9 | 0x6d43ba… |
| 07-20 00:37:33 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 50 | 98¢ | $49 | 0x1e4807… |
| 07-20 00:37:33 | (anonymous) 0xc02d…6767 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x1e4807… |
| 07-19 22:31:19 | (anonymous) 0x7859…5183 | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x236205… |
| 07-19 22:31:19 | Married-Sonata 0x909d…07fc | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x236205… |
| 07-19 17:48:36 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x9503c6… |
| 07-19 17:48:36 | Worldly-Dump 0xc18b…3917 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x9503c6… |
| 07-19 17:48:36 | Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | No | BUY | 396 | 98¢ | $387 | 0x9503c6… |
| 07-19 17:48:36 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x9503c6… |
| 07-18 02:20:13 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 90 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xbad59b… |
| 07-18 02:20:13 | Boring-Pincenez 0x6f0f…5f89 | No | SELL | 40 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xbad59b… |
| 07-18 02:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x8931…a90c | No | BUY | 219 | 98¢ | $214 | 0xbad59b… |
| 07-18 02:20:13 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 33 | 98¢ | $33 | 0xbad59b… |
| 07-18 02:20:13 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbad59b… |
| 07-14 08:04:46 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 1 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x2e0957… |
| 07-14 08:04:46 | (anonymous) 0x80e7…ad2a | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x2e0957… |
| 07-13 12:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x10f4…56a2 | No | SELL | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0xac07bc… |
| 07-13 12:33:02 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 33 | 98¢ | $32 | 0xac07bc… |
| 07-11 21:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x274e…e53d | No | SELL | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x83fea7… |
| 07-11 21:27:19 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x83fea7… |
| 07-09 13:04:41 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdfb07a… |
| 07-09 13:04:41 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xdfb07a… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | (anonymous) 0x20de…5b24 | No | SELL | 48 | 98¢ | $47 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xdb47…f93e | No | SELL | 43 | 98¢ | $42 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xeb7e…7bb1 | No | SELL | 57 | 98¢ | $56 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xcf52…7660 | No | SELL | 52 | 98¢ | $50 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | BUY | 494 | 98¢ | $482 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 191 | 98¢ | $186 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-09 13:03:20 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x082f80… |
| 07-07 19:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x564663… |
| 07-07 19:36:31 | (anonymous) 0x6303…284f | No | SELL | 1 | 98¢ | $1 | 0x564663… |
| 07-06 18:00:56 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 30 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xeee05f… |
| 07-06 18:00:56 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | SELL | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xeee05f… |
| 07-06 18:00:56 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0xeee05f… |
| 07-06 16:33:31 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe7982b… |
| 07-06 16:33:31 | (anonymous) 0x274e…e53d | No | BUY | 5 | 98¢ | $5 | 0xe7982b… |
| 07-05 23:39:16 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 98 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xaf70f7… |
| 07-05 23:39:16 | Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | No | BUY | 98 | 98¢ | $95 | 0xaf70f7… |
| 07-05 20:49:41 | Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x58a4f7… |
| 07-05 20:49:41 | (anonymous) 0xbe09…d4b6 | No | SELL | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x58a4f7… |
| 07-05 20:49:13 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 6 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x345adf… |
| 07-05 20:49:13 | (anonymous) 0xbe09…d4b6 | No | BUY | 6 | 98¢ | $5 | 0x345adf… |
| 07-05 12:13:22 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38828c… |
| 07-05 12:13:22 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0x38828c… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | SELL | 200 | 98¢ | $195 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0x6dec…1b8c | No | SELL | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xafa2…d8af | No | SELL | 41 | 98¢ | $40 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 66 | 2¢ | $2 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0x96d3…6739 | No | SELL | 69 | 98¢ | $68 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xedba…3279 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xc0e8…fbe3 | No | SELL | 38 | 98¢ | $37 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0x948a…5d1d | No | SELL | 46 | 98¢ | $45 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xf47e…4179 | No | SELL | 53 | 98¢ | $52 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | Frightening-Rainmaker 0x43fd…59d3 | Yes | BUY | 40 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xf207…9010 | No | SELL | 37 | 98¢ | $36 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | Blond-Cellar 0x6c00…0332 | No | SELL | 80 | 98¢ | $78 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:12:11 | Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | No | BUY | 883 | 98¢ | $862 | 0xd134bb… |
| 07-05 12:11:41 | Odd-Street 0x4366…c73e | Yes | BUY | 450 | 3¢ | $12 | 0x59a423… |
| 07-05 12:11:41 | (anonymous) 0x1b3f…b538 | No | BUY | 200 | 97¢ | $195 | 0x59a423… |
| 07-05 12:11:41 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | No | BUY | 50 | 97¢ | $49 | 0x59a423… |
| 07-04 02:38:38 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbcb1fb… |
| 07-04 02:38:38 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | SELL | 31 | 98¢ | $30 | 0xbcb1fb… |
| 07-04 02:38:38 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 31 | 2¢ | $1 | 0xbcb1fb… |
| 07-04 02:38:38 | (anonymous) 0x1e6e…a7ef | No | BUY | 126 | 97¢ | $123 | 0xbcb1fb… |
| 07-04 02:10:28 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 83 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xd25b2d… |
| 07-04 02:10:28 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd25b2d… |
| 07-04 02:10:28 | (anonymous) 0xf51e…ca28 | No | BUY | 115 | 97¢ | $112 | 0xd25b2d… |
| 07-03 23:01:32 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdb9f42… |
| 07-03 23:01:32 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | SELL | 18 | 3¢ | $0 | 0xdb9f42… |
| 07-03 08:35:59 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 98 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xd30493… |
| 07-03 08:35:59 | Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | BUY | 148 | 97¢ | $144 | 0xd30493… |
| 07-03 08:35:59 | Elated-Sombrero 0x40c5…5cba | Yes | BUY | 50 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xd30493… |
| 07-03 08:35:49 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 60 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x159a5b… |
| 07-03 08:35:49 | Aggressive-Polenta 0x5e92…618a | No | BUY | 60 | 97¢ | $58 | 0x159a5b… |
| 07-02 15:15:14 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 38 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb694c3… |
| 07-02 15:15:14 | Gentle-Necklace 0x8508…9fda | Yes | SELL | 79 | 3¢ | $2 | 0xb694c3… |
| 07-02 15:15:14 | (anonymous) 0xb143…3c17 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xb694c3… |
| 07-02 06:27:29 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 98 | 3¢ | $3 | 0xf3a777… |
| 07-02 06:27:29 | (anonymous) 0x4775…d205 | No | BUY | 98 | 97¢ | $95 | 0xf3a777… |
| 07-02 00:21:26 | (anonymous) 0xcf52…7660 | No | BUY | 52 | 97¢ | $50 | 0x2c86f0… |
| 07-02 00:21:26 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 53 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x2c86f0… |
| 07-02 00:21:26 | (anonymous) 0xdb47…f93e | No | BUY | 43 | 97¢ | $41 | 0x2c86f0… |
| 07-02 00:21:26 | Upset-Stack 0xe375…b335 | Yes | BUY | 252 | 3¢ | $8 | 0x2c86f0… |
| 07-02 00:21:26 | (anonymous) 0xeb7e…7bb1 | No | BUY | 57 | 97¢ | $55 | 0x2c86f0… |
| 07-02 00:21:26 | (anonymous) 0x20de…5b24 | No | BUY | 48 | 97¢ | $46 | 0x2c86f0… |
| 07-01 12:38:32 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | BUY | 75 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x049083… |
| 07-01 12:38:32 | (anonymous) 0xe780…6982 | Yes | SELL | 75 | 3¢ | $2 | 0x049083… |
| 07-01 01:34:52 | Harmful-Prevention 0xd600…b66e | Yes | SELL | 45 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x9354a9… |
| 07-01 01:34:52 | Upset-Stack 0xe375…b335 | Yes | BUY | 139 | 3¢ | $4 | 0x9354a9… |
| 07-01 01:33:59 | (anonymous) 0xf207…9010 | No | BUY | 4 | 97¢ | $4 | 0x12e8cd… |
| 07-01 01:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x1dd9…21cc | No | BUY | 10 | 97¢ | $10 | 0x12e8cd… |
| 07-01 01:33:59 | (anonymous) 0x9474…5091 | Yes | SELL | 50 | 2¢ | $1 | 0x12e8cd… |