Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
+$1
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
6,163
lifetime
Volume
$69.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$107
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-14
last 07-19 21:09
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
96%
Tech
3%
Politics
1%
Crypto
1%
Sports
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +30 $29 98¢ $29 +$0 06-23 21:39
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? No +20 $19 96¢ $19 $-0 07-06 03:47
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +15 $14 98¢ $15 +$0 07-01 01:33
Nothing Ever Happens: Satoshi Nakamoto Nothing +15 $14 96¢ $14 $-0 06-23 23:18
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +12 $11 97¢ $11 +$0 07-09 10:11
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by December 31 2026? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$1 06-28 17:16
Will Russia test a nuclear weapon by September 30 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 06-22 17:17
Hantavirus vaccine in 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 07-05 21:44