Realized P&L
+$32
Unrealized P&L
+$7
Hit rate
91.9%
Resolved
34
Trades
1,187
lifetime
Volume
$23.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$20
Open exposure
$366
28 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 06-15 04:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 9 days
Categories
Sports
76% 82% +$22
Other
23% 50% +$15
Crypto
1%
Politics
0% 0% $-5
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
49 active days in 12wk • peak 140 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Brighton & Hove Albion qualify for the League Phase of the 2026-27 UEFA Conference League? Yes -50 $-48 96¢ $-48 $-1 05-28 18:18
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2026? No +45 $43 94¢ $43 $-0 06-09 13:03
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by June 30? No +30 $30 100¢ $30 +$0 05-30 20:41
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? No +30 $26 98¢ $29 +$3 06-06 07:47
Will Ukraine recapture Crimean territory by June 30, 2026? No +25 $24 100¢ $25 +$0 05-30 13:44
Quantum breaks Bitcoin by December 31, 2027? No +20 $17 87¢ $17 +$1 06-03 06:39
Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +15 $15 98¢ $15 +$0 06-01 11:31
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 97¢ $15 +$0 06-01 03:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$0 05-31 06:16
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 96¢ $14 +$0 06-02 09:15
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-08 22:31
Trump out as President by June 30? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-28 09:44
Will Putin meet with Zelenskyy by June 30, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 06-04 18:29
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 99¢ $10 +$0 05-30 20:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 96¢ $10 +$0 06-02 21:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 94¢ $9 +$0 06-05 20:19
Trump out as President before 2027? No +10 $9 92¢ $9 +$0 05-27 21:55
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 88¢ $9 +$0 06-04 03:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 84¢ $8 +$0 05-31 22:16
Adam Back confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-01 18:44
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 $-0 05-30 20:42
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 05-30 20:43
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 +$0 05-30 10:06
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 92¢ $5 $-0 05-30 20:25
Will Russia invade another country in 2026? No -5 $-4 92¢ $-5 $-0 06-01 02:14
Ukraine peace referendum scheduled by September 30? No +1 $1 94¢ $1 +$0 05-29 05:51
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +2 $1 34¢ $1 +$0 05-29 03:27
Will LeBron James retire before next NBA season? Yes +5 $0 $0 $-0 05-27 22:40