Realized P&L (30d)
+$9
Unrealized P&L
+$14
Hit rate
98.3%
Resolved (30d)
3
Trades (30d)
3
1,992 lifetime
Volume (30d)
$19
$36.6K lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$269
20 positions
First seen
2026-04-23
last 10-27 09:32
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 54 days
Categories
Sports
70% 76% +$231
Other
28% 79% +$411
Politics
1% 75% +$3
Crypto
1% — —
Tech
0% 100% +$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027? No +35 $34 99¢ $35 +$0 10-24 06:27
1 megaton meteor strike in 2026? No +30 $28 98¢ $29 +$1 07-02 13:17
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +25 $20 88¢ $22 +$2 05-07 11:10
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 05-31 20:26
Will Bitcoin dip to $5,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $15 100¢ $15 +$0 06-01 03:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 99¢ $15 +$1 06-02 09:15
Will Bitcoin dip to $15,000 by December 31, 2026? No +15 $14 99¢ $15 +$1 05-31 06:16
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? No +15 $13 98¢ $15 +$1 05-22 09:34
Trump out as President before 2027? No +15 $13 96¢ $14 +$1 05-27 21:55
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-31 14:57
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-30 20:42
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 06-02 21:33
Will Bitcoin dip to $25,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-05 20:19
Xi Jinping out before 2027? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 05-30 10:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 98¢ $10 +$1 06-04 03:46
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026? No +10 $8 98¢ $10 +$2 05-31 22:16
Erdoğan out by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 05-06 20:12
Will Trump be impeached by December 31, 2026? No +10 $9 97¢ $10 +$1 05-06 12:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +5 $5 97¢ $5 +$0 05-30 20:25
5kt meteor strike in 2026? Yes +5 $2 15¢ $1 -$1 05-29 03:27