Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$1.09K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
27,854
lifetime
Volume
$389.0K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$14
Open exposure
$156.5K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 06-30 12:53
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56%
—
—
Politics
22%
—
—
Crypto
12%
—
—
Sports
9%
—
—
Tech
1%
—
—
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
33 active days in 12wk
• peak 851 trades/day
| Market | Outcome | Mid 30D | Net shares | Cost basis | Current mid | Current value | Unrealized P&L | Last trade |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | No | +21,475 | $21,331 | 100¢ | $21.5K | +$123 | 06-26 18:21 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | No | +29,512 | $15,298 | 66¢ | $19.3K | +$4,033 | 06-29 14:48 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | No | +16,201 | $15,175 | 95¢ | $15.3K | +$168 | 06-29 14:06 | |
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | Yes | +34,164 | $15,920 | 34¢ | $11.8K | $-4,134 | 06-30 15:20 | |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | No | +8,380 | $7,961 | 96¢ | $8.1K | +$105 | 06-29 13:25 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +7,091 | $6,978 | 99¢ | $7.0K | +$10 | 06-06 01:49 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | No | +6,346 | $6,030 | 96¢ | $6.1K | +$34 | 06-30 15:44 | |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +6,221 | $6,108 | 97¢ | $6.0K | $-67 | 06-30 16:39 | |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | No | +5,547 | $5,315 | 96¢ | $5.3K | +$5 | 06-23 13:15 | |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | No | +5,013 | $4,714 | 94¢ | $4.7K | +$6 | 06-30 13:36 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +4,606 | $4,508 | 98¢ | $4.5K | +$13 | 06-06 14:38 | |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | No | +4,803 | $4,114 | 86¢ | $4.2K | +$41 | 06-28 20:57 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | No | +4,101 | $3,988 | 98¢ | $4.0K | +$19 | 06-26 09:49 | |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | No | +4,690 | $3,690 | 84¢ | $3.9K | +$226 | 06-30 06:15 | |
| Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | No | +3,848 | $3,830 | 100¢ | $3.8K | +$7 | 06-29 23:15 | |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | No | +3,692 | $3,666 | 100¢ | $3.7K | +$23 | 06-17 10:48 | |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | No | +3,687 | $3,435 | 93¢ | $3.4K | $-21 | 06-30 16:32 | |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | No | +3,361 | $3,343 | 99¢ | $3.3K | $-21 | 06-30 06:12 | |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | No | +3,420 | $2,960 | 92¢ | $3.1K | +$169 | 06-29 06:48 | |
| Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? | No | +2,403 | $2,370 | 98¢ | $2.4K | $-4 | 06-30 07:53 | |
| Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? | No | +2,625 | $2,202 | 86¢ | $2.2K | +$42 | 06-29 17:29 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? | No | +2,034 | $1,880 | 92¢ | $1.9K | +$1 | 06-27 00:34 | |
| Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 | No | +2,037 | $1,592 | 86¢ | $1.8K | +$160 | 06-29 12:12 | |
| SBF released from custody in 2026? | No | +1,766 | $1,678 | 95¢ | $1.7K | +$6 | 06-17 23:31 | |
| Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? | No | +2,000 | $1,438 | 74¢ | $1.5K | +$52 | 06-30 16:31 | |
| Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? | No | +1,473 | $1,348 | 92¢ | $1.3K | +$0 | 06-30 07:40 | |
| 9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? | No | +1,355 | $1,272 | 94¢ | $1.3K | +$4 | 06-29 03:10 | |
| US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? | No | +1,337 | $1,151 | 88¢ | $1.2K | +$19 | 06-26 03:23 | |
| Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? | No | +1,200 | $1,086 | 94¢ | $1.1K | +$36 | 06-18 16:23 | |
| China x Japan military clash before 2027? | No | +1,133 | $1,015 | 92¢ | $1.0K | +$33 | 06-19 03:49 |
| Market | Trades | Volume USD | Bought | Sold | Net shares | Resolution | P&L | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? | 767 | $35.4K | 72,012 | 0 | +72,012 | open | — | 06-30 15:20 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? | 292 | $27.6K | 56,843 | 0 | +56,843 | open | — | 06-28 13:42 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? | 1,225 | $20.9K | 44,822 | 0 | +44,822 | open | — | 06-30 11:14 |
| kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31 | 133 | $14.7K | 23,326 | 2,407 | +20,919 | open | — | 06-28 13:45 |
| will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 579 | $13.4K | 8,071 | 7,339 | +732 | open | — | 02-19 10:20 |
| Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair? | 1,349 | $12.7K | 6,663 | 6,667 | -4 | open | — | 03-04 16:07 |
| Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? | 243 | $11.8K | 17,444 | 2,348 | +15,096 | open | — | 06-30 16:32 |
| Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? | 207 | $11.8K | 26,501 | 121 | +26,381 | open | — | 06-29 16:49 |
| will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting | 823 | $9.6K | 762,937 | 786,248 | -23,311 | open | — | 03-07 05:53 |
| Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? | 169 | $7.8K | 16,926 | 0 | +16,926 | open | — | 06-23 14:48 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? | 100 | $7.5K | 9,230 | 2,078 | +7,152 | open | — | 06-30 06:12 |
| Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? | 1,363 | $7.4K | 15,063 | 271 | +14,792 | open | — | 06-30 16:52 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? | 122 | $7.2K | 21,716 | 0 | +21,716 | open | — | 06-06 01:49 |
| Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? | 753 | $7.2K | 14,001 | 0 | +14,001 | open | — | 06-30 16:39 |
| will tit me pregunt be played first at the super bowl halftime show | 544 | $6.8K | 5,936 | 3,476 | +2,461 | open | — | 02-09 01:31 |
| will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics | 217 | $6.7K | 4,213 | 3,921 | +292 | open | — | 02-19 20:16 |
| Will Trump visit China by April 30? | 282 | $6.2K | 3,803 | 3,171 | +631 | open | — | 03-26 02:07 |
| GTA VI released before June 2026? | 3,932 | $5.8K | 96,035 | 88,702 | +7,333 | open | — | 03-01 03:57 |
| trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 30 20260607232556276 219 | 107 | $5.7K | 12,428 | 1,650 | +10,778 | open | — | 06-25 20:09 |
| Will China blockade Taiwan by June 30? | 105 | $5.7K | 9,215 | 640 | +8,575 | open | — | 06-17 10:48 |
| Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? | 253 | $5.7K | 12,443 | 0 | +12,443 | open | — | 06-29 16:42 |
| will trump pardon sbf by july 31 20260608235339562 | 148 | $5.4K | 12,248 | 0 | +12,248 | open | — | 06-30 11:24 |
| Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | 96 | $5.2K | 11,077 | 0 | +11,077 | open | — | 06-28 20:57 |
| Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? | 957 | $5.2K | 10,591 | 0 | +10,591 | open | — | 06-30 13:36 |
| Will Elon Musk buy OnlyFans? | 198 | $5.0K | 10,465 | 0 | +10,465 | open | — | 06-29 23:15 |
| Iran leadership change by December 31? | 94 | $4.9K | 10,675 | 0 | +10,675 | open | — | 06-30 06:15 |
| Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? | 59 | $4.7K | 12,799 | 174 | +12,625 | open | — | 06-06 20:09 |
| Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? | 125 | $4.3K | 9,316 | 0 | +9,316 | open | — | 06-30 01:40 |
| US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? | 55 | $4.0K | 7,008 | 608 | +6,400 | open | — | 06-08 22:35 |
| will gta 6 cost 100 | 2,531 | $4.0K | 414,941 | 352,012 | +62,929 | open | — | 03-01 05:49 |
| Wallet | Shared markets | Overlap volume | Overlap trades | Last seen |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Open this tab to load correlated wallets… | ||||