Realized P&L
Unrealized P&L
-$55
Hit rate
Resolved
0
Trades
19,068
lifetime
Volume
$139.1K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$23.1K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 06-10 00:52
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
33%
Politics
26%
Sports
24%
Crypto
17%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
15 active days in 12wk • peak 220 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7,091 $6,978 99¢ $7.0K +$17 06-06 01:49
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,606 $4,508 98¢ $4.5K $-6 06-06 14:38
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,200 $2,322 68¢ $2.2K $-162 06-08 22:35
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +2,000 $1,999 99¢ $2.0K $-26 06-06 15:29
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +1,626 $1,536 94¢ $1.5K +$1 06-09 00:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026? No +3,200 $850 32¢ $1.0K +$190 06-06 01:44
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +800 $785 98¢ $787 +$2 06-09 18:18
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +600 $428 72¢ $429 +$1 06-09 22:29
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +500 $420 84¢ $422 +$2 06-09 14:27
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +422 $400 95¢ $401 +$0 06-09 17:42
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +400 $334 82¢ $330 $-4 06-07 19:08
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? No +300 $267 90¢ $268 +$2 06-09 02:35
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +14,625 $237 $197 $-39 06-05 22:29
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +200 $188 94¢ $189 +$1 06-09 14:56
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +200 $188 94¢ $188 +$0 06-09 11:38
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $7,000 by end of December? No +200 $186 93¢ $186 +$0 06-09 16:03
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +200 $187 93¢ $186 $-1 06-08 15:04
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +8,019 $188 $180 $-7 06-06 20:09
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +200 $179 88¢ $176 $-3 06-09 11:48
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +157 $144 92¢ $144 +$0 06-09 14:07
Will Zcash dip to $50 by December 31, 2026? No +160 $138 88¢ $140 +$2 06-05 10:02
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +136 $123 90¢ $123 +$1 06-09 23:56
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +100 $80 80¢ $80 +$0 06-09 23:27
NYSE marketwide circuit breaker before 2027? No +100 $79 75¢ $75 $-4 06-09 23:03
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? Yes +1,332 $74 $73 $-0 06-05 22:43
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +96 $69 72¢ $69 +$0 06-09 23:38
9.0 or above earthquake before 2027? No +67 $62 94¢ $62 +$0 06-09 15:15
Will Bitcoin reach $250,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes +3,000 $82 $62 $-21 06-01 18:46
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +200 $56 29¢ $57 +$1 06-09 14:20
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 Yes +200 $56 28¢ $56 +$0 06-09 15:18