Elated-Sombrero 0x40c54e…c85cba
whale bot
← all wallets
Realized P&L
—
Unrealized P&L
+$15.9K
Hit rate
—
Resolved
0
Trades
35,559
lifetime
Volume
$624.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$18
Open exposure
$242.8K
30 positions
First seen
2026-02-05
last 07-21 00:06
Equity curve
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
59% — —
Politics
26% — —
Crypto
8% — —
Sports
5% — —
Tech
2% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
54 active days in 12wk • peak 851 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +34,701 $33,281 98¢ $33.9K +$604 07-19 23:28
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +32,939 $18,118 99¢ $32.5K +$14,376 07-20 11:32
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +29,511 $27,964 96¢ $28.2K +$263 07-20 20:09
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +18,885 $17,944 96¢ $18.0K +$101 07-20 17:35
Will China invade Taiwan by December 31, 2027? No +14,937 $13,008 88¢ $13.2K +$212 07-20 15:29
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No +12,147 $11,747 96¢ $11.7K $-31 07-20 15:44
Fed rate cut by July 2026 meeting? No +10,023 $9,928 100¢ $10.0K +$60 07-19 20:27
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? No +10,274 $9,784 96¢ $9.8K +$43 07-21 05:22
Will China invade Taiwan by September 30, 2026? No +8,500 $8,316 99¢ $8.4K +$65 07-19 21:58
Will Bitcoin reach $500,000 by December 31, 2026? No +7,091 $6,978 99¢ $7.0K +$17 06-06 01:49
Iran leadership change by December 31? No +8,890 $6,940 76¢ $6.8K $-140 07-19 23:18
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +5,933 $5,828 98¢ $5.8K $-11 07-01 00:51
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +7,003 $6,004 74¢ $5.2K $-787 07-08 23:47
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 by December 31, 2026? No +4,606 $4,508 98¢ $4.5K $-3 06-06 14:38
SBF released from custody in 2026? No +4,271 $4,075 95¢ $4.0K $-37 07-20 15:17
China x Japan military clash before 2027? No +4,191 $3,847 94¢ $3.9K +$71 07-21 03:52
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2027? No +4,347 $3,922 90¢ $3.9K $-10 07-20 06:41
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +3,824 $3,525 95¢ $3.6K +$110 07-20 17:58
Will Bitcoin reach $1,000,000 by December 31, 2026? No +3,661 $3,639 99¢ $3.6K $-13 07-16 12:22
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December? No +3,867 $3,366 92¢ $3.5K +$172 07-16 13:26
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027? No +4,474 $3,395 78¢ $3.5K +$117 07-20 21:34
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +3,687 $3,435 94¢ $3.5K +$47 06-30 16:32
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027? No +3,200 $2,884 90¢ $2.9K $-20 07-19 00:34
Will MicroStrategy announce holding 1M+ BTC by December 31, 2026?-bV81 No +2,939 $2,393 92¢ $2.7K +$311 07-19 15:30
Trump out as President before 2027? No +2,700 $2,463 92¢ $2.5K +$34 07-17 14:28
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by December 31? No +2,337 $2,025 88¢ $2.0K +$20 07-20 13:05
Iran leadership change by December 31? Yes +8,585 $1,792 24¢ $2.0K +$226 07-20 17:31
Fed rate cut by September 2026 meeting? No +2,046 $1,950 96¢ $2.0K +$19 07-17 00:50
NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026? No +2,353 $1,952 84¢ $2.0K +$13 07-20 16:17
Will MicroStrategy announce bankruptcy before 2027? No +2,034 $1,880 96¢ $1.9K +$69 06-27 00:34