Blond-Cellar — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$26

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

88.4%

Resolved

Trades

402

lifetime

Volume

$62.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$156

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-09 19:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

64% 100% +$11

Politics

36% 0% $-38

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Nicolás Maduro be the next leader out before 2027?	1	$12.1K	12,154	0	+12,154	open	—	01-03 11:17
will a minecraft movie be the top grossing movie of 2025	1	$11.8K	11,769	0	+11,769	open	—	01-04 16:57
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$5.6K	5,883	0	+5,883	open	—	01-18 17:53
jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	47	$4.4K	4,299	483	+3,815	open	—	03-13 23:21
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the portuguese election	2	$3.0K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-12 23:29
will the centrist reform alliance win the second most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	60	$2.3K	1,217	1,217	+0	open	—	02-08 11:41
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	35	$2.0K	1,367	1,051	+316	open	—	03-08 19:23
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	6	$1.9K	1,200	1,200	+0	open	—	02-19 14:39
Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	5	$1.9K	1,525	381	+1,144	open	—	05-19 09:54
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	10	$1.2K	1,300	0	+1,300	open	—	04-15 10:19
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	9	$1.2K	548	648	-100	open	—	04-06 22:07
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$963	996	0	+996	open	—	02-19 11:22
will the liberal democratic party win the most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	3	$918	971	0	+971	open	—	01-23 15:41
Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	8	$861	601	300	+300	open	—	04-13 17:20
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	15	$837	730	383	+348	open	—	04-17 14:37
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	2	$740	400	400	+0	open	—	02-14 03:20
will reza pahlavi enter iran by march 31 282	4	$719	768	0	+768	open	—	03-03 15:17
will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	3	$715	780	0	+780	open	—	03-08 18:22
will sanseit win the third most seats in the 2026 japanese general election	4	$678	722	0	+722	open	—	02-02 01:05
will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	17	$613	691	0	+691	open	—	03-08 19:25
us recognizes machado as leader of venezuela by january 31	2	$592	610	0	+610	open	—	01-15 11:20
will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	22	$495	435	353	+82	open	—	03-22 16:21
spx up or down on january 14 2026	1	$495	500	0	+500	open	—	01-14 18:07
Will Trump visit China by April 30?	1	$490	499	0	+499	open	—	04-01 10:14
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	3	$433	464	0	+464	open	—	03-03 15:12
spx up or down on january 12 2026	9	$426	430	0	+430	open	—	01-12 20:44
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	1	$391	400	0	+400	open	—	04-01 10:07
Starmer out by February 28, 2026?	6	$386	400	0	+400	open	—	02-14 11:50
will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	8	$362	408	158	+250	open	—	03-08 19:24
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$355	433	0	+433	open	—	04-15 08:33

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-11 13:13:45	will jos luis rodrguez zapatero be arrested by june 30	No	BUY	21	90¢	$19	0xf53d9d…
06-09 19:13:28	will jos luis rodrguez zapatero be arrested by june 30	No	BUY	94	89¢	$84	0xc509f2…
05-19 09:54:22	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	SELL	381	99¢	$378	0x2a059e…
05-08 09:12:45	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	500	98¢	$488	0x7299a6…
05-03 21:02:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	600	97¢	$581	0xb24c29…
05-03 13:32:36	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	325	97¢	$315	0x3fc599…
04-17 14:37:28	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	191	40¢	$77	0x3c4cde…
04-17 14:32:36	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	191	42¢	$80	0x7cd622…
04-15 10:19:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	115	98¢	$113	0x6b1547…
04-15 10:19:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	185	98¢	$182	0x0442c5…
04-15 08:33:56	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0x62fe6a…
04-15 08:24:14	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x7cf5e0…
04-13 17:20:21	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	SELL	300	100¢	$300	0x21b8d2…
04-07 22:54:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	30	81¢	$24	0x156d98…
04-07 21:49:37	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	93	83¢	$77	0x51b605…
04-07 21:48:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xae7050…
04-07 08:57:11	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x963a55…
04-07 08:32:39	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x8b8ee3…
04-07 08:27:31	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	333	83¢	$276	0xa8bf16…
04-06 22:07:25	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	182	98¢	$179	0x1fee8c…
04-06 21:39:23	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	182	98¢	$178	0x537f55…
04-06 20:33:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	121	98¢	$119	0x11abb4…
04-06 19:26:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	162	98¢	$158	0x980a83…
04-06 13:47:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xea0a72…
04-06 13:44:59	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	22	96¢	$21	0x8ae8ce…
04-06 13:04:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	44	96¢	$42	0x06025f…
04-06 12:34:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	56	96¢	$53	0x9a173b…
04-06 12:05:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	42	96¢	$41	0x506b9d…
04-06 11:33:55	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0x4c7ac1…
04-06 10:44:51	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	23	96¢	$22	0x31f2db…
04-06 10:41:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0x3584fc…
04-06 10:16:29	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0x7d329a…
04-06 10:16:23	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	110	96¢	$105	0x93a173…
04-06 10:15:39	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	BUY	120	96¢	$115	0xe53e07…
04-06 10:12:19	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	30	95¢	$29	0x327460…
04-06 10:11:03	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	86	96¢	$82	0x1f7998…
04-06 10:10:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	200	96¢	$191	0x5531be…
04-06 10:09:55	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	32	95¢	$30	0x5de9cc…
04-06 02:37:49	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x5afca8…
04-06 01:36:27	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x4c4ad5…
04-06 01:35:55	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xb4c4d4…
04-05 21:08:11	Will Iran sabotage undersea internet cables by April 30?	No	BUY	8	94¢	$7	0xa92571…
04-04 00:24:01	Will UAE strike Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	50	80¢	$40	0xaa8fbd…
04-03 13:10:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	400	96¢	$386	0x76c031…
04-02 21:42:05	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x399fdf…
04-02 20:26:49	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	9	96¢	$8	0x7743d7…
04-02 16:00:31	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	35	96¢	$34	0x8da8d3…
04-02 06:34:45	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	7	97¢	$6	0x68ad74…
04-01 10:54:11	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x2c4535…
04-01 10:53:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	200	97¢	$193	0xf71baa…
04-01 10:18:15	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	41	97¢	$40	0x27dafc…
04-01 10:17:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x5c4188…
04-01 10:14:11	Will Trump visit China by April 30?	No	BUY	499	98¢	$490	0xc24971…
04-01 10:14:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xab1d2a…
04-01 10:13:33	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x82e7ff…
04-01 10:07:59	Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	400	98¢	$391	0xad407b…
03-24 12:10:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x9f6a00…
03-24 11:04:17	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x5674c3…
03-23 18:57:41	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	92	92¢	$85	0x92718c…
03-22 16:21:53	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	82	64¢	$52	0xd19a9a…
03-19 20:53:19	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	Yes	SELL	82	63¢	$51	0x4d4643…
03-17 09:29:51	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	BUY	60	63¢	$38	0x7823b0…
03-17 08:48:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	200	95¢	$190	0xfe09c4…
03-16 16:09:43	Liberal majority in Canadian Parliament by June 30?	Yes	BUY	400	93¢	$372	0x1d5b6a…
03-16 13:16:43	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x9fcd2c…
03-16 12:29:47	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0xbbfb10…
03-16 12:24:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	150	84¢	$126	0xc2e377…
03-16 12:21:41	will partido popular win 28 31 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x20603c…
03-16 12:20:29	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xe02919…
03-16 12:20:19	will afd win the second most seats in the 2026 rhineland palatinate parliamentary elections	No	BUY	35	97¢	$34	0xa25261…
03-16 12:17:27	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	200	94¢	$188	0xc69803…
03-16 12:16:45	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	BUY	60	94¢	$56	0x97847b…
03-15 20:14:21	will partido popular win 28 31 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	SELL	26	10¢	$3	0x75d269…
03-15 20:13:41	will partido popular win 28 31 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	SELL	18	10¢	$2	0x880455…
03-15 20:12:37	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	BUY	60	10¢	$6	0x205379…
03-15 19:59:03	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	SELL	20	12¢	$2	0x7b6e4b…
03-15 19:58:53	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	SELL	25	10¢	$2	0x811790…
03-15 19:51:21	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x0a3d8b…
03-15 19:45:55	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0x03a669…
03-15 19:45:21	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x1c64ae…
03-15 19:45:09	will partido popular win 36 39 seats in the 2026 castilla y len regional election	Yes	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x9c188e…
03-13 23:21:19	jos lus rodrguez zapatero arrested by march 31	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x607a46…
03-08 19:25:41	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	48	95¢	$45	0xdca5f4…
03-08 19:24:59	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	90	96¢	$86	0x9d91c9…
03-08 19:24:53	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	100	97¢	$97	0x9439cb…
03-08 19:24:43	will the greens win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	60	97¢	$58	0x9a1a81…
03-08 19:23:31	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	30	96¢	$29	0x37a1c8…
03-08 19:23:27	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	BUY	40	97¢	$39	0x1a7c30…
03-08 19:23:25	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x4c42a4…
03-08 19:22:35	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0x9a654f…
03-08 19:21:43	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	40	96¢	$38	0x9fb4f1…
03-08 19:21:31	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	0	96¢	$0	0xe0dcef…
03-08 19:21:11	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9a612d…
03-08 19:20:15	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	70	96¢	$67	0x906378…
03-08 19:19:57	will the greens win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	32	96¢	$30	0x99e6a2…
03-08 18:54:17	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	125	99¢	$123	0x270367…
03-08 18:22:41	will partido popular pp win the 2026 castilla y len regional election 258	Yes	BUY	80	89¢	$71	0x49734f…
03-08 18:12:29	will cdu win the most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	No	SELL	100	98¢	$98	0xda3c4e…
03-08 17:40:45	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	50	94¢	$47	0x48213b…
03-08 17:39:55	will cdu win the second most seats in the 2026 baden wrttemberg parliamentary elections	Yes	BUY	119	95¢	$113	0x475819…