Recent-Witchhunt — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$828

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

96.4%

Resolved

Trades

6,919

lifetime

Volume

$444.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-11 02:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

54% 80% +$767

Other

45% 100% +$61

Sports

1% — —

Crypto

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will andr ventura win the 2026 portugal presidential election	119	$48.6K	18,100	31,713	-13,613	open	—	02-06 00:40
will eleven die in stranger things season 5	10	$30.3K	19,600	10,800	+8,800	open	—	01-03 16:28
will seguro win all of portugals districts	94	$16.1K	12,852	12,729	+123	open	—	02-15 21:28
will the freedom movement gs win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 529	97	$13.5K	8,917	7,796	+1,121	open	—	03-30 19:46
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	110	$13.0K	5,992	9,067	-3,075	open	—	02-03 12:44
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	40	$11.7K	6,996	6,245	+751	open	—	04-16 11:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	64	$8.2K	12,700	1,155	+11,545	open	—	02-28 22:58
Netanyahu out by April 30?	31	$8.1K	4,107	4,240	-133	open	—	04-16 09:13
will tisza win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 12 15	51	$7.6K	9,047	200	+8,847	open	—	04-17 12:04
US x Russia military clash by January 31, 2026?	42	$7.6K	3,887	3,907	-20	open	—	01-29 18:30
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	20	$7.2K	3,396	3,885	-489	open	—	03-20 09:21
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	406	$6.8K	2,395	4,782	-2,387	open	—	08-05 18:51
us forces in venezuela by january 31 2026	18	$6.8K	8,350	881	+7,469	open	—	01-03 10:09
will iran strike israel on march 10	21	$5.9K	5,080	3,306	+1,774	open	—	03-15 17:58
will fidesz kdnp win the national list vote in the 2026 hungarian parliamentary election by 9	64	$5.8K	3,637	3,061	+576	open	—	04-18 06:16
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 2530	25	$5.4K	4,015	1,500	+2,515	open	—	02-19 23:12
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	22	$5.4K	2,759	2,759	+0	open	—	03-29 06:50
trump out as president by march 31	21	$5.3K	2,200	3,200	-1,000	open	—	03-29 16:57
Will Yoon Suk Yeol be sentenced to no prison time?	27	$5.0K	2,457	2,697	-240	open	—	02-19 07:14
hungary election tisza wins a constitutional majority	27	$4.8K	2,700	2,700	+0	open	—	04-12 19:47
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	11	$4.7K	2,400	2,400	+0	open	—	01-20 13:17
will matt goodwin reform win the gorton and denton by election	67	$4.3K	3,195	1,800	+1,394	open	—	02-27 04:31
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	36	$4.3K	4,390	0	+4,390	open	—	02-26 13:10
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	1	$3.9K	7,567	0	+7,567	open	—	04-11 09:59
Will Janez Janša be the next Prime Minister of Slovenia?	87	$3.6K	3,920	3,815	+105	open	—	04-17 12:15
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of costa ricas presidential election	26	$3.5K	1,781	2,270	-489	open	—	02-02 06:01
will solv energy incs market cap be greater than 5pt4b at market close on ipo day	17	$3.5K	1,900	1,750	+150	open	—	02-12 20:12
nigel farage out as reform uk leader in 2026 20260622233131512	30	$3.3K	2,920	1,517	+1,403	open	—	07-07 22:21
will antnio jos seguro win the second round by 3035	52	$3.2K	2,103	2,224	-122	open	—	02-13 13:51
will turnout in the second round of the 2026 portuguese presidential election be between 48 and 50	114	$3.1K	7,514	3,383	+4,131	open	—	02-24 19:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-11 08:15:03	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	200	79¢	$158	0x22e3c0…
08-11 02:48:25	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	9	75¢	$6	0x64e6cf…
08-11 02:45:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	191	75¢	$144	0xf8cc6c…
08-10 17:07:31	Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?	No	BUY	200	83¢	$166	0x6815a0…
08-10 13:54:19	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	400	79¢	$316	0xfba27e…
08-10 06:56:49	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	200	96¢	$192	0x3d3c14…
08-10 06:29:36	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	268	96¢	$257	0xbb2bb7…
08-10 06:12:51	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0xf2f1b2…
08-09 21:39:25	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x38287b…
08-09 20:20:39	jeanine pirro out as dc us attorney by august 31	Yes	BUY	50	16¢	$8	0x6cb493…
08-09 16:41:24	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	9	88¢	$8	0x74434c…
08-09 15:22:48	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	200	80¢	$160	0xf9afdd…
08-09 05:56:39	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xcc755b…
08-08 13:12:13	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	SELL	100	14¢	$14	0x07cd27…
08-08 13:12:13	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	40	86¢	$34	0x07cd27…
08-07 04:10:16	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	20	85¢	$17	0xe9f984…
08-06 20:03:30	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	0	85¢	$0	0xc1c411…
08-06 18:40:21	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0x178f5f…
08-06 08:27:38	Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027?	No	BUY	100	14¢	$14	0x4110f2…
08-05 21:14:12	will trump say stock market during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421457	Yes	BUY	50	88¢	$44	0x8ed093…
08-05 20:39:09	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	No	BUY	38	87¢	$33	0x3e80ec…
08-05 20:00:24	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	No	BUY	8	87¢	$7	0xbfd10e…
08-05 19:33:24	will trump say six seven during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421459	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x8ca67d…
08-05 19:02:53	will trump say bitcoin crypto or cryptocurrency during remarks in las vegas 20260803153421460	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x358f25…
08-05 18:51:47	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8f702e…
08-05 17:46:24	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x7507ff…
08-05 17:30:38	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	96	96¢	$93	0xf6440a…
08-04 21:44:29	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	19	82¢	$15	0x54e0de…
08-04 19:42:57	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	34	63¢	$22	0x928eb2…
08-04 19:27:54	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0x5dc124…
08-04 15:47:36	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0x67f079…
08-04 12:24:03	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x85883f…
08-04 12:17:18	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	13	66¢	$8	0x628c66…
08-04 12:15:33	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	22	66¢	$15	0x3f161b…
08-04 12:15:32	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	26	66¢	$17	0x6b48ca…
08-04 12:15:32	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	24	66¢	$16	0x398c87…
08-04 05:32:11	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x5a8c3a…
08-03 21:44:23	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xe769cb…
08-03 21:40:18	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	11	63¢	$7	0xd96f62…
08-03 21:39:54	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x503797…
08-03 21:00:26	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x3a9a86…
08-03 18:04:44	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	62	54¢	$34	0x765e78…
08-03 18:04:39	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xb7a94a…
08-03 16:31:05	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0xd88f51…
08-03 13:21:29	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0x28aa32…
08-03 12:44:33	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x3bc2fb…
08-03 12:31:26	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xcb6274…
08-03 10:28:45	iran charges hormuz fees by december 31 20260706203029175	Yes	BUY	31	63¢	$19	0x03b4e6…
08-02 17:51:17	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	100	97¢	$97	0x817756…
08-02 15:42:56	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	58	97¢	$56	0x8ff458…
08-01 13:47:48	Any country withdraws from EU before 2027?	No	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x8ce207…
07-30 19:33:51	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x5552a3…
07-30 19:05:02	will the next uk election be called by december 31 2026	No	BUY	28	79¢	$22	0xf4a88e…
07-30 18:28:12	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x0bc76e…
07-30 18:23:42	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xc9f1ef…
07-30 17:14:39	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x33871d…
07-30 17:05:36	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x813934…
07-30 14:54:23	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1a4ac5…
07-30 11:53:26	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xd1fd84…
07-30 11:28:12	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x490c6f…
07-30 11:16:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	300	74¢	$222	0x8125ba…
07-30 02:30:24	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x1255bb…
07-30 00:21:59	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xec9aee…
07-29 23:50:23	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x97c44d…
07-29 21:56:56	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x4deeb7…
07-29 18:20:48	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xaa3e71…
07-29 16:14:33	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	91	97¢	$88	0x47d895…
07-29 13:14:11	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x426c25…
07-29 11:22:30	Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026?	No	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0xab9f3a…
07-29 09:46:42	Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027?	No	SELL	797	93¢	$742	0x1254b9…
07-29 09:41:36	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1,817	96¢	$1,737	0xadb99f…
07-28 19:21:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	438	96¢	$419	0x5ced5b…
07-28 19:21:14	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8b6ae1…
07-28 19:16:55	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x00d284…
07-28 19:13:49	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x14063e…
07-28 19:05:10	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x617007…
07-28 19:02:32	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x697057…
07-28 19:00:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x12905d…
07-28 18:46:13	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x8dc6e2…
07-28 18:45:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x383f30…
07-28 18:25:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x466eea…
07-28 18:25:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x88a562…
07-28 18:21:58	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xfd15e0…
07-28 18:19:19	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x956db9…
07-28 18:15:53	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x6cd916…
07-28 18:14:31	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	9	96¢	$9	0x769ece…
07-28 18:10:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	550	96¢	$526	0xe4ab6a…
07-28 18:08:22	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	594	96¢	$568	0x4650ee…
07-28 18:07:25	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x0135a2…
07-28 18:00:29	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x84dac5…
07-28 17:48:43	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xef9e91…
07-28 17:38:52	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xcef3b7…
07-28 17:24:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xe2ca26…
07-28 17:20:50	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x023be5…
07-28 17:18:04	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3b3205…
07-28 17:15:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x91bccc…
07-28 17:11:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xbe70a7…
07-28 17:07:34	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x6edf51…
07-28 17:06:40	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xb60096…
07-28 16:52:01	Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0xf80c69…