Realized P&L
+$828
Unrealized P&L
-$148
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
8
Trades
6,498
lifetime
Volume
$425.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$65
Open exposure
$7.00K
26 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-01 06:17
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
55% 80% +$767
Other
44% 100% +$61
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
74 active days in 12wk • peak 299 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +2,000 $1,682 86¢ $1.7K +$48 06-28 11:19
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,382 $1,290 94¢ $1.3K +$14 06-12 09:43
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -823 $-668 84¢ $-691 $-23 06-11 21:49
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -810 $-519 66¢ $-530 $-12 06-29 21:18
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -453 $-432 96¢ $-433 $-0 06-14 22:37
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -353 $-307 92¢ $-323 $-15 06-10 22:58
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +290 $270 94¢ $274 +$4 06-24 06:02
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +300 $260 89¢ $267 +$7 06-21 19:58
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -250 $-239 97¢ $-242 $-3 06-06 14:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No -200 $-164 99¢ $-199 $-35 06-16 07:24
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -208 $-156 84¢ $-174 $-18 05-28 16:31
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -191 $-169 88¢ $-168 +$1 06-30 11:13
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? No +150 $142 98¢ $147 +$4 06-30 06:43
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -180 $-89 58¢ $-105 $-17 05-31 12:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No -112 $-104 92¢ $-103 +$1 06-11 20:59
Will Harvey Weinstein be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -100 $-100 98¢ $-98 +$1 06-30 15:35
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +114 $81 79¢ $90 +$9 06-16 07:42
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +200 $46 34¢ $69 +$23 06-22 13:15
Will Marco Rubio be confirmed to have visited Epstein’s island? No -29 $-29 100¢ $-29 +$0 06-30 06:17
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +27 $7 31¢ $8 +$1 06-18 16:15
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +300 $24 $7 $-18 07-01 06:17
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +50 $9 11¢ $5 $-4 06-08 16:03
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +675 $139 $5 $-134 06-21 08:12
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +46 $2 $2 +$0 05-30 13:14
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +50 $2 $2 $-0 05-28 06:44
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026? Yes -160 $-16 $-0 +$16 06-06 13:57