Realized P&L
+$828
Unrealized P&L
+$43
Hit rate
96.4%
Resolved
8
Trades
6,759
lifetime
Volume
$434.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$64
Open exposure
$9.51K
28 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 07-21 06:43
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 5 days
Categories
Politics
54% 80% +$767
Other
44% 100% +$61
Sports
1%
Crypto
0%
Tech
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 97 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Russia capture Sumy by March 31, 2027? No -1,629 $-1,487 92¢ $-1491 $-4 07-14 13:27
Will Trump acquire Greenland before 2027? No +1,536 $1,437 96¢ $1.5K +$31 07-21 06:43
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +1,500 $1,247 86¢ $1.3K +$50 07-22 03:46
Will the U.S. invade Greenland in 2026? No -1,146 $-1,098 96¢ $-1105 $-8 07-15 22:07
Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027? No -848 $-691 86¢ $-734 $-43 07-12 10:46
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? No -1,010 $-653 66¢ $-671 $-19 07-02 11:04
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? No +730 $417 62¢ $453 +$36 07-20 17:36
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? No -353 $-307 94¢ $-333 $-26 06-10 22:58
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? No +300 $284 99¢ $297 +$13 07-10 21:35
Any country withdraws from EU before 2027? No +290 $270 97¢ $280 +$11 06-24 06:02
Will Alberta vote for independence in 2026? No +300 $260 89¢ $267 +$7 06-21 19:58
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No -250 $-239 98¢ $-245 $-5 06-06 14:43
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026? No -208 $-156 88¢ $-182 $-26 05-28 16:31
US strike on Cuba by December 31? No -180 $-89 68¢ $-122 $-33 05-31 12:08
Trump out as President before 2027? No -112 $-104 92¢ $-104 +$0 06-11 20:59
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? No +114 $81 86¢ $97 +$16 06-16 07:42
Will Donald Trump visit Ukraine in 2026? No +100 $90 84¢ $84 $-6 07-08 13:19
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026? No +80 $58 88¢ $70 +$12 07-01 20:08
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026? Yes +200 $46 34¢ $67 +$21 06-22 13:15
Kash Patel out by December 31? No +80 $35 63¢ $50 +$16 07-12 11:04
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026? Yes +150 $31 20¢ $29 $-2 07-07 08:21
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? No +40 $25 54¢ $22 $-4 07-09 10:52
Will Donald Trump visit South Korea in 2026? Yes +46 $9 46¢ $21 +$12 07-08 10:42
Will Donald Trump visit Ireland in 2026? No +40 $11 18¢ $7 $-4 07-03 13:17
Masoud Pezeshkian out by December 31? Yes +40 $6 16¢ $7 +$1 07-07 20:56
GTA 6 launch postponed again? Yes +50 $9 $4 $-4 06-08 16:03
Will Wisconsin use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +46 $2 $3 +$1 05-30 13:14
Will South Carolina use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections? Yes +50 $2 $2 +$0 05-28 06:44