Realized P&L
+$3.24K
Unrealized P&L
+$24
Hit rate
98.0%
Resolved
11,377
Trades
40,148
lifetime
Volume
$431.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$11
Open exposure
$391
17 positions
First seen
2026-03-22
last 10-27 07:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 206 days
Categories
Other
90% 99% +$382
Crypto
10% 68% +$2,854
Sports
0% 66% -$2
Politics
0% 73% +$0
Tech
0% 89% +$4
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 642 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Jeffrey Epstein confirmed to be alive before 2027? No +125 $120 99¢ $124 +$4 07-27 13:54
will anthropics valuation hit high 5pt0t by december 31 No +111 $104 96¢ $106 +$3 08-02 22:23
will anthropics valuation hit high 4pt0t by december 31 No +59 $52 95¢ $56 +$4 08-03 13:59
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? No +28 $25 97¢ $27 +$2 05-10 21:07
Will Trump pardon Sam Bankman-Fried before 2027? No +21 $20 96¢ $20 +$0 07-25 18:51
Will Iran legalize gay marriage? No +20 $20 98¢ $20 +$0 07-27 13:56
Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 99¢ $16 +$1 05-10 13:18
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026? No +16 $15 99¢ $15 +$0 05-10 13:16
Will Anthropic's market cap be between $2.0T and $2.25T at market close on IPO day? Yes +20 $1 23¢ $5 +$4 06-13 22:08
Will Sadegh Larijani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes -799 -$4 0¢ $-1 +$2 05-28 08:06
Will Hassan Shariatmadari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — -500 -$1 0¢ $-1 +$0 05-28 09:30
Will Israel strike 13 countries in 2026? Yes -332 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$0 05-09 19:13
Will 2026 be the fifth-hottest year on record? Yes -150 -$1 0¢ $-0 +$1 04-30 06:34
Will Ali Motahari be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes — +1 $0 0¢ $0 $0 07-04 17:16
Will Seyed Hossein Mousavian be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +1 -$2 0¢ $0 +$2 06-11 23:03
Will Ahmad Hosseini Khorasani be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 $0 0¢ $0 +$0 05-28 09:58
Will Muhammad Mirbaqiri be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +0 -$1 0¢ $0 +$1 06-04 12:02