Wilted-Hurdle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$105

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.2%

Resolved

Trades

7,723

lifetime

Volume

$234.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$30

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-22

last 08-10 04:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Other

58% 17% $-97

Politics

16% 40% $-6

Sports

11% 0% $-0

Crypto

8% — —

Tech

7% 0% $-3

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 70000 in june 2026 from june 2	222	$9.0K	12,422	6,206	+6,216	open	—	06-25 23:37
will wti reach 100 in june 2026 823 791 134	239	$5.3K	8,369	3,956	+4,413	open	—	06-23 14:48
atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	3	$4.7K	3,226	3,226	+0	open	—	07-12 18:09
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	101	$3.7K	5,778	1,907	+3,871	open	—	06-19 08:02
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $70 by end of June?	46	$1.7K	1,932	725	+1,207	open	—	06-17 06:18
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June?	52	$1.7K	2,920	897	+2,023	open	—	06-16 09:53
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in May?	58	$1.7K	1,591	1,591	+0	open	—	05-28 00:23
will russia capture all of kostyantynivka by july 31 2026	46	$1.7K	2,079	1,229	+850	open	—	07-15 18:45
will wti reach 85 in july 2026	55	$1.6K	2,422	1,190	+1,232	open	—	07-16 20:20
Israel announces Lebanon ceasefire extension by June 7?	47	$1.6K	1,613	862	+752	open	—	06-03 09:58
will wti reach 80 in july 2026 791	36	$1.5K	1,887	687	+1,200	open	—	07-13 20:44
ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	2	$1.4K	2,469	0	+2,469	open	—	07-11 23:55
will wti reach 90 in july 2026 334	66	$1.3K	1,849	1,224	+625	open	—	07-17 21:24
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	24	$1.3K	1,290	1,170	+120	open	—	06-26 03:27
world cup goalkeeper to score 20260607161409835	35	$1.3K	2,037	836	+1,201	open	—	06-29 12:11
Will Curacao advance to the knockout stages at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	23	$1.2K	1,480	690	+790	open	—	06-23 10:17
will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt4t by june 30 98	39	$1.2K	1,606	1,196	+410	open	—	06-25 21:50
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	30	$1.2K	1,510	612	+897	open	—	06-03 16:28
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 31 495 138	22	$1.1K	1,107	657	+450	open	—	06-28 15:16
us and iran sign an agreement by july 31 2026 20260611221049854	24	$1.1K	1,070	830	+240	open	—	06-15 03:37
will the us announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 17	28	$1.1K	1,000	600	+400	open	—	07-13 20:15
Solstice FDV above $200M one day after launch?	27	$1.1K	998	953	+45	open	—	05-25 08:38
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30?	28	$1.1K	1,541	481	+1,060	open	—	07-17 14:22
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026?	30	$1.0K	1,797	276	+1,521	open	—	06-15 07:28
will ethereum reach 2000 in june 2026 from june 2	19	$1.0K	1,237	677	+560	open	—	06-23 19:40
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 spread home 1pt5	1	$1000	2,941	0	+2,941	open	—	07-18 20:45
Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	38	$987	824	824	+0	open	—	05-16 13:30
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22?	21	$981	660	660	+0	open	—	05-18 08:09
will claude fable 5 be restored for us customers by july 1 20260613193829179 129 881 748 432 345	23	$979	1,320	520	+800	open	—	06-18 20:48
world cup most goals record broken 20260608192914170	44	$973	1,916	546	+1,370	open	—	07-15 18:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 04:30:55	will ng reach 2 90 by august 10 2026	Yes	SELL	60	17¢	$10	0xb75f0c…
08-10 04:30:54	will ng reach 2 90 by august 10 2026	Yes	BUY	60	18¢	$11	0x17aa24…
08-10 03:01:21	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	SELL	60	71¢	$43	0x0c7792…
08-10 02:55:07	iran charges hormuz fees by september 30	No	BUY	60	82¢	$49	0x148049…
08-10 00:47:06	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	60	10¢	$6	0xc3fb6c…
08-10 00:43:27	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	24¢	$14	0x68fd47…
08-10 00:24:18	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	No	BUY	60	41¢	$25	0xa42654…
08-10 00:24:18	yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	Yes	BUY	60	60¢	$36	0x3d2411…
08-09 20:17:09	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 28 2026 20260722225036952	Yes	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x237c69…
08-09 20:17:09	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 28 2026 20260722225036952	Yes	SELL	14	5¢	$1	0x0f1bbc…
08-09 20:17:06	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 28 2026 20260722225036952	Yes	BUY	18	6¢	$1	0x4a6afb…
08-09 19:40:43	will mike lee vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926659	No	SELL	40	65¢	$26	0xd8429b…
08-09 19:38:57	will mike lee vote yea on the clarity act 20260729190926659	No	BUY	40	73¢	$29	0xc04b1b…
08-09 17:32:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	40	7¢	$3	0x1d03d2…
08-09 17:32:03	Will Predict.fun launch a token by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	40	94¢	$38	0x16fefb…
08-09 14:41:48	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	SELL	40	44¢	$18	0x3f58db…
08-09 14:41:42	will the highest score achieved by an anthropic claude model on humanitys last exam in 2026 be 60 or higher 20260723190836287	Yes	BUY	40	51¢	$20	0x5dde2a…
08-09 13:27:07	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	SELL	0	73¢	$0	0xff1cbd…
08-09 13:26:03	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	46	26¢	$12	0xe622d2…
08-09 13:26:03	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	25¢	$4	0x94430f…
08-09 13:26:03	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	No	BUY	60	75¢	$45	0x56074b…
08-09 13:21:39	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	SELL	60	9¢	$5	0x03391a…
08-09 13:20:15	grok 4pt6 released by august 14 2026 20260804192931964	No	BUY	60	17¢	$10	0xacc855…
08-09 08:09:48	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	9	64¢	$6	0xf3086f…
08-09 06:55:16	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	9	63¢	$6	0xddf85b…
08-09 06:55:16	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	SELL	46	62¢	$29	0xa68c7f…
08-09 06:28:43	Will Trump meet with Vladimir Putin in 2026?	No	BUY	65	66¢	$43	0xc27b43…
08-09 06:00:21	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	SELL	70	48¢	$34	0x32296b…
08-09 06:00:13	wb quarterly earnings nongaap eps 08 19 2026 0pt36	No	BUY	70	58¢	$41	0xb0eb27…
08-09 04:16:46	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	No	BUY	70	95¢	$67	0x758560…
08-09 04:16:46	will max miller drop out of the oh 07 race by august 30 20260806192928808	Yes	BUY	70	5¢	$3	0x6dba1e…
08-09 03:09:39	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	Yes	SELL	30	90¢	$27	0x853e1d…
08-09 03:09:06	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	Yes	SELL	20	90¢	$18	0xd8e0e2…
08-09 03:09:04	russia strikes another vessel in the black sea by august 15 2026 20260805160021492	Yes	BUY	50	90¢	$45	0xf86670…
08-08 22:35:40	will hood reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	SELL	40	42¢	$17	0x8da977…
08-08 22:35:37	will hood reach 105 in august 2026	Yes	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x360c17…
08-08 17:31:49	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	SELL	40	57¢	$23	0x8792ee…
08-08 17:31:43	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	No	BUY	40	58¢	$23	0x9654aa…
08-08 16:52:43	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	10	41¢	$4	0x3eff4f…
08-08 16:52:40	alofoke forms party in dr by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xf07af7…
08-08 16:04:49	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	SELL	40	79¢	$32	0xba2463…
08-08 16:04:48	will 50 ships transit the strait of hormuz on any day by august 31 2026 20260728213741054	No	BUY	40	80¢	$32	0xf2df9b…
08-08 15:36:07	Will Bernie endorse Kshama Sawant for WA-09 by Nov 2 2026 ET?	Yes	BUY	40	2¢	$1	0x273048…
08-08 13:45:49	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	11¢	$4	0x9ca158…
08-08 13:45:46	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0xad65ff…
08-08 11:22:25	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	47	11¢	$5	0x7309f5…
08-08 11:22:24	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	47	12¢	$6	0xcd1715…
08-08 10:14:34	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0xf8cb3e…
08-08 09:53:48	will spacex starship flight test 14 launch by august 31	Yes	BUY	60	26¢	$16	0xc10f6d…
08-08 06:55:15	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	SELL	50	17¢	$8	0x3c2340…
08-08 06:53:45	gemini 4pt0 released by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	50	26¢	$13	0xa80ec5…
08-06 07:37:11	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	SELL	20	28¢	$6	0x284aef…
08-06 07:37:09	will russia and ukraine hold any diplomatic meeting by august 31 2026 20260629155934232 846	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x4248c3…
08-05 10:10:29	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	SELL	10	14¢	$1	0x76c394…
08-05 10:10:27	Will the Philadelphia Phillies clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason?	No	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xc5b3c0…
08-04 21:15:09	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	Yes	SELL	20	8¢	$2	0xbccaa4…
08-04 21:15:05	will the united kingdom send warships through the strait of hormuz by august 31 2026 20260728213742049	Yes	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x3ea58e…
08-04 01:22:15	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x808b59…
08-04 01:22:08	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x3285fa…
08-03 07:01:24	lecornu out as french pm by september 30 2026 20260728190335207	Yes	SELL	20	3¢	$1	0xf684c4…
08-03 06:59:59	lecornu out as french pm by september 30 2026 20260728190335207	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xf5640c…
08-01 16:34:08	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x751d67…
08-01 15:47:54	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	8¢	$1	0x8e8c16…
08-01 07:31:26	Will any AI model reach 1530 Overall Arena Score by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0xb67ac3…
08-01 05:51:26	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x05871b…
08-01 05:48:00	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	BUY	20	23¢	$5	0x3179bf…
08-01 05:32:08	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xf55e30…
08-01 05:31:44	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xcb9ce8…
08-01 05:31:42	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xdae7aa…
08-01 05:31:42	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0xc2eda7…
08-01 05:31:39	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xbf36b6…
08-01 04:26:57	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xd3e926…
08-01 04:26:38	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x36a89e…
08-01 04:26:36	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf889da…
08-01 04:26:36	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0x6bb497…
08-01 04:26:35	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	BUY	20	22¢	$4	0xb118cd…
08-01 04:18:56	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x591c76…
08-01 04:18:32	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	25¢	$1	0x4c9e9c…
08-01 04:18:30	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	27¢	$1	0xc0900f…
08-01 04:18:30	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	SELL	5	26¢	$1	0x36d989…
08-01 04:18:27	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by august 31 20260729184249668	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x521326…
07-31 00:12:30	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	Yes	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x25b17b…
07-31 00:12:29	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	Yes	SELL	12	13¢	$2	0xfd3595…
07-31 00:11:41	will houthis successfully target shipping on august 11 2026 20260722225036935	Yes	BUY	20	12¢	$2	0x7d2ab1…
07-30 12:05:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0xfc1d8d…
07-30 12:05:56	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xb4c997…
07-30 11:52:50	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0xdc5351…
07-30 11:52:44	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x699e2b…
07-30 10:04:12	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xf48d5a…
07-30 10:04:11	nato x russia military clash by october 31 2026	Yes	BUY	20	19¢	$4	0x14d022…
07-30 05:40:24	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	SELL	20	26¢	$5	0x723607…
07-30 05:40:21	iran full airspace closure by august 15	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0xd93f50…
07-30 05:16:59	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	25¢	$5	0x815771…
07-30 05:16:38	NATO x Russia military clash by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	26¢	$5	0x8ce741…
07-27 17:17:48	will gleans valuation hit high 7b by july 31 20260630205002626	No	SELL	50	74¢	$37	0xf019c7…
07-21 20:19:33	will gleans valuation hit high 7b by july 31 20260630205002626	No	BUY	50	93¢	$46	0xd2c339…
07-20 16:02:51	will nflx reach 80 in july 2026	Yes	SELL	40	1¢	$1	0x2ac09c…
07-20 15:55:06	will nflx reach 80 in july 2026	Yes	BUY	40	6¢	$2	0x4a7e5a…
07-20 14:49:03	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260718195951624	No	SELL	20	13¢	$3	0x580ce7…
07-20 14:47:46	iran successfully targets shipping by july 31 20260718195951624	No	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xe47026…