Realized P&L
-$105
Unrealized P&L
+$1.04K
Hit rate
9.2%
Resolved
25
Trades
5,380
lifetime
Volume
$169.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$32
Open exposure
$8.08K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 06-30 17:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
53% 17% $-97
Politics
18% 40% $-6
Sports
11% 0% $-0
Crypto
11%
Tech
7% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
70 active days in 12wk • peak 272 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June? No +1,885 $1,636 100¢ $1.9K +$247 06-17 04:40
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $110 by end of June? No +1,012 $919 100¢ $1.0K +$91 06-16 09:25
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +696 $188 100¢ $695 +$507 06-15 07:28
U.S. agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30? No +293 $288 100¢ $293 +$5 06-19 01:44
Will USA reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +295 $275 94¢ $279 +$4 06-28 09:45
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +260 $245 94¢ $244 $-1 06-21 22:22
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +270 $220 84¢ $225 +$6 06-22 12:57
Taylor Swift pregnant before marriage? No +220 $216 99¢ $217 +$1 06-20 01:51
2026 FIFA World Cup: Unbeaten Champion? Yes +225 $183 94¢ $213 +$30 06-22 08:49
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +345 $200 58¢ $202 +$2 06-23 20:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by June 30, 2026? No +185 $182 100¢ $185 +$3 06-23 14:23
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final? No +220 $168 80¢ $177 +$9 06-20 10:23
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +200 $137 88¢ $175 +$38 06-03 11:38
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +180 $159 94¢ $168 +$9 06-15 19:37
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +157 $143 96¢ $150 +$7 06-14 06:48
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by June 30, 2026? No +150 $149 100¢ $150 +$0 06-14 10:50
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +216 $113 69¢ $150 +$37 06-21 00:00
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +345 $158 42¢ $143 $-15 06-21 20:40
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03? No +145 $141 98¢ $142 +$2 06-26 05:02
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +147 $137 94¢ $139 +$2 06-30 17:07
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +172 $129 80¢ $139 +$10 06-19 00:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +264 $126 50¢ $133 +$7 06-27 11:33
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +264 $142 50¢ $131 $-11 06-27 15:17
Ukraine election called by June 30, 2026? No +130 $129 100¢ $130 +$1 06-16 10:15
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +145 $84 88¢ $128 +$44 06-24 04:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +160 $123 76¢ $121 $-2 06-30 20:44
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +145 $123 82¢ $120 $-3 06-30 06:52
Will The Clearing Company self-certify sports event contracts by June 30, 2026? No +115 $112 100¢ $115 +$3 06-21 23:09
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +119 $112 94¢ $112 +$1 06-16 01:07
Trump's face on US gold coin by July 4? No +113 $104 98¢ $111 +$8 06-20 12:52