Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31bc6…11b140
whale cold 8L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$24.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$1.44K
Hit rate
4.5%
Resolved
5,004
Trades
33,341
lifetime
Volume
$777.7K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$23
Open exposure
$13.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 10-13 04:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 181 days
Categories
Other
65% 7% -$18,197
Politics
18% 4% -$2,590
Sports
10% 5% -$2,366
Tech
4% 3% -$690
Crypto
2% 6% -$172
Pop-Culture
0% 0% -$46
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
61 active days in 12wk • peak 265 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +2,759 $2,339 92¢ $2.6K +$213 06-25 03:53
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,017 $855 100¢ $1.0K +$160 06-03 10:56
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +1,046 $981 97¢ $1.0K +$33 06-06 14:19
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +750 $659 90¢ $676 +$17 06-26 20:15
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026 No +519 $216 100¢ $518 +$301 06-16 04:47
Will Lewis Hamilton be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion? No +480 $422 100¢ $480 +$57 07-12 20:52
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? No +538 $488 85¢ $459 -$29 06-25 22:42
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +702 $158 61¢ $430 +$272 06-10 08:54
Will Delcy Rodríguez be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +511 $441 84¢ $426 -$14 07-06 10:37
will ukraine recapture crimean territory by december 31 2026 No +385 $353 97¢ $375 +$22 06-24 20:41
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +407 $206 92¢ $374 +$168 06-21 00:00
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? No +450 $352 82¢ $368 +$16 08-29 05:56
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes +363 $321 97¢ $352 +$31 06-16 04:31
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +440 $308 72¢ $319 +$11 09-05 21:56
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +345 $200 84¢ $292 +$92 06-23 20:09
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election? No +360 $301 81¢ $291 -$10 06-17 08:28
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +702 $562 39¢ $271 -$291 06-14 04:13
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +302 $215 86¢ $260 +$45 06-19 00:33
Will Trump and Putin not meet? No +314 $128 82¢ $259 +$131 09-16 04:30
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +390 $270 64¢ $252 -$18 08-12 13:50
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +264 $143 88¢ $231 +$87 07-02 08:27
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +270 $222 85¢ $230 +$8 07-17 14:38
Will María Corina Machado be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? No +216 $204 100¢ $215 +$12 06-21 12:08
Will Kevin McGonigle win the 2026 AL Rookie of the Year award? Yes +220 $130 96¢ $212 +$82 06-27 16:07
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +2,759 $471 8¢ $207 -$264 06-24 07:07
trump meets with putin by december 31 Yes +238 $93 82¢ $194 +$102 07-09 00:36
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +200 $140 92¢ $184 +$44 06-03 11:38
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +219 $131 84¢ $183 +$52 07-14 17:06
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026? Yes +191 $66 96¢ $183 +$117 06-11 01:07
will anthropics valuation hit high 2pt5t by december 31 169 No +266 $193 68¢ $182 -$11 08-13 11:31