Wilted-Hurdle 0xb31bc6…11b140
whale
← all wallets
Realized P&L
-$105
Unrealized P&L
+$663
Hit rate
9.2%
Resolved
25
Trades
7,627
lifetime
Volume
$233.2K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$31
Open exposure
$5.01K
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-22
last 07-20 16:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
58% 17% $-97
Politics
16% 40% $-6
Sports
11% 0% $-0
Crypto
8% — —
Tech
7% 0% $-3
Pop-Culture
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
84 active days in 12wk • peak 298 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +696 $188 100¢ $695 +$507 06-15 07:28
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? Yes +530 $402 70¢ $374 $-29 07-17 14:22
Will Apple release iPhone 18 in 2026? Yes +271 $259 97¢ $261 +$3 07-01 10:47
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? No +345 $200 70¢ $240 +$40 06-23 20:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No +270 $221 86¢ $232 +$11 07-17 14:38
Will Apple release a foldable iPhone before 2027? Yes +220 $179 84¢ $186 +$7 07-10 04:59
Will inflation reach more than 5% in 2026? No +200 $137 86¢ $171 +$34 06-03 11:38
Will the US capture another world leader in 2026? No +180 $159 94¢ $170 +$11 06-15 19:37
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by September 30? No +530 $139 30¢ $156 +$18 07-17 14:21
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? No +216 $113 72¢ $155 +$43 06-21 00:00
Romanian parliament dissolved by July 31? No +157 $143 99¢ $155 +$11 06-14 06:48
Will Eric Vaughan advance to the general election for WA-03? No +145 $141 98¢ $143 +$2 06-26 05:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +219 $131 64¢ $141 +$11 07-14 17:06
Will Nansen launch a token by September 30, 2026? No +147 $137 95¢ $140 +$3 06-30 17:07
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +264 $143 52¢ $138 $-5 07-02 08:27
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026? No +172 $129 76¢ $130 +$1 06-19 00:33
GRVT FDV above $200M one day after launch? Yes +145 $84 89¢ $129 +$45 06-24 04:07
Opensea FDV above $1B one day after launch? No +145 $123 86¢ $125 +$3 06-30 06:52
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +264 $128 48¢ $125 $-3 07-01 15:00
Will Fernando Haddad qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff? No +119 $112 98¢ $116 +$5 06-16 01:07
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? Yes +130 $116 88¢ $115 $-1 07-03 05:28
3Jane FDV above $2B one day after launch? No +120 $111 94¢ $112 +$2 06-01 05:39
Probable FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +125 $112 90¢ $112 $-1 06-23 22:06
Fed rate cut by October 2026 meeting? No +123 $107 90¢ $110 +$3 06-10 09:34
US x Cuba military clash in 2026? Yes +345 $158 30¢ $105 $-53 06-21 20:40
Will the US federal government take a stake in Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company Limited? No +120 $104 88¢ $105 +$1 06-17 06:04
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? No +125 $96 83¢ $104 +$8 06-30 22:05
Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau engaged by end of 2026? No +130 $95 70¢ $91 $-4 06-14 18:42
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch? Yes +117 $80 76¢ $89 +$9 06-16 07:05
Cambria FDV above $50M one day after launch? No +125 $104 69¢ $86 $-18 06-25 22:55