Realized P&L
+$1.94K
Unrealized P&L
-$170
Hit rate
100.0%
Resolved
2
Trades
2,087
lifetime
Volume
$94.9K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$45
Open exposure
$1.25K
12 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 07-22 00:25
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 2 days
Categories
Other
66%
Politics
30% 100% +$1,936
Crypto
3%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
67 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes +1,533 $252 30¢ $452 +$200 07-08 02:17
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +2,208 $391 12¢ $276 $-115 07-22 00:23
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +4,031 $250 $123 $-127 06-08 19:33
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,255 $141 $107 $-34 07-06 00:49
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,206 $119 $90 $-28 07-10 21:32
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +200 $102 30¢ $61 $-41 06-21 04:52
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +1,014 $53 $44 $-8 07-19 14:14
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +803 $44 $39 $-5 07-19 02:21
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +399 $32 $23 $-9 06-14 18:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -435 $-25 $-17 +$8 06-26 21:02
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes -75 $-7 10¢ $-7 +$0 07-02 22:47
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes +150 $18 $7 $-11 06-13 17:57