Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f979…08e61d
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$600
Unrealized P&L
-$1.06K
Hit rate
59.1%
Resolved
219
Trades
2,665
lifetime
Volume
$111.6K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$821
23 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-23 14:46
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
60% 50% +$217
Politics
36% 34% +$1,153
Crypto
3% 64% -$533
Sports
0% 0% -$237
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,141 $165 16¢ $188 +$23 10-23 14:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -690 -$69 18¢ $-128 -$59 10-21 15:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $73 14¢ $94 +$22 10-20 23:57
european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31 Yes +1,120 $131 8¢ $90 -$41 09-05 19:08
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +4,031 $252 1¢ $54 -$198 10-14 00:14
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,183 $64 4¢ $46 -$18 07-28 00:20
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,106 $114 4¢ $45 -$68 08-17 23:58
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +3,216 $115 1¢ $45 -$70 10-20 23:55
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,274 $37 1¢ $31 -$6 10-23 14:46
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -908 -$20 2¢ $-18 +$3 10-17 23:15
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +387 $61 4¢ $14 -$47 06-14 18:52
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +188 $269 8¢ $14 -$255 10-14 06:29
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +150 $109 8¢ $12 -$97 10-17 23:16
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +264 $21 4¢ $12 -$9 09-23 15:48
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +430 $118 2¢ $8 -$110 09-22 22:53
will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026 Yes +159 $26 4¢ $7 -$19 10-14 00:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +260 $59 1¢ $4 -$56 10-23 14:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +440 $21 1¢ $3 -$18 08-10 21:23
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? Yes +2,000 $4 0¢ $2 -$2 10-23 14:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $2 1¢ $2 $0 10-23 14:30
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes -67 $31 3¢ $-2 -$32 10-16 06:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -13 -$1 8¢ $-1 $0 05-11 18:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +11 $2 6¢ $1 -$1 07-02 22:47