Gracious-Gammaray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.94K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

2,102

lifetime

Volume

$95.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$45

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 08-10 21:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% — —

Politics

30% 100% +$1,936

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	73	$5.4K	6,819	3,507	+3,311	open	—	03-30 02:47
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 728 921 637 263	38	$4.5K	2,571	2,571	+0	open	—	03-10 23:52
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 24?	9	$3.9K	2,200	2,000	+200	open	—	05-26 04:53
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 29?	36	$3.4K	2,282	2,282	+0	open	—	04-29 20:15
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	42	$3.4K	2,608	2,608	+0	open	—	04-30 00:00
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	19	$2.8K	1,635	1,500	+135	open	—	04-27 23:32
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	15	$2.7K	4,561	1,561	+3,000	open	—	04-08 04:45
spx up or down on april 10 2026	35	$2.2K	1,908	907	+1,002	open	—	04-10 19:43
spx opens up or down on april 8 2026	4	$2.1K	970	1,170	-200	open	—	04-08 10:43
spx opens up or down on march 23 2026	4	$2.1K	1,082	1,082	+0	open	—	03-23 13:51
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on April 27?	3	$2.0K	1,100	1,094	+6	open	—	04-27 20:00
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	6	$1.9K	961	961	+0	open	—	03-12 16:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	11	$1.9K	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	04-23 22:26
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 31?	4	$1.8K	1,203	903	+300	open	—	05-25 21:31
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	46	$1.8K	5,560	5,760	-200	open	—	05-23 20:26
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	11	$1.7K	1,136	1,036	+100	open	—	04-27 23:24
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	48	$1.6K	5,355	4,329	+1,026	open	—	08-10 21:22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	7	$1.5K	1,450	1,140	+310	open	—	06-03 00:50
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	34	$1.4K	902	996	-94	open	—	04-07 23:19
spx up or down on april 7 2026	21	$1.3K	1,096	625	+471	open	—	04-07 19:59
spx up or down on april 16 2026	1	$1.1K	1,137	0	+1,137	open	—	04-16 19:51
spx up or down on march 25 2026	8	$1.1K	900	225	+675	open	—	03-25 20:10
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	26	$1.0K	1,973	1,953	+20	open	—	01-31 23:37
spx up or down on april 8 2026	2	$1.0K	40	983	-943	open	—	04-08 18:02
russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	53	$1.0K	10,156	10,051	+105	open	—	03-20 14:08
spx up or down on february 11 2026	39	$1.0K	4,118	190	+3,928	open	—	02-11 21:00
spx up or down on february 20 2026	11	$1.0K	545	545	+0	open	—	02-20 20:48
spx up or down on march 23 2026	5	$991	1,052	0	+1,052	open	—	03-23 16:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	49	$946	8,825	7,018	+1,807	Yes	+$1,784	05-08 18:16
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	26	$891	19,331	24,053	-4,722	open	—	01-31 19:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 21:22:40	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xfc9f5f…
08-09 06:35:04	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	443	4¢	$16	0x967b2a…
08-09 06:32:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x7103d1…
08-07 20:51:34	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	250	7¢	$17	0x58f7ea…
08-07 19:19:27	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	988	3¢	$27	0x3ba705…
08-07 19:18:39	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x1a7265…
08-07 19:18:21	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	207	17¢	$35	0x68e290…
08-07 02:45:09	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	308	4¢	$11	0xe48544…
08-07 02:44:04	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	310	7¢	$22	0x2390b1…
08-07 02:22:42	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	590	8¢	$46	0x8c0ec2…
08-05 19:44:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	220	16¢	$35	0xb424bd…
08-02 00:53:18	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x711de0…
07-28 00:20:19	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	380	5¢	$20	0x6635b9…
07-28 00:17:36	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0x39beca…
07-28 00:17:12	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x76d518…
07-22 00:25:30	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	483	2¢	$10	0x7645d2…
07-22 00:24:54	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	107	8¢	$9	0x1df08f…
07-22 00:23:48	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	423	11¢	$47	0xf6a112…
07-19 14:14:40	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	97	5¢	$5	0x5db6b3…
07-19 14:14:12	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	500	5¢	$26	0xbe251b…
07-19 11:56:48	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	6	5¢	$0	0xd6b4f2…
07-19 10:36:40	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xb791b9…
07-19 05:01:06	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x619384…
07-19 04:57:24	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xe49196…
07-19 03:31:57	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xd896d4…
07-19 02:50:45	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x74cb63…
07-19 02:25:37	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	185	8¢	$14	0x79d449…
07-19 02:25:06	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	230	7¢	$16	0xaba8df…
07-19 02:21:25	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	6¢	$28	0x260a77…
07-19 02:20:06	Ukraine joins NATO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	385	5¢	$20	0x7ca785…
07-19 02:18:31	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	141	5¢	$8	0x304ff7…
07-10 21:37:07	US military draft authorized in 2026?	Yes	BUY	162	5¢	$9	0x877e2d…
07-10 21:32:22	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	250	8¢	$20	0x5e91a9…
07-08 20:39:59	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0x54fc10…
07-08 20:38:58	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	8¢	$16	0xedf7f1…
07-08 02:18:14	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x476fd1…
07-08 02:17:37	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xf83d40…
07-08 00:48:41	will russia invade a nato country by december 31 2026	Yes	BUY	110	9¢	$10	0xc19dd0…
07-07 21:24:04	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	107	13¢	$13	0xdbaafc…
07-07 21:20:59	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	13¢	$26	0x75fddf…
07-07 18:44:52	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	511	3¢	$16	0xb7d8c5…
07-07 18:43:50	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$3	0x6b3bb1…
07-07 18:43:34	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	243	3¢	$7	0xbf097c…
07-07 18:42:01	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	614	3¢	$17	0xe8400b…
07-06 01:02:10	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	155	12¢	$19	0xacd597…
07-06 00:50:13	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	563	3¢	$16	0x47fa75…
07-06 00:49:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x0b0ecd…
07-05 22:53:47	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0xd4703d…
07-05 21:26:46	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	10¢	$20	0x98e6f0…
07-05 21:26:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	11¢	$22	0x7d5886…
07-03 06:35:29	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	500	12¢	$60	0xc4258b…
07-02 22:47:14	Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	75	10¢	$7	0x84bf01…
07-02 22:46:59	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	110	13¢	$14	0x54923a…
07-02 22:45:52	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa871dc…
07-02 22:45:41	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	452	3¢	$12	0xd47133…
07-01 13:32:43	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x47f565…
07-01 05:46:10	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	140	14¢	$20	0xe922ef…
07-01 05:26:20	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	SELL	224	0¢	$0	0x787182…
07-01 05:26:01	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	101	12¢	$12	0xaa94cb…
07-01 05:25:32	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	76	13¢	$10	0xa06a15…
07-01 05:24:58	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x18c2ca…
07-01 05:22:55	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	60	14¢	$8	0xf81cae…
06-29 23:53:20	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0xbe5343…
06-29 13:08:02	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	SELL	500	8¢	$40	0x592ded…
06-29 04:06:17	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	200	14¢	$28	0x9be795…
06-27 21:53:34	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	300	14¢	$42	0x56fe2d…
06-27 08:23:07	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	SELL	334	7¢	$23	0xcf8ec6…
06-27 06:00:22	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	SELL	500	12¢	$60	0x176339…
06-26 21:09:40	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	SELL	14	7¢	$1	0x21dbb2…
06-26 21:05:10	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	SELL	275	13¢	$36	0x133ca2…
06-26 21:04:29	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	30	18¢	$5	0x1547b9…
06-26 21:04:16	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	99	18¢	$18	0x4b6b98…
06-26 21:02:20	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	6¢	$14	0x4a7ba9…
06-26 21:01:16	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x48831b…
06-26 20:59:35	Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	255	12¢	$31	0xf89f89…
06-26 20:58:31	US recession by end of 2026?	Yes	BUY	493	11¢	$54	0x5bfa38…
06-25 06:50:14	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	5	7¢	$0	0x3c4008…
06-24 18:16:14	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0xe98c1f…
06-24 15:28:41	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	108	7¢	$8	0x8b3dab…
06-24 13:04:05	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	8	11¢	$1	0xfae9a2…
06-24 09:28:16	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	66	7¢	$5	0x3b3ae7…
06-24 00:45:20	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xcdfea5…
06-23 23:11:35	european country agrees to give ukraine security guarantee by december 31	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x83c45f…
06-23 11:55:35	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x996d87…
06-23 11:39:38	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0xb66a9c…
06-23 05:35:53	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	6	7¢	$0	0x69cd9a…
06-22 20:51:31	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	719	7¢	$50	0xace972…
06-22 08:47:02	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	396	10¢	$40	0x3fbd66…
06-22 08:35:44	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	20	10¢	$2	0x8ee6d2…
06-22 06:56:35	Trump out as President before 2027?	Yes	SELL	140	10¢	$14	0x569756…
06-22 06:43:08	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	515	6¢	$32	0xc6c202…
06-22 04:34:13	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?	Yes	SELL	291	2¢	$5	0xf2ea73…
06-22 04:32:14	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	200	14¢	$28	0x8c70bf…
06-21 20:21:52	ukraine signs peace deal with russia by august 31 20260619003108240	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0xdbd0b2…
06-21 08:02:13	will base launch a token by september 30 2026	Yes	BUY	502	6¢	$30	0xcf5d70…
06-21 07:59:07	Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia by June 30?	Yes	SELL	508	1¢	$4	0x2915bb…
06-21 07:54:49	Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	84¢	$42	0x0b219a…
06-21 07:19:35	russia x ukraine ceasefire agreement by august 31 2026	Yes	BUY	520	12¢	$62	0x3cca6a…
06-21 04:52:38	Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	51¢	$102	0x016c01…
06-21 04:51:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	BUY	80	14¢	$11	0xf67d40…