Realized P&L (24h)
—
Unrealized P&L
-$1.11K
Hit rate
—
Resolved (24h)
0
Trades (24h)
0
2,680 lifetime
Volume (24h)
$0
$111.8K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$816
24 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 11-08 21:02
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 95 days
Categories
Other
60% 49% +$178
Politics
36% 33% +$1,086
Crypto
3% 64% -$533
Sports
0% 0% -$237
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
24 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,141 $165 15¢ $171 +$6 10-23 14:45
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +1,220 $140 8¢ $91 -$48 11-06 04:40
Will Russia invade another country by December 31, 2027? Yes +420 $76 19¢ $80 +$4 10-21 00:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,010 $110 8¢ $76 -$34 11-06 04:48
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -590 -$73 10¢ $-56 +$17 11-08 21:02
Russia military action against an EU country by December 31, 2027? Yes +266 $56 21¢ $56 $0 10-21 00:01
Will there be 3 US aircraft carriers in CENTCOM on November 30, 2026? Yes +100 $20 54¢ $54 +$34 10-13 00:10
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,581 $133 2¢ $39 -$94 11-05 16:28
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +3,216 $115 1¢ $34 -$81 10-20 23:55
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +4,031 $252 1¢ $28 -$224 10-14 00:14
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,650 $143 2¢ $25 -$118 10-28 01:49
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,183 $64 2¢ $20 -$44 07-28 00:20
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +411 $16 4¢ $16 +$1 11-06 04:42
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -908 -$20 2¢ $-15 +$5 10-17 23:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,274 $37 0¢ $15 -$22 10-23 14:46
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +387 $61 2¢ $9 -$52 06-14 18:52
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +188 $269 4¢ $7 -$262 10-14 06:29
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +364 $26 2¢ $7 -$19 10-28 01:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +150 $109 4¢ $6 -$103 10-17 23:16
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +440 $21 1¢ $4 -$17 08-10 21:23
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $26 2¢ $3 -$23 10-14 00:15
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $2 1¢ $2 +$0 10-23 14:30
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes -67 $31 2¢ $-2 -$32 10-16 06:48
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -13 -$1 8¢ $-1 $0 05-11 18:44