Gracious-Gammaray 0x48f979…08e61d
whale 2L streak
← all wallets
Realized P&L (90d)
-$354
Unrealized P&L
-$819
Hit rate
7.4%
Resolved (90d)
11
Trades (90d)
100
2,669 lifetime
Volume (90d)
$1.81K
$111.7K lifetime
Avg / trade
$42
Open exposure
$1.11K
22 positions
First seen
2026-01-02
last 10-28 01:49
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 94 days
Categories
Other
60% 49% +$178
Politics
36% 34% +$1,153
Crypto
3% 64% -$533
Sports
0% 0% -$237
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
27 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by December 31? Yes +1,120 $131 36¢ $403 +$272 09-05 19:08
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,141 $165 15¢ $165 +$0 10-23 14:45
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -690 -$69 20¢ $-134 -$66 10-21 15:03
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? Yes +700 $73 11¢ $74 +$0 10-20 23:57
Will US withdraw from NATO before 2027? Yes +4,031 $252 2¢ $62 -$189 10-14 00:14
Trump out as President before 2027? Yes +1,210 $119 5¢ $55 -$64 10-28 01:46
Ukraine joins NATO before 2027? Yes +3,216 $115 1¢ $39 -$76 10-20 23:55
US military draft authorized in 2026? Yes +1,183 $64 3¢ $38 -$26 07-28 00:20
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? Yes +1,650 $143 2¢ $32 -$110 10-28 01:49
Iran Nuke before 2027? Yes +387 $61 5¢ $21 -$40 06-14 18:52
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes -908 -$20 2¢ $-20 $0 10-17 23:15
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026? Yes +364 $26 4¢ $16 -$10 10-28 01:48
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? Yes +150 $109 9¢ $14 -$96 10-17 23:16
US recession by end of 2026? Yes +188 $269 7¢ $13 -$256 10-14 06:29
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +3,274 $37 0¢ $8 -$29 10-23 14:46
Will Russia invade a NATO country by December 31, 2026? Yes +159 $26 4¢ $6 -$20 10-14 00:15
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by October 31, 2026? Yes +260 $59 1¢ $3 -$57 10-23 14:28
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the January 2027 meeting? Yes +440 $21 1¢ $2 -$19 08-10 21:23
US takes Panama Canal before 2027? Yes -67 $31 3¢ $-2 -$32 10-16 06:48
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? Yes +300 $2 0¢ $1 -$1 10-23 14:30
US strike on Cuba by December 31? Yes -13 -$1 8¢ $-1 $0 05-11 18:44
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? Yes +11 $2 7¢ $1 -$1 07-02 22:47