Realized P&L
+$4.62K
Unrealized P&L
+$466
Hit rate
87.5%
Resolved
68
Trades
212
lifetime
Volume
$139.4K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$657
Open exposure
$18.2K
19 positions
First seen
2026-03-20
last 11-07 21:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 37 days
Categories
Politics
58% 76% +$1,595
Other
37% 74% +$3,128
Sports
4% 50% -$99
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
30 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? No +4,211 $3,780 97¢ $4.1K +$299 11-02 14:28
Ukraine election held by December 31, 2026? No -1,623 -$1,442 98¢ $-1583 -$141 05-05 11:21
Nothing Ever Happens: November Nothing +1,628 $1,500 95¢ $1.5K +$47 11-06 02:01
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? No +1,579 $1,500 96¢ $1.5K +$21 11-01 19:48
Will Zelenskyy and Putin not meet before 2027? Yes +1,293 $1,228 96¢ $1.2K +$10 11-04 22:55
Trump, Putin, and Zelensky meet together before 2027? No +1,208 $1,100 94¢ $1.1K +$42 11-04 23:06
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? No +1,274 $1,144 86¢ $1.1K -$42 11-06 02:02
Will no listed leader be out before 2027? Yes +2,179 $800 46¢ $1.0K +$213 09-20 10:07
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next leader out before 2027? No +1,512 $1,000 58¢ $885 -$115 09-20 10:06
Will Dana White be the next White House Press Secretary? No +750 $700 98¢ $735 +$35 11-07 21:02
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by December 31, 2026? No +802 $630 86¢ $686 +$56 09-19 22:10
Will Lisa Cook be arrested before 2027? No +518 $499 98¢ $509 +$10 11-01 22:44
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No +556 $500 90¢ $497 -$3 11-07 21:13
Russia x Ukraine Peace Combo No +514 $500 96¢ $494 -$6 11-04 23:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by November 30, 2026? No +414 $397 96¢ $395 -$2 11-07 21:16
Natural Disaster in 2026? No +353 $300 96¢ $339 +$39 09-07 20:23
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027? No +323 $300 92¢ $295 -$5 10-09 10:47
Will Pablo Hernández de Cos be the next President of the European Central Bank? Yes +226 $100 60¢ $137 +$37 11-01 19:50
Major meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026? Yes +297 $37 3¢ $9 -$28 09-09 00:21