Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$50

Unrealized P&L

-$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

187

lifetime

Volume

$491

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-03 05:46

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

68% 100% +$50

Other

25% — —

Crypto

6% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes		+200	$6	2¢	$4	$-2	06-03 05:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$53	50	50	+0	Yes	+$46	05-09 09:28
US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	5	$32	38	38	+0	open	—	04-25 06:00
will trump say crypto or bitcoin this week january 25	5	$31	24	24	+0	open	—	01-21 14:29
Will US or Israel strike Iran by February 15, 2026?	5	$21	55	55	+0	open	—	02-15 17:24
will zelenskyy wear a suit and tie at the world economic forum	8	$19	477	477	+0	open	—	01-22 10:45
Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	6	$18	20	20	+0	open	—	04-17 22:20
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	9	$18	50	50	+0	open	—	03-13 13:11
will trump say davos or world economic forum during iowa speech 229 323	8	$18	53	0	+53	open	—	01-27 22:55
Will US or Israel strike Iran by January 31, 2026?	4	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	01-30 15:38
will trump say greenland during iowa speech 395 962	6	$15	40	40	+0	open	—	01-26 15:07
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	8	$14	220	220	+0	open	—	04-10 18:39
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	8	$14	30	30	+0	open	—	04-17 13:27
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	6	$14	15	15	+0	open	—	01-14 17:47
will trump say corn during iowa speech 541	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	01-27 22:46
russia x ukraine ceasefire by january 31 2026	4	$13	700	700	+0	open	—	01-29 17:10
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	7	$13	290	160	+130	open	—	03-25 23:45
will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	4	$12	260	260	+0	open	—	03-16 02:28
Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	2	$12	10	10	+0	Yes	+$4	04-28 06:01
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	4	$11	300	300	+0	open	—	05-14 09:27
will trump say hog during iowa speech 923 517	2	$10	25	25	+0	open	—	01-27 22:38
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	02-01 05:23
will trump say venezuela on steroids this week january 25	2	$9	7	7	+0	open	—	01-21 03:18
will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	7	$9	530	530	+0	open	—	03-31 10:47
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	4	$9	77	77	+0	open	—	01-28 13:36
will trump say kevin or warsh during fed chair announcement	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	01-30 15:09
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	5	$7	60	60	+0	Yes	+$0	05-04 18:47
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	3	$7	1,100	1,100	+0	open	—	03-30 16:19
European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	1	$6	200	0	+200	open	—	06-03 05:46
Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	4	$5	200	159	+41	open	—	05-01 00:05
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	2	$5	20	20	+0	open	—	03-14 20:18

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 05:46:12	European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by June 30?	Yes	BUY	200	3¢	$6	0x4ef4be…
05-31 18:26:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	90	3¢	$3	0xcef000…
05-14 09:27:40	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	225	2¢	$4	0xd92d74…
05-14 07:38:24	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	SELL	169	1¢	$1	0x106809…
05-14 07:25:59	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0xf2789e…
05-14 07:24:40	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x38b2b1…
05-14 02:21:53	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$5	0x3dd39f…
05-12 18:24:04	Will Trump and Xi kiss at their summit?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xbeccfe…
05-09 09:28:48	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x3abb7a…
05-06 18:45:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	7¢	$4	0x9784a2…
05-04 18:47:30	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	6¢	$4	0x0b3280…
05-03 15:15:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	6¢	$1	0x5f5807…
05-03 15:11:04	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x261e8b…
05-03 15:09:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	16	6¢	$1	0x5ad6e8…
05-03 15:06:22	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	6¢	$0	0x3e7094…
05-01 00:05:50	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	112	1¢	$1	0xbf0a82…
04-30 19:32:00	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x99bc0a…
04-30 19:15:04	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0xce792c…
04-28 06:01:04	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	SELL	10	77¢	$8	0x971385…
04-27 10:12:24	Will Trump declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	2¢	$4	0xd1ae13…
04-27 05:55:28	Will the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting occur after May 10?	Yes	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x71922b…
04-26 17:50:38	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	100	4¢	$4	0x88424b…
04-25 06:00:30	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0x97ba78…
04-24 23:43:30	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	48¢	$8	0x6f7a47…
04-21 05:43:42	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	40¢	$2	0xd0a205…
04-20 21:13:46	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x2ded44…
04-20 18:15:44	US x Cuba diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	18	16¢	$3	0x1663a6…
04-17 22:20:24	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	10	52¢	$5	0xf4f68f…
04-17 15:13:36	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	7	37¢	$3	0xb6f72f…
04-17 14:39:48	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	1	37¢	$1	0x341fd4…
04-17 14:33:22	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	2	37¢	$1	0x02b2d4…
04-17 13:27:28	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	20	14¢	$3	0x44a9a1…
04-17 13:09:46	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	8	18¢	$1	0x75e36e…
04-17 13:09:44	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x9269b9…
04-17 13:09:30	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	18¢	$1	0xbf9ff1…
04-17 13:09:02	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	2	18¢	$0	0x92ae00…
04-16 04:16:26	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	45¢	$4	0x4b5ff9…
04-15 12:06:22	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	9	32¢	$3	0x277277…
04-15 12:05:42	Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1	32¢	$0	0xcf0477…
04-12 05:28:11	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0x48d837…
04-11 17:32:49	Will Trump agree to Iranian Oil sanction relief in April?	No	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xe1c52a…
04-10 18:39:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	198	3¢	$7	0xc57faf…
04-08 00:14:39	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	70	3¢	$2	0xccec90…
04-07 22:42:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xcee678…
04-06 05:31:23	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0x96fa64…
04-02 15:43:03	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	19	3¢	$1	0xaa142d…
04-02 15:38:59	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xe14464…
04-02 15:38:55	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	30	3¢	$1	0xa31d3a…
04-02 15:38:53	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xd019e7…
03-31 10:47:51	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$0	0xf5d7b7…
03-30 16:19:43	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	635	0¢	$3	0x4db183…
03-30 16:11:27	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	SELL	465	0¢	$2	0x7697f9…
03-30 10:49:46	will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	Yes	BUY	1,100	0¢	$2	0x7a3d69…
03-30 01:39:50	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x0f205d…
03-29 13:24:40	russia x ukraine ceasefire by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	30	0¢	$0	0x34a5c6…
03-28 20:18:06	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0xe52266…
03-27 17:18:43	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	22	2¢	$0	0x8eae95…
03-26 20:45:11	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	SELL	30	8¢	$2	0x1647d0…
03-26 20:33:17	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	Yes	BUY	30	9¢	$3	0xe1af10…
03-26 16:26:07	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	SELL	50	1¢	$1	0xdc9aa1…
03-26 07:31:19	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe30de9…
03-26 07:31:19	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0xd6b604…
03-26 07:31:19	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	20	1¢	$0	0x89da53…
03-26 07:31:19	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	25	1¢	$0	0x56fa2f…
03-26 07:31:19	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x53d87c…
03-26 07:31:19	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$0	0x16bdd9…
03-26 03:07:21	will there be between 20 and 30 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	19	1¢	$0	0xd2dccb…
03-25 23:45:15	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	76	1¢	$1	0xe9511b…
03-24 01:21:17	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	34	3¢	$1	0xf01124…
03-16 20:23:39	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xc35c2f…
03-16 18:55:37	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	60	2¢	$2	0xaa69d7…
03-16 12:44:27	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	80	4¢	$3	0x05b9dd…
03-16 02:28:13	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	SELL	160	3¢	$4	0x77d963…
03-16 01:59:51	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$3	0x02203a…
03-15 11:29:41	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	BUY	160	2¢	$3	0x46dc6e…
03-14 22:47:37	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xb1c74f…
03-14 20:18:33	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0xf4a284…
03-14 13:12:59	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x1189f1…
03-14 11:49:01	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0x0c0b48…
03-14 01:16:37	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x3d3e31…
03-13 21:29:59	will trump talk to mojtaba khamenei by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xe057c8…
03-13 13:11:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	20	22¢	$4	0xbfd06b…
03-12 14:43:21	will crude oil cl hit high 95 by march 13 955 782 768	No	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x97af3d…
03-12 14:22:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xa12e8e…
03-12 00:09:51	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	SELL	50	6¢	$3	0xff971a…
03-10 10:26:21	will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	Yes	BUY	50	3¢	$2	0xabb42f…
03-09 18:06:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	11	18¢	$2	0x78bd8d…
03-09 17:51:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9b4c1a…
03-09 17:46:51	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	9	15¢	$1	0x21dc77…
03-08 22:00:21	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	20	8¢	$2	0x13816b…
03-07 19:01:59	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	SELL	130	1¢	$1	0x038dfd…
03-07 18:25:49	will trump send tomahawk to ukraine by march 31	Yes	BUY	130	1¢	$1	0x80ee04…
03-07 00:03:47	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xeb74db…
03-06 17:14:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x9d02bc…
03-06 14:40:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x031760…
02-28 10:08:39	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	9	14¢	$1	0x2260dc…
02-28 09:38:43	ukraine hits moscow by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	5	14¢	$1	0x713a43…
02-27 19:20:25	ukraine hits moscow by february 28 2026	Yes	SELL	100	1¢	$1	0x5e99fe…
02-27 10:19:17	ukraine hits moscow by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	88	1¢	$1	0xc947d2…
02-27 03:19:34	ukraine hits moscow by february 28 2026	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0xd9dfd5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	39	$19.9K	1,787	05-14 20:14
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	36	$5.92M	9,829	06-06 04:54
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	36	$3.07K	746	06-08 18:03
Faraway-Seaside 0xf0b0…8cab	35	$129.6K	10,760	05-01 01:25
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	34	$63.4K	4,718	03-28 07:39
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	33	$45.2K	327	06-08 20:34
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	32	$391.5K	6,824	06-09 21:29
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	26	$15.9K	5,225	04-16 23:27