Will Trump Leave China on May 16?
open
Total volume
$2,707
$12,738 in 24h
Trades
35
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$64,260
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-20
First seen
2026-05-11
last 05-14 13:19
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐬 Dolphin | 3 | — | $1.5K | $1.5K |
| 🐟 Fish | 6 | $2 | $284 | $282 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 17 | $25 | $369 | $344 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 4 | $9 | $228 | $219 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 1 | — | $309 | $309 |
| Median | 6 | $8 | $39 | $32 |
| Below median | 4 | $4 | $44 | $40 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 3 | — | $1.4K | $1.4K |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 2 | $2 | $118 | $116 |
| unranked | 6 | $4 | $5 | $1 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | +1,156 | $1,137 | $1,137 | 4 | 05-14 05:46 |
| Peaceful-Help 0xbabc…bc2b | Yes | +646 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-14 01:40 |
| (anonymous) 0xfa9a…491a | Yes | +234 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-14 01:19 |
| Icy-Armoire 0xfae5…0ddc | Yes | +210 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 05-13 08:14 |
| Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | +200 | $199 | $199 | 2 | 05-14 08:44 |
| Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | +151 | $148 | $148 | 1 | 05-13 00:56 |
| Green-Symbol 0x81e6…5a05 | Yes | +143 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 09:59 |
| Livid-Membership 0x7818…7ebf | Yes | +143 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 05:46 |
| Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | +121 | $118 | $118 | 2 | 05-13 00:56 |
| Dimpled-Maniac 0xaefc…08e5 | Yes | +100 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 19:52 |
| (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | +90 | $2 | $2 | 1 | 05-13 04:08 |
| Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | +79 | $77 | $77 | 1 | 05-13 00:56 |
| Grounded-Stain 0xd1c9…de55 | Yes | +77 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-14 02:55 |
| Shabby-Seafood 0xbc23…64eb | Yes | +70 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 19:15 |
| Threadbare-Injury 0xe000…1be6 | Yes | +70 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 22:11 |
| Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | +42 | $41 | $41 | 1 | 05-13 03:02 |
| Primary-Adrenalin 0x79cf…a71c | Yes | +37 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-13 00:43 |
| Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-13 18:37 |
| Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | +27 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-12 01:52 |
| Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | +10 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 05-13 00:56 |
| Natural-Oasis 0x8d6d…363a | No | +6 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 05-14 09:24 |
| Polite-Teen 0x1232…6158 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-13 03:07 |
| Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | +4 | $4 | $4 | 1 | 05-11 23:41 |
| Flamboyant-Beginner 0xd19a…c876 | No | +3 | $3 | $3 | 1 | 05-13 03:26 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-14 13:19:18 | Unnatural-Energy 0xac6a…2ed3 | No | SELL | 247 | 100¢ | $246 | 0xf04e2b… |
| 05-14 13:19:04 | Clear-Surgeon 0x2f4d…e79b | No | SELL | 10 | 100¢ | $10 | 0x79585e… |
| 05-14 12:49:16 | Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | No | SELL | 190 | 99¢ | $188 | 0xdaa7d1… |
| 05-14 12:47:36 | Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | No | SELL | 129 | 99¢ | $128 | 0x89a0bd… |
| 05-14 09:59:04 | Green-Symbol 0x81e6…5a05 | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x26da6a… |
| 05-14 09:24:20 | Natural-Oasis 0x8d6d…363a | No | BUY | 6 | 100¢ | $5 | 0xf7e23d… |
| 05-14 08:44:12 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $99 | 0x7cdc10… |
| 05-14 08:44:05 | Blissful-Maestro 0xd1a6…1507 | No | BUY | 100 | 100¢ | $100 | 0x3e295f… |
| 05-14 05:46:26 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 186 | 100¢ | $186 | 0xae1952… |
| 05-14 05:46:12 | Livid-Membership 0x7818…7ebf | Yes | BUY | 143 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x462537… |
| 05-14 05:10:42 | Trusty-Labourer 0x27e0…b09b | Yes | SELL | 144 | 0¢ | $1 | 0x03c702… |
| 05-14 02:55:47 | Grounded-Stain 0xd1c9…de55 | Yes | BUY | 77 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x311ede… |
| 05-14 01:40:39 | Peaceful-Help 0xbabc…bc2b | Yes | BUY | 646 | 1¢ | $9 | 0xf61b94… |
| 05-14 01:19:53 | (anonymous) 0xfa9a…491a | Yes | BUY | 234 | 1¢ | $3 | 0xe58d39… |
| 05-13 22:11:56 | Threadbare-Injury 0xe000…1be6 | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0xe67348… |
| 05-13 19:52:53 | Dimpled-Maniac 0xaefc…08e5 | Yes | BUY | 100 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x3a676e… |
| 05-13 19:15:37 | Shabby-Seafood 0xbc23…64eb | Yes | BUY | 70 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x8d6976… |
| 05-13 18:37:49 | Glossy-Believer 0x764b…6bad | No | BUY | 30 | 99¢ | $30 | 0x88c0e6… |
| 05-13 16:42:40 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $49 | 0xde0ba6… |
| 05-13 08:14:56 | Icy-Armoire 0xfae5…0ddc | Yes | BUY | 210 | 3¢ | $6 | 0x32618e… |
| 05-13 04:08:39 | (anonymous) 0x4247…91c4 | Yes | BUY | 90 | 2¢ | $2 | 0x29b9dc… |
| 05-13 03:26:56 | Flamboyant-Beginner 0xd19a…c876 | No | BUY | 3 | 98¢ | $3 | 0x567a1c… |
| 05-13 03:07:59 | Polite-Teen 0x1232…6158 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 2¢ | $0 | 0xe2cb1e… |
| 05-13 03:02:44 | Flippant-Bass 0x5566…7c29 | No | BUY | 42 | 98¢ | $41 | 0x9a194a… |
| 05-13 03:02:21 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0xa890b8… |
| 05-13 00:56:47 | Variable-Verification 0x3d5a…4c29 | No | BUY | 10 | 98¢ | $10 | 0x396575… |
| 05-13 00:56:40 | Cheery-Leap-Pressurisation 0xa328…4977 | No | BUY | 79 | 98¢ | $77 | 0x37db41… |
| 05-13 00:56:39 | Pink-Outfit 0x8575…87fe | No | BUY | 151 | 98¢ | $148 | 0xe4c7cd… |
| 05-13 00:56:39 | Glass-Diet 0xd49b…bdf9 | No | BUY | 820 | 98¢ | $804 | 0xc876d4… |
| 05-13 00:56:39 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 100 | 98¢ | $98 | 0x7ada47… |
| 05-13 00:43:15 | Primary-Adrenalin 0x79cf…a71c | Yes | BUY | 37 | 3¢ | $1 | 0xe37eac… |
| 05-13 00:32:30 | Sparse-Cookie 0x5a21…9318 | No | BUY | 21 | 98¢ | $20 | 0x24f807… |
| 05-12 03:18:10 | Lone-Thorn 0x1cb6…93f6 | No | BUY | 319 | 97¢ | $309 | 0x995bd9… |
| 05-12 01:52:48 | Ripe-Cake 0xeec5…b6fe | No | BUY | 27 | 94¢ | $25 | 0xd5480c… |
| 05-11 23:41:10 | Blind-Leaf 0x2b59…9db6 | No | BUY | 4 | 95¢ | $4 | 0x11a4e2… |