Lone-Thorn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$18

Unrealized P&L

+$2

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.12K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$102

Open exposure

$468

4 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-14 05:26

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Politics

67% 100% +$13

Other

33% 100% +$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	No	+319	$309	99¢	$317	+$7	05-12 03:18
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	+75	$74	100¢	$75	+$2	05-06 02:44
Will Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?	No	+58	$50	74¢	$43	$-7	05-11 13:37
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	+34	$33	98¢	$33	$-0	05-14 05:26

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	1	$309	319	+319	open	—	05-12 03:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$226	235	+235	No	+$9	05-10 05:23
Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$100	102	+102	Yes	+$2	05-11 21:31
Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	1	$100	102	+102	Yes	+$2	05-11 21:31
Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during events with Brazilian president?	1	$82	85	+85	No	+$3	05-06 23:50
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	1	$74	75	+75	open	—	05-06 02:44
Will Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?	1	$50	58	+58	open	—	05-11 13:37
Will King Charles's remarks not air?	1	$50	51	+51	No	+$1	05-13 04:01
Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	1	$50	51	+51	No	+$1	05-06 19:50
Will King Charles say "House / Housing" during State Opening?	1	$49	49	+49	Yes	+$0	05-13 04:11
Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	1	$33	34	+34	open	—	05-14 05:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-14 05:26:25	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0x0dd1c3…
05-13 04:11:22	Will King Charles say "House / Housing" during State Opening?	Yes	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x1a654c…
05-13 04:01:28	Will King Charles's remarks not air?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x6df2cc…
05-12 03:18:10	Will Trump Leave China on May 16?	No	BUY	319	97¢	$309	0x995bd9…
05-11 21:31:32	Will any CEO of a publicly-listed US company attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x50a97f…
05-11 21:31:25	Will Scott Bessent attend Trump’s Xi summit?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0xec328b…
05-11 13:37:31	Will Trump post "Brazil" on Truth Social this week?	No	BUY	58	86¢	$50	0xaf470d…
05-10 05:23:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	235	96¢	$226	0x7ef2e8…
05-06 23:50:38	Will Trump say "Teleprompter" during events with Brazilian president?	No	BUY	85	97¢	$82	0x64c30b…
05-06 19:50:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 8?	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x3254eb…
05-06 02:44:14	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	No	BUY	75	97¢	$74	0x8c3674…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Buzzing-Sage 0x8f2f…b226	3	$8.61K	4	05-10 19:28
Blaring-Backdrop 0x8a98…1b92	3	$7.93K	43	05-10 19:13
Colossal-Contract 0xe1b5…20ac	3	$4.20K	68	05-12 18:37
Golden-Recognition 0xe4b4…874d	3	$3.37K	58	05-12 03:48
Shady-Squash 0x122d…95fe	3	$2.20K	43	05-12 01:44
Required-Jellyfish 0xdae3…0863	3	$2.03K	56	05-11 19:19
Puzzled-Clave 0x4848…0e2c	3	$1.99K	53	05-12 01:44
Well-Informed-Capon 0x793e…43bf	3	$1.94K	63	05-12 18:37