Realized P&L
-$38
Unrealized P&L
-$3
Hit rate
55.5%
Resolved
28
Trades
57
lifetime
Volume
$247
lifetime
Avg / trade
$4
Open exposure
$44
11 positions
First seen
2026-03-14
last 10-24 12:35
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 21 days
Categories
Other
49% 19% -$64
Politics
48% 60% +$28
Sports
3% 50% -$1
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
7 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the Republican Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? Yes +61 $21 34¢ $20 -$1 10-24 00:45
Will the Democratic Progressive Party (DPP) win the most head of local government elections in the 2026 Taiwan local elections? Yes -33 -$5 30¢ $-10 -$5 04-29 00:08
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? Yes +11 $4 32¢ $4 $0 10-04 14:50
2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House Yes -37 -$8 8¢ $-3 +$6 05-10 09:34
Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026? Yes +11 $2 22¢ $2 +$0 10-24 12:35
Macron out by December 31, 2026? Yes +34 $2 3¢ $1 -$1 10-24 12:32
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +11 $1 10¢ $1 +$0 10-04 14:56
Zhang Youxia sentenced to prison before 2027? Yes +8 $1 11¢ $1 $0 09-19 00:05
Kim Jong Un out as Supreme Leader of North Korea by December 31, 2026? Yes +19 $1 4¢ $1 $0 10-24 00:43
France declares state of emergency by December 31, 2026? Yes +7 $1 6¢ $0 -$1 10-24 12:35
Israel accuses Iran/proxies of plane stabbing incident by Oct 31? Yes +17 $1 1¢ $0 -$1 10-04 14:55