Realized P&L
+$1.60K
Unrealized P&L
+$225
Hit rate
90.4%
Resolved
11,534
Trades
47,082
lifetime
Volume
$492.8K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$10
Open exposure
$11.4K
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-13
last 11-03 19:28
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 201 days
Categories
Other
68% 85% +$1,695
Politics
20% 83% +$313
Sports
9% 88% +$230
Tech
3% 74% -$646
Pop-Culture
1% 86% +$12
Crypto
0% 81% -$2
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
25 active days in 12wk • peak 84 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +891 $887 100¢ $890 +$3 08-07 06:57
Will 5 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +891 $888 100¢ $890 +$2 08-07 06:57
Will 12 or more Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +891 $888 100¢ $890 +$1 08-07 06:57
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +891 $880 100¢ $889 +$10 08-07 06:57
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +891 $860 100¢ $889 +$29 08-07 06:57
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +881 $879 100¢ $880 +$1 08-07 06:57
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +891 $784 99¢ $879 +$95 08-07 06:57
Will OpenAI have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +579 $571 100¢ $578 +$7 07-09 11:21
Will Anthropic have the highest IPO Market Cap 2026? No +579 $503 87¢ $502 -$1 07-09 11:23
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +413 $386 100¢ $412 +$26 07-04 16:06
Will SpaceX be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +338 $329 100¢ $338 +$8 08-05 23:05
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +338 $276 100¢ $337 +$61 08-05 23:05
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +338 $336 99¢ $335 -$1 08-05 23:05
Will Villarreal win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +266 $265 100¢ $266 +$0 08-07 02:57
Will Alavés win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +266 $266 100¢ $266 $0 08-07 02:57
Will Betis win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +266 $265 100¢ $265 +$0 08-07 02:57
Will Atlético Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +266 $255 96¢ $255 -$1 08-07 02:57
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +338 $114 64¢ $215 +$101 08-05 23:05
Will Real Madrid win the 2026-27 LALIGA Championship? No +266 $150 74¢ $198 +$49 08-07 02:57
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? No +338 $297 37¢ $125 -$173 08-05 23:05
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between $400B and $600B at market close on IPO day by December 31, 2027? No +120 $119 100¢ $120 +$0 06-01 23:40
Will Anthropic not IPO by December 31, 2027? No +120 $113 97¢ $116 +$3 06-01 23:40
Will Jimmie Åkesson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +110 $108 100¢ $110 +$2 08-10 08:20
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +110 $110 100¢ $110 $0 08-10 08:19
Will Microsoft have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +105 $105 100¢ $105 +$0 07-01 05:57
Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +105 $104 100¢ $105 +$0 07-01 05:57
Will ByteDance have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +105 $105 100¢ $105 +$0 07-01 05:57
Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +105 $104 100¢ $105 +$0 07-01 05:57
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +105 $105 100¢ $105 +$0 07-01 05:57
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of December 2026? No +105 $105 100¢ $105 +$0 07-01 05:57