Realized P&L
+$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$26
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
357
Trades
6,654
lifetime
Volume
$2.33M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$351
Open exposure
$914
30 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 06-20 00:38
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
67% 27% $-552
Other
21% 32% $-4,234
Sports
10% 30% +$18,175
Crypto
1% 11% $-1,008
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
80 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -7,007 $-493 $-343 +$149 06-18 19:52
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? Yes -352 $-46 64¢ $-227 $-182 05-30 20:53
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +327 $175 50¢ $165 $-10 06-19 13:30
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -644 $-26 $-29 $-3 06-19 23:44
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -446 $-19 $-18 +$1 06-17 17:56
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +36 $19 51¢ $18 $-1 06-17 21:24
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? Yes -3,251 $-46 $-18 +$28 06-02 20:53
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026? No +65 $19 26¢ $17 $-2 06-19 01:48
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -112 $-18 12¢ $-13 +$5 06-17 17:52
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes +109 $12 $9 $-2 06-20 03:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $-8 44¢ $-8 +$0 06-11 06:12
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30? No +5 $5 99¢ $5 +$0 06-02 08:30
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 94¢ $5 $-0 06-02 08:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +61 $4 $4 +$0 06-15 15:05
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30? Yes +68 $4 $4 +$0 06-20 03:16
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 $-3 80¢ $-4 $-0 05-28 17:56
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +57 $4 $4 $-0 06-03 22:09
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -4 $-3 85¢ $-3 +$0 06-16 20:48
Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +24 $5 14¢ $3 $-1 06-19 17:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30? Yes +1,079 $3 $3 $-0 06-19 03:56
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 $-2 50¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 13:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +2 $2 95¢ $2 +$0 05-29 17:12
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-2 86¢ $-2 $-0 06-14 04:09
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026? Yes -3 $-0 66¢ $-2 $-2 06-03 07:59
Will Trump talk to Mojtaba Khamenei by June 30? Yes +131 $2 $2 $-0 06-19 22:41
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +19 $5 $1 $-3 05-27 20:35
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? No -3 $-3 36¢ $-1 +$2 06-02 19:53
Trump out as President by June 30? Yes +224 $2 $1 $-1 06-07 16:51
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +41 $3 $1 $-2 05-29 21:22
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by June 30, 2026? Yes -124 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-09 13:17