Realized P&L
+$12.4K
Unrealized P&L
-$6.28K
Hit rate
49.0%
Resolved
357
Trades
7,535
lifetime
Volume
$2.48M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$330
Open exposure
$11.8K
26 positions
First seen
2026-03-24
last 07-10 12:10
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 25 days
Categories
Politics
64% 27% $-552
Other
25% 32% $-4,234
Sports
10% 30% +$18,175
Crypto
1% 11% $-1,008
Tech
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 259 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Mitch McConnell step down from the Senate before his term ends? Yes +23,332 $17,567 48¢ $11.1K $-6,484 07-08 22:36
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI? No +657 $344 50¢ $332 $-12 07-09 19:46
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? Yes -6,872 $-485 $-258 +$228 07-06 18:00
Will Bitcoin hit $150k by December 31, 2026? Yes -678 $-27 $-30 $-2 06-22 20:24
New Rihanna Album before GTA VI? Yes +41 $23 52¢ $21 $-2 07-10 01:33
Will GameStop acquire eBay? Yes -112 $-18 12¢ $-14 +$4 06-17 17:52
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? Yes -546 $-23 $-12 +$11 06-25 21:45
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027? Yes +128 $9 $10 +$0 07-02 02:18
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026? No +90 $10 $6 $-3 07-10 01:19
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 by December 31, 2026? Yes -17 $-8 34¢ $-6 +$2 06-11 06:12
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +5 $5 96¢ $5 +$0 06-02 08:29
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026? Yes +61 $4 $4 $-0 06-15 15:05
Nothing Ever Happens: 2026 Yes -5 $-3 82¢ $-4 $-1 05-28 17:56
Will Crude Oil reach a new all-time high by December 31? No -4 $-3 88¢ $-3 $-0 06-16 20:48
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? Yes +57 $4 $2 $-1 06-03 22:09
Lamar Jackson traded by next season? Yes +50 $2 $2 +$0 06-26 01:50
Puffpaw FDV above $100M one day after launch? No -4 $-2 49¢ $-2 $-0 05-28 13:55
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30? No +2 $2 96¢ $2 +$0 05-29 17:12
Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? Yes +41 $3 $2 $-1 05-29 21:22
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? No -2 $-2 84¢ $-2 $-0 06-14 04:09
Will Alexandre Pantoja become UFC champion in 2026? Yes -3 $-0 42¢ $-1 $-1 06-03 07:59
Cuban regime falls in 2026? Yes +9 $2 12¢ $1 $-1 06-23 23:49
Will the New York Mets clinch a spot in the 2026 MLB Postseason? Yes +24 $5 $1 $-3 06-19 17:50
Fed rate cut by December 2026 meeting? No +1 $1 78¢ $1 $-0 06-29 16:33
Will Trump's approval rating hit 48% in 2026? Yes -14 $-0 $-0 +$0 06-25 02:47
Will France be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026? Yes +34 $11 $0 $-11 05-15 07:24